BvS Batman V Superman Box Office Prediction - Part 1

[Marvin]

This place should take one of those interesting turns when the first trailer(s) drop. Something I'm expecting in the next few months tbh.

Not just due to the content/material, but rather due to the reaction of said trailer(s).
Believe it.

 

[CGNefarious]

Is it bad that I've already planned on seeing it opening night, waiting an hour or two to let it settle in and maybe grab some food, then seeing it again?

I have faith that this movie will do very well. Of course that does mean anything, but considering the hype and attention that the little things that have been released so far get, I can't see this film doing too poorly. Hell, if everyone would just get as excited about this movie as I am, it could make 3 to 4 billion easy.

 

[Iceman]

Is it bad that I've already planned on seeing it opening night, waiting an hour or two to let it settle in and maybe grab some food, then seeing it again?

I have faith that this movie will do very well. Of course that does mean anything, but considering the hype and attention that the little things that have been released so far get, I can't see this film doing too poorly. Hell, if everyone would just get as excited about this movie as I am, it could make 3 to 4 million easy.

Hopefully it makes a bit more than 3-4 million.

 

[Noctis]

its all about those early reviews and extreme marketing by WB

 

[bluearth]

Its a Zack Snyder film, so no matter how good it is many critics wont risk 'cred' by giving it a good score. So I expect a low 70s RT score mostly thanks to Ben Affleck being in it and a dialogue heavy Chris Terrio script.

We've only really had one such other big movie launch at the same time of year and that was Captain America the Winter Soldier. It hauled in 700 million thanks to being a sequel, having great reviews, and the Avengers bump.

So we have to factor in how Batman v Superman compares to the Winter Solider.

Captain America 2 scored 89% on Rotten Tomatoes. Theres no way Batman v Superman scores that high. Critics dislike Zack Snyder films, he only has 2 movies rated higher then 60% on Rotten Tomatoes.

However I believe the addition of Ben Affleck (star power in a major role) and screenwriter Chris Terrio (who will write a film closer to oscar bait then fanboy bait like David Goyer) will help the film's RT score. So I predict a RT score of 75%.

So because I predict it to score about 15% less then Winter Soldier on Rotten Tomatoes that loses the film some money.

So we go from a 700m worldwide gross to 650 million.

Next is the characters. Superman is more popular then Captain America, so is Batman. Then there is Aquaman who will have a major role. And of course the first apperance of Wonderwoman.

So,

650m current then,

+75m for Superman
+100m for Batman
+40m for Wonder Woman
+20m for Aquaman

= 885 million

Then,

+ 100m for Batman and Superman on the screen together for the first time hype

= 985 million

+15m for Hans Zimmer score

=1 Billion

So there it is, I think the film will settle down around the 1 billion mark world wide.

 

[Aejej]

I don't see how this film cannot hit the big 1B marker. Then factor in the eventual Blu-ray/DVD sales and that should be incentive enough for more films.

 

[dnno1]

Its a Zack Snyder film, so no matter how good it is many critics wont risk 'cred' by giving it a good score. So I expect a low 70s RT score mostly thanks to Ben Affleck being in it and a dialogue heavy Chris Terrio script.

We've only really had one such other big movie launch at the same time of year and that was Captain America the Winter Soldier. It hauled in 700 million thanks to being a sequel, having great reviews, and the Avengers bump.

So we have to factor in how Batman v Superman compares to the Winter Solider.

Captain America 2 scored 89% on Rotten Tomatoes. Theres no way Batman v Superman scores that high. Critics dislike Zack Snyder films, he only has 2 movies rated higher then 60% on Rotten Tomatoes.

However I believe the addition of Ben Affleck (star power in a major role) and screenwriter Chris Terrio (who will write a film closer to oscar bait then fanboy bait like David Goyer) will help the film's RT score. So I predict a RT score of 75%.

So because I predict it to score about 15% less then Winter Soldier on Rotten Tomatoes that loses the film some money.

So we go from a 700m worldwide gross to 650 million.

Next is the characters. Superman is more popular then Captain America, so is Batman. Then there is Aquaman who will have a major role. And of course the first apperance of Wonderwoman.

So,

650m current then,

+75m for Superman
+100m for Batman
+40m for Wonder Woman
+20m for Aquaman

= 885 million

Then,

+ 100m for Batman and Superman on the screen together for the first time hype

= 985 million

+15m for Hans Zimmer score

=1 Billion

So there it is, I think the film will settle down around the 1 billion mark world wide.

I don't see how you could be so confident that BvS couldn't get a score higher than 89%, when you have an Academy award winning writer in Chris Terrio, who is writing from a David Goyer screenplay (a guy whom is looked at highly enough to be nominated for awards by his peers), especially since you haven't seen hide nor hair of the story or even a full length trailer. Furthermore your numbers are off. Even with a 55% RT score, "Man of Steel" made more than $668 million. Sure, this is not technically a Batman film, but because he is in it you bring along the legions of Batman fans, which helped his franchise make billions. Even on a bad day you you could still get an extra $300 million from his presence alone. Wonder Woman, Aquaman, and a cameo by Cyborg are just icing on the cake (another $250 million). I think this film could make $1.5 billion easy.

 

[HaplessHenchman]

Its a Zack Snyder film, so no matter how good it is many critics wont risk 'cred' by giving it a good score. So I expect a low 70s RT score mostly thanks to Ben Affleck being in it and a dialogue heavy Chris Terrio script.

We've only really had one such other big movie launch at the same time of year and that was Captain America the Winter Soldier. It hauled in 700 million thanks to being a sequel, having great reviews, and the Avengers bump.

So we have to factor in how Batman v Superman compares to the Winter Solider.

Captain America 2 scored 89% on Rotten Tomatoes. Theres no way Batman v Superman scores that high. Critics dislike Zack Snyder films, he only has 2 movies rated higher then 60% on Rotten Tomatoes.

However I believe the addition of Ben Affleck (star power in a major role) and screenwriter Chris Terrio (who will write a film closer to oscar bait then fanboy bait like David Goyer) will help the film's RT score. So I predict a RT score of 75%.

So because I predict it to score about 15% less then Winter Soldier on Rotten Tomatoes that loses the film some money.

So we go from a 700m worldwide gross to 650 million.

Next is the characters. Superman is more popular then Captain America, so is Batman. Then there is Aquaman who will have a major role. And of course the first apperance of Wonderwoman.

So,

650m current then,

+75m for Superman
+100m for Batman
+40m for Wonder Woman
+20m for Aquaman

= 885 million

Then,

+ 100m for Batman and Superman on the screen together for the first time hype

= 985 million

+15m for Hans Zimmer score

=1 Billion

So there it is, I think the film will settle down around the 1 billion mark world wide.

I'm just curious but where did you hear that Aquaman will have a major role? Everything I've seen said he will only have a cameo, if that.

I agree with you about Snyder and the critics though. It does seem like it is the cool thing to do to hate on his movies among them.

 

[dalonewolf]

I'm just curious but where did you hear that Aquaman will have a major role? Everything I've seen said he will only have a cameo, if that.

I agree with you about Snyder and the critics though. It does seem like it is the cool thing to do to hate on his movies among them.

and that's a shame when Snyder has giving us two of the best comic book movies of all time

 

[The Shape]

It's fascinating to see people who think they know so much about what can or will happen in the future, isn't it?

 

[dalonewolf]

It's fascinating to see people who think they know so much about what can or will happen in the future, isn't it?

Its fascinating to see so many haters in this world

 

[WingedAvenger89]

Captain America 2 scored 89% on Rotten Tomatoes. Theres no way Batman v Superman scores that high. Critics dislike Zack Snyder films, he only has 2 movies rated higher then 60% on Rotten Tomatoes.

People give the Marvel Studio films such a pass for their whimsical, light hearted nature. As opposed to treating things seriously. It's no more evident than the RT, and critic scores of CAWS and GOTG. They're easy watching, easy consumption, like comfort fast food ... so they're not held to higher standards. Thus, higher scores.

I think BvS coming out in March at first seemed odd to me, but then it hit me as a stroke of genius.

It gets a HUGE head start on all summer blockbusters. People are going to see a film with Batman and Superman individually regardless, now together? Releasing it at a time with no competition gives it the opportunity to make huge sums of cash.

 

[Iceman]

Its a Zack Snyder film, so no matter how good it is many critics wont risk 'cred' by giving it a good score. So I expect a low 70s RT score mostly thanks to Ben Affleck being in it and a dialogue heavy Chris Terrio script.

We've only really had one such other big movie launch at the same time of year and that was Captain America the Winter Soldier. It hauled in 700 million thanks to being a sequel, having great reviews, and the Avengers bump.

So we have to factor in how Batman v Superman compares to the Winter Solider.

Captain America 2 scored 89% on Rotten Tomatoes. Theres no way Batman v Superman scores that high. Critics dislike Zack Snyder films, he only has 2 movies rated higher then 60% on Rotten Tomatoes.

However I believe the addition of Ben Affleck (star power in a major role) and screenwriter Chris Terrio (who will write a film closer to oscar bait then fanboy bait like David Goyer) will help the film's RT score. So I predict a RT score of 75%.

So because I predict it to score about 15% less then Winter Soldier on Rotten Tomatoes that loses the film some money.

So we go from a 700m worldwide gross to 650 million.

Next is the characters. Superman is more popular then Captain America, so is Batman. Then there is Aquaman who will have a major role. And of course the first apperance of Wonderwoman.

So,

650m current then,

+75m for Superman
+100m for Batman
+40m for Wonder Woman
+20m for Aquaman

= 885 million

Then,

+ 100m for Batman and Superman on the screen together for the first time hype

= 985 million

+15m for Hans Zimmer score

=1 Billion

So there it is, I think the film will settle down around the 1 billion mark world wide.

You're adding on bonus amounts for Batman and Superman. If those 2 don't turn up the base $650m will be for Lex Luthor vs the extras? t:

 

[The Shape]

+ $3 million for Alfred

+ $1.5 million for Ma Kent

+ $775,000 for Amy Adams cleavage

+ $650 per joke

 

[Marvin]

First dcu film to get the shared universe bump. I think people underestimate just what that sort of thing does(or has been doing).

Still can't wait to see what the reaction to the trailer does to this very thread.

 

[Flint Marko]

I hate the idea of "Oh it's a Snyder movie so it'll automatically get bad reviews".
His films in the past have received a poor reception because for the most part they deserved it, it has nothing to do with some sort of bias the critics have against him. If BvS is good, it will be acknowledged.

 

[InJustice]

Its fascinating to see so many haters in this world

It's fascinating to see people confuse realistic points of view with "hating."

 

[Pickleweasel]

Its a Zack Snyder film, so no matter how good it is many critics wont risk 'cred' by giving it a good score. So I expect a low 70s RT score mostly thanks to Ben Affleck being in it and a dialogue heavy Chris Terrio script.

We've only really had one such other big movie launch at the same time of year and that was Captain America the Winter Soldier. It hauled in 700 million thanks to being a sequel, having great reviews, and the Avengers bump.

So we have to factor in how Batman v Superman compares to the Winter Solider.

Captain America 2 scored 89% on Rotten Tomatoes. Theres no way Batman v Superman scores that high. Critics dislike Zack Snyder films, he only has 2 movies rated higher then 60% on Rotten Tomatoes.

However I believe the addition of Ben Affleck (star power in a major role) and screenwriter Chris Terrio (who will write a film closer to oscar bait then fanboy bait like David Goyer) will help the film's RT score. So I predict a RT score of 75%.

So because I predict it to score about 15% less then Winter Soldier on Rotten Tomatoes that loses the film some money.

So we go from a 700m worldwide gross to 650 million.

Next is the characters. Superman is more popular then Captain America, so is Batman. Then there is Aquaman who will have a major role. And of course the first apperance of Wonderwoman.

So,

650m current then,

+75m for Superman
+100m for Batman
+40m for Wonder Woman
+20m for Aquaman

= 885 million

Then,

+ 100m for Batman and Superman on the screen together for the first time hype

= 985 million

+15m for Hans Zimmer score

=1 Billion

So there it is, I think the film will settle down around the 1 billion mark world wide.

15 million for Hans Zimmer? 1.5 million people are going to go see the movie for the pure fact that Hans Zimmer scored the movie? Are you on drugs?

 

[TheNextNolan22]

I know I am.

 

[Greens]

So,

650m current then,

+75m for Superman
+100m for Batman
+40m for Wonder Woman
+20m for Aquaman

= 885 million

Then,

+ 100m for Batman and Superman on the screen together for the first time hype

= 985 million

+15m for Hans Zimmer score

=1 Billion

So there it is, I think the film will settle down around the 1 billion mark world wide.

That is some arbitrary math...

 

[bgshw44]

Assuming this movie is of a high quality, then anything less than $1b has to be a disappointment when you have the 2 most recognizable figures in the world on the screen together.

 

[GreenKToo]

Throw in some burritos and you will have another 2 mill. everyone loves burritos.

 

[G.Godfrey]

Cav-el's unshaved chest hair will nest 200.000$ more than shaved would and a shirtless Batfleck will garner* an additional 150.000$ . Experts say that a falafel salesman could potentially add 43.320$ mostly from the international box office. More expert analysis on BvS BO potential to be released after approval from Kim Jong-un.

*not that Garner

 

[dalonewolf]

The look on my face when IMBD already has bvs predicted at a billion

That is some arbitrary math...

 

[queendarkness12]

1) I think the long delay will be worth it, because WB/DC want this film to be perfect and hit the audience the right way.

2) The big screen debut of Wonder Woman will certainly draw the female audience, finally having their own cinematic hero and can secure an audience for her solo.

3) I'm confident of this movie doing well in the quality spectrum because of Chris Terrio's script because Argo was a great film and the characters were well developed.

4) The big names may draw the audience, but the quality of the story, character development and subtle world building will be able to keep the audience.

6) I think WB/DC's goal is to draw the audience with Batman and Superman, but will want people to leave talking about Wonder Woman, Cyborg and Aquaman.

I think $1 Billion could be a feasible goal, if they follow these six steps to ensure this to be a great film.

Which will set the bar high in which it will be tough for X-Men: Apocalypse and Captain America: Civil War to follow.