The Amazing Spider-Man 2 The Amazing Spider-Man 2 Box Office Prediction Thread

[Picard Sisko]

Well it's a good thing TASM2 comes out a month later.

 

[Morbius]

Okay, now i'll say it...I predict...900M
I want it to break 1 billion so bad though

 

[JOE]

Let's all take this time to ground ourselves a bit... If anyone remembers the MOS Box Office thread a month or two before the movie came out, you'll know exactly where I'm going with this.

People were predicting anywhere from 800M to 1.5B lol. The trailers looked amazing and it was supposed to be the definitive Superman movie, and also kickstart a Justice League movie. A lot was riding on it's shoulders.

188 people posted in that poll. 127 (67%) over predicted... 86 (46%) of those 188 have predicting 800M + and 38 (20%) of those 188 predicting 1B +...

Numbers don't lie, the movie's expectations were through the roof. Undoubtedly this played a huge roll in the disappointment of the movie... 650M for a reboot is a strong box office, but not when you're predicting the above numbers I posted lol.



All in all, let's not pull a MOS. Remember, the first reactions to MOS were positive as well. Let's stay grounded. If it takes off, we'll all be pleasantly surprised.

 

[Picard Sisko]

I mean, I think TASM2 would only make more than TASM1.

Man of Steel made a lot more than Superman Returns, so it was, IMO, an improvement.

 

[Morbius]

I mean, I think TASM2 would only make more than TASM1.

*fixed and yes, I agree wholeheartedly

 

[Picard Sisko]

*fixed and yes, I agree wholeheartedly

Haha my bad. Thanks.

 

[Picard Sisko]

Superman Returns (2006) - $391,081,192
Man of Steel (2013) - $687,999,518

So there was an increase of $269,918,326. Although MOS didn't hit the billion mark, it was a great improvement for Superman at the B.O.

 

[Morbius]

Haha my bad. Thanks.

I'm not sure why I did that, it's clear what you meant to say. It's a habit of mine that annoys a lot of people

 

[Picard Sisko]

I'm not sure why I did that, it's clear what you meant to say. It's a habit of mine that annoys a lot of people

Don't worry, you saved me from embarrassment.

 

[Spiderdevil]

Let's all take this time to ground ourselves a bit... If anyone remembers the MOS Box Office thread a month or two before the movie came out, you'll know exactly where I'm going with this.

People were predicting anywhere from 800M to 1.5B lol. The trailers looked amazing and it was supposed to be the definitive Superman movie, and also kickstart a Justice League movie. A lot was riding on it's shoulders.

188 people posted in that poll. 127 (67%) over predicted... 86 (46%) of those 188 have predicting 800M + and 38 (20%) of those 188 predicting 1B +...

Numbers don't lie, the movie's expectations were through the roof. Undoubtedly this played a huge roll in the disappointment of the movie... 650M for a reboot is a strong box office, but not when you're predicting the above numbers I posted lol.



All in all, let's not pull a MOS. Remember, the first reactions to MOS were positive as well. Let's stay grounded. If it takes off, we'll all be pleasantly surprised.

I didn't predict all that

I had enough belief in Zack Snyder to know that he was going to sink this,I had many debates with Anno too over this

Though Admittedly I did start to feel optimistic over it as the movie approached but I always knew it wasnt gonna make that much

TDKR,probably the most anticipated Batman movie even,hit 1.1B,it was silly to assume that MOS would be even 20% within that

Superman's popularity is less than Spider-man's so 600-700M was a valid prediction,though I admit that it looks simpler in hindsight

I think 800M is a grounded prediction for TASM2 and I am pretty sure it will get there
You can quote me on that

 

[Picard Sisko]

I think $800million for TASM2 is very reasonable. When people "predict" that it'll pull about $1.5 billion, then that's what I would call a stretch.

 

[JOE]

I think 800M is a grounded prediction for TASM2 and I am pretty sure it will get there
You can quote me on that

Lol, that's my prediction too.

 

[GuestStar2004]

TASM2 is certainly a big upgrade from TASM not just in film but advertising and marketing, so that may give it a boost, i think its reasonable to think it could go up 850 mil

so we know what the budget is?

 

[Picard Sisko]

TASM2 is certainly a big upgrade from TASM not just in film but advertising and marketing, so that may give it a boost, i think its reasonable to think it could go up 850 mil

so we know what the budget is?

Not exactly, but the estimate is probably around $200 million.

 

[JOE]

200M is a good guestimate. I say they go nuts and double it for TASM 3 and hope they make 1.5B with it... I'm Super Sirius guys.

 

[LEVITIKUZ]

I'm not gonna lie. When I was on CBM, I did predict MOS would make a billion. Grif screengrab bed tons of comments that said MOS would make a billion. One was mine and I felt like a dumbass.

 

[Picard Sisko]

I never thought MOS would earn a billion. The sequel, Batman vs. Superman, definitely has a shot at it though.

 

[TheLastBlade]

I'm not gonna lie. When I was on CBM, I did predict MOS would make a billion. Grif screengrab bed tons of comments that said MOS would make a billion. One was mine and I felt like a dumbass.

I never had faith that MOS would make a billion :P Had way too many factors going against it in the past and now.

 

[JOE]

I'm not gonna lie. When I was on CBM, I did predict MOS would make a billion. Grif screengrab bed tons of comments that said MOS would make a billion. One was mine and I felt like a dumbass.

Shhh shh shhh. We're here for you, and we accept you. We all thought it would do better than it did.

 

[LEVITIKUZ]

Shhh shh shhh. We're here for you, and we accept you. We all thought it would do better than it did.

I didn't get a lot of **** over it on CBM. There were many people hoping it would do a billion. We feel stupid now but everyone wanted the film to do well.

I blame Goyer.

 

[Naite22]

Superman Returns (2006) - $391,081,192
Man of Steel (2013) - $687,999,518

So there was an increase of $269,918,326. Although MOS didn't hit the billion mark, it was a great improvement for Superman at the B.O.

Very true indeed. But the film was still a massive disappointment, when looking at it as a general movie

I've always said that "Superman Returns" was too nostalgic for new generations. It was a bit too sweet and definitely lacked action. MOS on the other hand was the EXACT opposite! That don't work either. Bryan Singers SR wasn't what I had hoped it would be (Same can be said about MOS). But I DO appreciate SR more, after the release of MOS. SR was a more balanced movie. Still, it does tend to get kind of boring. Anyways, I think that if one could blend the style found in Returns, with the style of MOS, then you'd have the PERFECT mixture for a Superman flick!

 

[Hcmarvel]

I think some of you predicting things like 1 Billion are under-rating how STACKED this May is.

Spidey, Godzilla, X-Men, Maleficent.

To be fair, last May Iron Man 3 had to deal with Gatsby, Star Trek, Hangover 3, and Fast & Furious 7. But Trek and Hangover under-performed slightly. And Iron Man 3 was the first post-Avengers movie. And everyone loves this iteration of Iron Man.

TASM was not 100% embraced by the public. I have far higher hopes for TASM 2 vs X-Men DOFP, but if I had to bet on one to under-perform and be met with a shrug? TASM 2 all the way.

It's also possible I'm just very very very weary of how busy this movie seems. Who the hell wants a Sinister Six movie? Was someone clamoring for that...ever? I don't mean Spidey to fight the Sinister Six in a film, I mean for them to have their own film, which is what I heard they're thinking about? Or do I have that wrong?

 

[Picard Sisko]

I think some of you predicting things like 1 Billion are under-rating how STACKED this May is.

Spidey, Godzilla, X-Men, Maleficent.

I don't think Godzilla and Maleficent are really going to be stiff competition for Spider-Man.

TASM was not 100% embraced by the public. I have far higher hopes for TASM 2 vs X-Men DOFP, but if I had to bet on one to under-perform and be met with a shrug? TASM 2 all the way.

TASM1, despite all the negativity, still managed to make $750 million while competing with TDKR. It also received mostly positive reception (77% from audiences on RT). No X-Men film has earned as much as a Spidey film so I don't think it'll earn more than TASM2.

It's also possible I'm just very very very weary of how busy this movie seems.

Are we really going there again? Would you rather have 2.5 hours of nothing happening? How busy was The Godfather or TDK? It really isn't unusually busy or overcrowded. Why does it look more busy than DOFP?

Who the hell wants a Sinister Six movie? Was someone clamoring for that...ever? I don't mean Spidey to fight the Sinister Six in a film, I mean for them to have their own film, which is what I heard they're thinking about? Or do I have that wrong?

Well that's the Sinister Six movie, not TASM2. And don't assume the S6 film won't have Spider-Man fighting them.

 

[Hcmarvel]

I don't think Godzilla and Maleficent are really going to be stiff competition for Spider-Man.



TASM1, despite all the negativity, still managed to make $750 million while competing with TDKR. It also received mostly positive reception (77% from audiences on RT). No X-Men film has earned as much as a Spidey film so I don't think it'll earn more than TASM2.

I think Maleficent is a slam dunk hit. Now whether it will really affect Spider-Man due to the varying demographics I'm not sure. But don't underrate Jolie+Disney+familiar tale.

I guess with Godzilla I'm basing it more on the reactions I've heard when I've seen a movie that had both Godzilla and TASM 2 trailers. With TASM 2 I just got the sense that people felt like "Oh, another one." Whereas at least Godzilla really seems to be trying to distinguish itself. Hell, Cranston's presence alone gets people chattering.


And as far as TASM 2 vs. DOFP, I never said DOFP would make more than TASM 2. TASM 2 will obviously earn more. I said under-perform.

 

[TheLastBlade]

Thing about the X-Men movie is that not much people are talking about it :P And when they are, it's usually something negative.