The 2012 Maine and Nevada Caucuses

[hippie_hunter]

I forgot only those two are on the ballot in that state. When is their vote?

I think it's very safe to say both will get at least 30% of the vote...Could see Romney win.

Expect Mitt Romney to utterly dominate Virginia. I think the best that Ron Paul will do in Virginia will be 20 - 25%. And I think that's possibly being generous.

 

[hippie_hunter]

9% in with Romney at 47%, Paul at 21% and a 101 vote advantage over Gingrich, Gingrich at 21%, and Santorum at 11%.

 

[Paradoxium]

Surprised Gingrich is this close, even if he finishes 3rd. He really halfassed Nevada from what I read.

 

[SV Fan]

Expect Mitt Romney to utterly dominate Virginia. I think the best that Ron Paul will do in Virginia will be 20 - 25%. And I think that's possibly being generous.

How many people will vote for Paul just out of spite though(ie anybody but Mitt). I am guessing a decent amount of those voters just won't show up, which also could bring up Paul's percentages.

 

[hippie_hunter]

How many people will vote for Paul just out of spite though(ie anybody but Mitt). I am guessing a decent amount of those voters just won't show up, which also could bring up Paul's percentages.

I expect turnout to be low on account of only Romney and Paul being on the ballot, but I just don't see Paul climbing above his 20 - 25% threshold.

 

[hippie_hunter]

CNN has projected that Mitt Romney has won Nevada.

 

[enterthemadness]

CNN has projected that Mitt Romney has won Nevada.

Oooookaaaay, with only 13% of the vote in...it's been stuck at 13% for like an hour...

Slow.....re....slowest results.....evar.

 

[hippie_hunter]

Oooookaaaay, with only 13% of the vote in...it's been stuck at 13% for like an hour...

Slow.....re....slowest results.....evar.

15% reporting:

Mitt Romney: 42.5%
Newt Gingrich: 24.5%
Ron Paul: 19.8%
Rick Santorum: 13.2%

 

[enterthemadness]

15% reporting:

Mitt Romney: 42.5%
Newt Gingrich: 24.5%
Ron Paul: 19.8%
Rick Santorum: 13.2%

CNN has different.

Mitt: 47%
Newt: 21%
Paul: 20%
Whiner: 12%

haha.

 

[enterthemadness]

CNN is SLOW

AP via Google has it at 39% reporting.


Romney 42.5%
Newt 26.1%
Paul 18.7%
Santorum 12.8%

Looks to be the 1-4 by end of night. Paul may get to 21% by end of it.

 

[Marx]

The Maine caucus ends on February 11th. Who will win? Who will lose?

 

[Kahran Ramsus]

More accurately it has already started, but ends on February 11th.

I expect the results to end up similar to the New Hampshire primary. Romney in first. Paul in a clear second.

 

[Marx]

It has? Oops! I corrected the original post.

 

[SV Fan]

Should be interesting to see the results. I know Paul has campaigned pretty hard there not sure how much effort the other candidates put in there. This is one I can see a low voter turnout for and Paul getting close to first if not winning due to all the effort he has given.

 

[hippie_hunter]

The only candidates who put any effort were Paul and Romney. Maine is a lot like New Hampshire so Gingrich and Santorum decided to just flat out give up on this one.

 

[Marx]

I'd really like to see Paul pull out the win in this one. He's the only candidate who has yet to win and he normally performs very well in caucuses.

 

[SV Fan]

I'd really like to see Paul pull out the win in this one. He's the only candidate who has yet to win and he normally performs very well in caucuses.

ON Rachel Maddow last night there was a guy from the Ron Paul campaign explaining how Paul might actually be winning some states in terms of delegates

I am surprised they are actually being rather open about what they are doing

[YT]9x28_I9oIVg[/YT]

 

[Paradoxium]

Gaming the rules designed to help Romney, you can't make this **** up

This was discussed at a lot of conservative sites, but it never went further. I posted it a few times. Maybe it is too convoluted and boring for people to understand, but it has serious consequences.

 

[Paradoxium]

Rachel is off, some states where delegates are "bound" to candidate in the first round. Minnesota is an unbound one.

So a Paul supporter has to vote Romney in the first round. But the moment a brokered convention occurs, they can do whatever the hell they want. A lot of "Romney delegates" are actually Ron Paul supporters.

 

[Chris B]

I'm betting that Paul wins the the Maine Caucuses tonight.

 

[enterthemadness]

I'm betting that Paul wins the the Maine Caucuses tonight.

Team Romney will be pleased...

 

[Kahran Ramsus]

Romney won Maine with 39%. Ron Paul was second with 36%. Santorum had 18%. Gingrich had 6%.

 

[SentinelMind]

Two more wins for Romney....CPAC and Maine

 

[hippie_hunter]

What another embarrassing night for Newt Gingrich.

 

[SV Fan]

What another embarrassing night for Newt Gingrich.

I know Maine isn't the biggest state but what an embarrassing night in general for the GOP. I think about a grand total of 5500 total voters