2012: A Monster Year? (box office predictions) - Part 5

[Liam_H]

You would think the movie would drop hard last week cause of Skyfall. But I guess the GA really did enjoy it.

 

[matrix_ghost]

I'm surprised predictions for Twilight are so low
Granted i don't follow the BO news for twilight like other movies but i was just reading TOLDJA and saw that Twilight weekend prediction is around 150 million.
Surely something such as this should open much higher. Hell i was half expecting it to break TDRK opening weekend

 

[marvelman2006]

I don't know how big the market will be for a movie like Lincoln. It won't won't get my money, I'll leave my theater money for spectacle, not backroom politicking.

Thats essentially what it was, maybe 5 minutes of actually battle scenes but the rest is just politics.

 

[jacobed]

Which is what the movie is suppose to be about.

 

[Bruce Malone]

Yeah what is this notion that the only movies worth seeing in theaters have to have explosions in them?

Attitudes like this are why Michael Bay still gets work unfortunately. A good film can be "quiet".

 

[:eek:]

'Breaking Dawn Part 2' Earns $30.4 Million from Midnight/Thursday Night Shows

by Ray Subers


November 16, 2012


As expected, The Twilight Saga: Breaking Dawn Part 2 got off to a very impressive start last night. The fifth and final installment in the perennial franchise grossed an estimated $30.4 million from midnight and 10 p.m. Thursday showtimes, which is slightly higher than the midnight-only grosses for Breaking Dawn Part 1 ($30.25 million) and Eclipse ($30.1 million). It's also noticeably better than New Moon's $26.3 million.

Unfortunately, Lionsgate/Summit have declined to break out the grosses from the 10 p.m. Thursday shows, which should not be counted towards the opening weekend figure (the weekend is Friday to Sunday, not Thursday night to Sunday). Clearly, though, opening at 10 p.m. on Thursday makes it easier for younger audience members to get to theaters, so the $30.4 million figure is probably going to make up a larger portion of opening day than past midnight-only hauls.
If Breaking Dawn Part 2 does manage to follow Part 1's pattern from here, it will wind up with around $140 million by Sunday

 

[terry78]

Yeah what is this notion that the only movies worth seeing in theaters have to have explosions in them?

Attitudes like this are why Michael Bay still gets work unfortunately. A good film can be "quiet".

We need an explosion once every 15 minutes or our penises morph into vaginas.

 

[hammerhedd11]

Eh, looks like I was overly optimistic. Unless it really bounces back, looks like Skyfall is going to struggle to even make it to much more than 40 mil.

 

[Bruce Malone]

It's doing fine but it's predicted to make $38m the weekend. I mentioned before but i did believe lincoln would be going after some of the same audience.

It's predicted to debut mid-20's i believe.

 

[747]

Yeah what is this notion that the only movies worth seeing in theaters have to have explosions in them?

Attitudes like this are why Michael Bay still gets work unfortunately. A good film can be "quiet".

Seriously!

 

[hammerhedd11]

It's doing fine but it's predicted to make $38m the weekend. I mentioned before but i did believe lincoln would be going after some of the same audience.

It's predicted to debut mid-20's i believe.

Oh, yeah it's doing fine, I guess just me and many others were hopeful that it wouldn't have the typical 50-55% drop typical of big action movies. But it's still going to be the highest grossing Bond in a few days which is nothing to scoff at.
And yeah, Lincoln is doing exceptionally well. Way past expectations.

 

[:eek:]

'Breaking Dawn - Part 2' Reaches $199.6 Million Overseas; $340.9 Million Worldwide

on November 18, 2012
Sunday Update: Summit reports that Breaking Dawn - Part 2 has already grossed $199.6 million internationally. Key stats:
• UK - Once again the UK remains the top territory for the opening of Breaking Dawn - Part 2.
• Spain - Breaking Dawn - Part 2 is the top grossing 3-day weekend of all time.
• Latin America- The performance was incredible and delivered $43 million which is 57% above the opening of Breaking Dawn - Part 1, and already is more than ½ the box office for the entire engagement of Breaking Dawn - Part 1.
• France - France came in with a huge 2 million admissions on opening weekend; Best opening weekend of the year surpassing La vérité si je mens 3 - 1,660,445 admissions; 2nd best opening for franchise (behind New Moon)
• Australia- Continues to be one of the top markets for the franchise bringing in $12.7 million
• Scandinavia - Scandinavia delivered $9.8 million on opening weekend. $3.9 million from Sweden alone.
• Denmark - 7th best 4 day opening of all time.
• Finland - #2 opening of 2012
• Sweden - Biggest opening of 2012
• Norway - #4 opening of 2012
• Benelux - Benelux brought in $5.2 million on opening weekend
• Netherlands - Franchise record and 3rd best opening for 2012
• Overall internationally the grossed an estimated $3 million in IMAX from 82 locations (NOTE: this gross is factored into the overall estimate above)

 

[terry78]

Not shocked. Already doubled its budget.

 

[:eek:]

UPDATED: 'Skyfall' Becomes Biggest Bond Film Of All Time With $669.2 Million Worldwide; Sony Hits $4 Billion Worldwide

on November 18, 2012

Sunday (11/18) Update: Sony reports that Skyfall has grossed $161.3 million domestically and $507.9 million internationally for a worldwide cume of $669.2 million. Skyfall has now passed Casino Royale's $594.2 million worldwide haul in order to become the biggest Bond movie of all time. The success of Skyfall has helped Sony hit $4 billion worldwide for the first time in its history.
Key int'l stats for Skyfall:
GERMANY was off just 29% in its 3rd weekend, adding $10.3 million and bringing the market cume to $57.4 million. The UK fell off 47% in its 4th frame, grossing $8.9 million to bring the market cume to $133.4. SKYFALL is now the 2nd biggest film of all time in the UK with £82.7 million behind AVATAR (£94.0 million). FRANCE added $3.9, cume now $47.9.
HOLLAND held off new opener TWILIGHT SAGA: BREAKING DAWN - PART 2 to remain #1 in the market, fell off 32% in its 3rd frame, grossing $2.5 and bringing market cume to $12.7.
Other top markets for the weekend: SWITZERLAND fell 33% in its 3rd ($2.5 million/$14.2 million), ITALY ($1.6 million/$2.8 million), BRAZIL ($1.1 million/$12.4 million), RUSSIA ($1.0 million/$23.9 million), SPAIN ($1.0 million/$11.3 million), SWEDEN ($1.1 million/$13.2 million), DENMARK ($1.0 million/$11.5 million).

Australia and New Zealand release next week

 

[knowsbleed]

Yeah what is this notion that the only movies worth seeing in theaters have to have explosions in them?

Attitudes like this are why Michael Bay still gets work unfortunately. A good film can be "quiet".

Did anybody actually say this?

 

[hammerhedd11]

You said you go to the theatre solely for spectacle.

 

[Iceman]

I'm surprised predictions for Twilight are so low
Granted i don't follow the BO news for twilight like other movies but i was just reading TOLDJA and saw that Twilight weekend prediction is around 150 million.
Surely something such as this should open much higher. Hell i was half expecting it to break TDRK opening weekend

TDKR made 160m so the 150m prediction was not that far off. Twilight films are about as frontloaded as you can get, so much so that a lot of the demand is burnt out on the crazy opening Friday & the the relatively limp Saturday & Sunday prevents it from breaking opening weekend records.

 

[marvelman2006]

Did anybody actually say this?

Nope I just mentioned it had maybe 5 minutes of actual battle scenes and it would have been nice to see some of the war surrounding the amendmant while the amendmant was going on. Im not asking for explosions left and right but a break from the political satire would have been nice because at the end of the day the movie kind of beats you over the head in that department.

 

[jacobed]

The war was not the point of the movie. The point of it was what Lincoln had to go through to get the amendment passed.

 

[marvelman2006]

The war was not the point of the movie. The point of it was what Lincoln had to go through to get the amendment passed.

I understand that but at the beginning of the movie they showed a quick shot of gettysburg battle and then at the end a 30 second shot of the town being bombed by cannons. I understand what he had to go through but gives us some shots of the union loosing and showing how desperate lincoln was to get it passed and further add more soldiers to his army. But I guess showing 3 bumbling clowns buying votes was more important and I would have gladly sacrificed his son wanting to join the army arc in exchange for those war shots. I really felt the son arc/ the shots of them sitting in the morris code command center slowed the film down.

 

[Mrs. Sawyer]

If you want to see a Civil War movie, watch Glory or something else. This movie is about Lincoln's life, his own personal struggles, and his part in the Civil War, not about the Civil War itself.

 

[marvelman2006]

If you want to see a Civil War movie, watch Glory or something else. This movie is about Lincoln's life, his own personal struggles, and his part in the Civil War, not about the Civil War itself.

First, it was more of a glimpse into his life, what we saw was pretty much the life of the 13th amendmant. What the movie should have been was actually lincolns life and presidency in general and not merely the last year of his life. I feel like we never really got to know him besides a few scenes of him arguing with his wife and son. The rest was all his cabinet arguing about slaves being free or not. I would have much rather preferred to see a lincoln movie of his life from young teens to president.

It they dont want to show the battle and war itself then dont show shots at all or having a gruesome opening to make the audience expect that in the first 5 minutes.

 

[Bruce Malone]

First, it was more of a glimpse into his life, what we saw was pretty much the life of the 13th amendmant. What the movie should have been was actually lincolns life and presidency in general and not merely the last year of his life. I feel like we never really got to know him besides a few scenes of him arguing with his wife and son. The rest was all his cabinet arguing about slaves being free or not. I would have much rather preferred to see a lincoln movie of his life from young teens to president.

It they dont want to show the battle and war itself then dont show shots at all or having a gruesome opening to make the audience expect that in the first 5 minutes.

Who are you to say what a movie should or should not be about? It could have been entirely about the last day of Lincolns life and that would have been fine for anybody should care.

It was spielbergs movie and he chose to focus it on what he wanted. Not every film has to be a big sweeping bio-pic when dealing with important events. Should the movie 13 days about the cuban missile crisis have started with JFK's birth?

The movie was about a very specific and very important moment in not just lincoln's history but american history. The passage of the 13th ammendment is why blacks aren't in chains in america anymore. If you don't find that interesting enough, it was obviously not the right movie for you to see.

 

[marvelman2006]

Who are you to say what a movie should or should not be about? It could have been entirely about the last day of Lincolns life and that would have been fine for anybody should care.

It was spielbergs movie and he chose to focus it on what he wanted. Not every film has to be a big sweeping bio-pic when dealing with important events. Should the movie 13 days about the cuban missile crisis have started with JFK's birth?

The movie was about a very specific and very important moment in not just lincoln's history but american history. The passage of the 13th ammendment is why blacks aren't in chains in america anymore. If you don't find that interesting enough, it was obviously not the right movie for you to see.

First off excuse me but i have the right to say what the movie should or should not have been, we are in a forum for crying out loud. God forbid someone critique a movie. I understand it was an important event and if the movie is going to focus on just that then call the movie the 13th amendmant not simply lincoln inplyng an actual biopic. They had a movie called walk the line that came out in 2005 that focused on johnny cash covering his life. Thats how a movie called "lincoln" should have approached.

 

[Bruce Malone]

So now you're blaming the title? You should have read reviews before seeing the movie it was very obvious long before the movie came out what the focus of its story would be.

Also it's one thing to say how you would have liked the movie to be it's a another to say how "it should have" as in the movie and spielberg was wrong and you were right.

This movie was not made to be a bio-pic or a civil war drama and everything but the title (apparently to you) was made obvious long ago.