Aquaman Box Office Thread

Discussion in 'Aquaman' started by writer0327, Dec 23, 2017.

?

What will Aquaman's worldwide box office be?

  1. Over $900M

  2. $800-900M

  3. $700-800M

  4. $600-700M

  5. $500-600M

  6. Under $500M

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  1. BaelaTargaryen Registered

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    About Japan:

    JAPAN BOX OFFICE

     
  2. Marz69 Registered

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    When I first saw the MPR trailer and the part with the cartoon animation, I immediately compared it to what this generation is used to. And not just with movies but video games as well. I'm not talking about how good it was made but more about the content. And I couldn't help but feel that MPR felt really dated. I just couldn't imagine kids rushing to watch a movie about a nanny with all that "cuteness". So it doesn't surprise me that Japan isn't into it either.

    I hope AQM can pass CW, but I doubt it. It's done extraordinary regardless
     
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  3. macphisto96 Registered

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    Look at Bohemian Rhapsody. Awesome. Japan is the #2 global market. Talk about multipliers - it opened with $4M in Japan on Nov 11. It's already past a 20x, though that's more common in Japan.

    Realistically, I think Aquaman is tops $15-20M there. But strange things do occasionally happen there. Avatar was big and some of the visuals and undersea monsters may play very well in Japan.

    Outside of Spidey when he first launched, I think if there was one comic book character that could do gangbusters there it would be Aquaman. I think WB has focused on those monsters and the undersea visuals in their promo there - wise move for that market. WB has had $100M+ films there before for the Harry Potter franchise. The first Fantastic Beasts made almost $65M there and the second is near $60M - so WB may have gotten promo with that film for Aquaman as well, not sure how that works in Japan.

    Looking forward to those numbers. Anything above $5M opening would be really, really good since Japan is a leggier box office. It could do anywhere from $25-50M if it opens with $5M in Japan. If it opens with $7M, we may be looking at over $50M as I'm reviewing other similar films. Just have to keep an eye on the legs.
     
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  4. SomeOldGuy Registered

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    So it basically tied DP2 yesterday and will forge ahead today. Good show.

    Japan yawning at MPR is just the final knife twist. Japan has a weakness for Disney musicals and at one point I saw people talking about it earning $40-50 million there. As it is, its WW total isn’t even going to match Solo, the movie Disney buried last spring to put Poppins at the holidays. I have a hard time believing Solo wouldn’t have done better in MPR’s slot.
     
  5. dhandler01 Half breed!

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    Solo sucked...it would have crashed hard unless the extra time was used to change the movie in major ways. Time of year wasnt going to help it much because the audience rejected it for what it was not when it came out. (though it was way too close to TLJ which also didnt help)

    That said MPR majorly underperformed...and even the hardcore defenders cant deny it anymore. It didnt flop mind you, but it never caught on anywhere outside of the UK. The US it did ok and the rest of the world mostly ignored it. Disney took some calcualted risks in this year of films and outside of Marvel properties I got to think they are scratching their heads over the reception of many of them.

    Meanwhile Aquaman just keeps on making people happy :)
     
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  6. Iceman Daffy Duck Vs The Joker

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    Japan is a place with its own rulebook when it comes to box office. Films can make huge money there but still be a limp failure even when they are exploding everywhere else.
     
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  7. kendalag Registered

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    Update
    [​IMG]

    LotR: RoTK by Sunday, Transformers the following week.


    If Japan opens over 5 million this weekend, then we can maybe consider Civil War, but yeah otherwise 1.14-1.145 sounds about right.
     
  8. Greenlite Registered

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    Lol AM taking down CW outside NA
     
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  9. Micromind New World New Rules

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    [​IMG]
     
  10. SomeOldGuy Registered

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    Wednesday estimates:

    $360,000 -39% 2,926 $123 $324,946,129

    It will pass Sucide Squad (unadjusted) today.
     
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  11. SomeOldGuy Registered

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  12. Iceman Daffy Duck Vs The Joker

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    And by a fair bit already. Crazy ex-US number.
     
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  13. Micromind New World New Rules

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    Looks like Aquaman's China run is over at $ 298.33 mil, so close to $ 300 mil, oh well.

     
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  14. Micromind New World New Rules

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  15. harlequinade DayGirl

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    Whewww, it keeps winning left and right!
     
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  16. Micromind New World New Rules

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  17. harlequinade DayGirl

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    Where the hell is sequel announcement, though?
     
  18. Micromind New World New Rules

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    I love how Getty shark travels everywhere with Aquaman.
     
  19. SomeOldGuy Registered

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    Corpse’s weekend forecast for Japan:

    Weekend Forecast (02/09-10)
    01 (---) ¥240,000,000 ($2.2 million), 0, ¥335,000,000 ($3.0 million), Aquaman (Warner Bros.) NEW
    02 (---) ¥225,000,000 ($2.1 million), 0, ¥315,000,000 ($2.9 million), City Hunter (Aniplex) NEW
    03 (01) ¥211,000,000 ($1.9 million), -37%, ¥925,000,000 ($8.5 million), The Seven Conferences (Toho) WK2
    04 (02) ¥205,000,000 ($1.9 million), -35%, ¥3,150,000,000 ($28.8 million), Masquerade Hotel (Toho) WK4
    05 (---) ¥200,000,000 ($1.8 million), 0, ¥200,000,000 ($1.8 million), Code Geass: Lelouch of the Rebellion (Showgate) NEW
    06 (---) ¥150,000,000 ($1.4 million), 0, ¥185,000,000 ($1.7 million), First Man (Toho-Towa) NEW
    07 (04) ¥137,000,000 ($1.2 million), -31%, ¥11,325,000,000 ($101.5 million), Bohemian Rhapsody (Fox) WK14
    08 (05) ¥115,000,000 ($1.1 million), -38%, ¥550,000,000 ($5.0 million), Mary Poppins Returns (Disney) WK2
    09 (06) ¥112,000,000 ($1.0 million), -39%, ¥1,040,000,000 ($9.5 million), 12 Suicidal Teens (Warner Bros.) WK3
    10 (03) ¥110,000,000 ($1.0 million), -45%, ¥575,000,000 ($5.2 million), Snow Flowers (Warner Bros.) WK2

    Very interesting Top 10 this weekend. The #1 spot could realistically go to any of the Top 5 films. This is also a long three-day weekend (national holiday on Monday), so the inflated Sunday could paint an entirely different picture from Saturday's results.

    >Aquaman is... probably the favorite to win the weekend, though it did come in second place on Friday. Its weekend pre-sales are also just 11% higher than Justice League's, and 16% lower than Wonder Woman's. Both comparisons suggest a debut around ¥225 million. I'm expecting a slightly higher number than that due to a slight increase in ticket sales, but I doubt it reaches ¥250 million.
     
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  20. Madam-Shogun Assassin

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    Supposedly there's a Trench spin off coming. Lol
     
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  21. SomeOldGuy Registered

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    [​IMG]
     
  22. Iceman Daffy Duck Vs The Joker

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    I thought it’d miss by a bit with the pace it was going at. The number is obviously still amazing!
     
  23. Iceman Daffy Duck Vs The Joker

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    Yeah, I certainly didn’t expect that lol.
     
  24. Iceman Daffy Duck Vs The Joker

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    The company it’s keeping these days is crazy. :D:
     
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  25. SomeOldGuy Registered

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