Homecoming The Box Office Thread

[rayc1971]

I think the key will be what does it do on its second weekend with apes coming out and what does its china numbers look like. If its china number are really good and it has a small decline next week with apes it may have a chance at a billion.

apes is only tracking at 40mill spidey should beat that

 

[samsnee]

If there was no TASM1&2 I wonder how different the hype for HC would be now with the GA.

Without TASM1 and 2 there would be no Homecoming.

 

[Kreem Pi]

Thank you, ASM 2 [and their engineers, Sony et al] for being so mindbogglingly awful that they had to get on their knees for Marvel.

 

[StormC]

apes is only tracking at 40mill spidey should beat that

Early tracking always lowballs. WW was tracking for 60-70M until it got 103M on opening weekend.

 

[JOE]

Ah, I remember being a kid in 2002 when the first Spider-Man movie came out. Can't wait for a whole new generation to have that same feeling.

 

[spiderman2]

apes is only tracking at 40mill spidey should beat that

were did you hear 40? I have been hearing like 55-60 and I think it is more likely going to do more then even that.

 

[Skies]

Apes info from Deadline last week:

On tracking, Apes is expected to log a three-day in the high $50M range, potentially cracking $60M. But rival distribution chiefs are quite bullish that the film could blow those expectations away with a domestic opening between $70M-$80M.

http://deadline.com/2017/07/war-for...-forecast-sumer-franchise-fatigue-1202123662/

 

[Panacea]

Except Guardians isn't passing WW. She's already outpacing it at the same point in time...

No she isn't. In five weeks Guardians had already broken the $800m mark.

 

[Tony Stark]

With SMH in its second week chances are apes will perform under tracking. Unfortunately it also means SMH will take a bigger fall 2nd week.

 

[Spiderine]

So its Apes this week and then Dunkirk?

 

[terry78]

117 mil ain't bad, but in current box office times it could always be better.

 

[Spiderine]

117 mil ain't bad, but in current box office times it could always be better.

I would say its pretty good all things considered. It is another reboot after all.

 

[legendkillin]

117 mil ain't bad, but in current box office times it could always be better.

I think it is good after having 3 straight bad Spidey movies with different leads. It puts the annoying superhero fatigue argument to bed a bit.

 

[Tony Stark]

I think this will get up to 120M when the actuals come in. I could be wrong, but this had the best cinemascore of any Spider-man film. Hopefully this can get to 300M dom, and over 550 M world wide. Hopefully 800-850. Guardians and Wonder Woman both benefitted from being in really weak markets. Pretty much every June release other than WW under performed, same goes for May for Guardians. July seems to have higher quality movies.

 

[Darepool]

I wondered about the release date, I guess it shows how far Spidey had fallen that studios were unafraid to put their tentpoles so close to it (or move them). I expect a different (more favorable) landscape for the sequel.

 

[Darepool]

I think it is good after having 3 straight bad Spidey movies with different leads. It puts the annoying superhero fatigue argument to bed a bit.

That idea never had real legitimacy anyway, at least in terms of the genre as a whole.

 

[gerrym51]

117 mil ain't bad, but in current box office times it could always be better.

the key to spider man will be how it's holds go.

Will it hold like GOG2 or like WW.

Who knows for sure ?

 

[terry78]

True enough. Even with this movie, I've noticed the past few years that I haven't been to one movie where the showings were literally sold out. It's never been like packed to the walls in a movie like it has been in previous summers.

 

[Mike Murdock]

117 mil ain't bad, but in current box office times it could always be better.

By Sony's Spider-Man standards, it should be seen as great. They couldn't possibly have hoped for better on their own.

That being said, they apparently spent a crazy amount in marketing. I heard a report of $140 Million. If they spent 170 on making the movie, they still have a little while before they break even. But I think they made back their production budget in opening weekend counting international numbers, which is still great.

 

[Darkraid]

I'm pretty sure this movie has legs.

 

[Quasimod0]

I'm pretty sure this movie has legs.

8 of them, in fact.

 

[Tony Stark]

the key to spider man will be how it's holds go.

Will it hold like GOG2 or like WW.

Who knows for sure ?

I'm sure it can do 2.5, which would get it close to 300M, but it's clear that Apes is getting pretty high reviews, even though that franchise is not my cup of tea, and Dunkirk will be the first real contender for Motion Picture of the Year. I'm not sure what to think of Valerian. They have thrown a hell of a lot of money in advertising at it, so it really depends on the reviews. The preview looks awesome in 3D, but we'll see if the movie holds up.

GOTGv2 had to go up against King Arthur (does anyone realize there was a King Arthur movie released this year?) and Alien Covenant which flopped hardcore, and Pirates which I enjoyed but was a major box office disappointment.

Wonder Woman had to go up against the Mummy, possibly the best known flop of the summer, considering no one remember King Arthur. Transformers was a freaking disaster and Cars 3 and DM3 also underperformed.

July just seems to be packed, and then it will taper off. I'm not sure about the Dark Tower. That seems to be one bound to disappoint fans of the book, judging from how they've done the trailer. It's been a long time since I read those books, but I can tell how compacted they are making this story. The Hitman's Bodyguard I think could be a surprise hit comedy.

It will be interesting to see how it pans out.

 

[Spiderine]

I'm pretty sure this movie has legs.

WW had great legs. Take that any way you want.

 

[Raiden]

WW had great legs. Take that any way you want.

Gal Gadot definitely has the best legs in the business.

 

[Juan1193]

No she isn't. In five weeks Guardians had already broken the $800m mark.

The conversation was about the domestic total not international or world wide.