BvS Batman V Superman Box Office Prediction - Part 1

[DlAMONDZ]

Japan only will open by September 2016??? They give up japan market?

Where did you see that?

I was thinking something like June

 

[fake]

Japan only will open by September 2016??? They give up japan market?

Japan always opens late for movies. The reason is that piracy is non existent in Japan and therefore movies can delay as long as they want, make Japan specific promotions and if the movie does well in the US, it improves the Japan take as well.

For example, Avengers 2 just opened in Japan to try and coincide with Japanese school holidays.

 

[Legendver2]

Well after today's trailer, I'd say 1.5b ww is pretty much set

 

[Mandon Knight]

Literally, could be anything after that trailer.... watch out Avatar is all I am saying....

 

[Aejej]

This trailer literally has 18 out of 20 people fired up everywhere I look. The two odd ones out are the obligatory Marvel troll and the token "disappointed by Man of Steel but this trailer surprised me" fan.

A billion dollar gross is a lock.

 

[DarthSkywalker]

All the money that is left in the world after Star Wars comes out.

 

[Iceman]

Expectations have risen further after that trailer.

 

[Val_Zod]

WB and Zack Snyder know how to market a movie. Between the concept and stellar marketing, this thing is going to have a crazy opening weekend.

 

[dalonewolf]

The trailer is amazing something I wasn't even expecting
Didn't think they would give us so much but glad they did
I have watched it 20 times already
It's like cracking I swear

 

[JOE]

Literally, could be anything after that trailer.... watch out Avatar is all I am saying....

The only movies I think could ever even get close to Avatar would be the Infinity War movies or Justice Leavue movies. Besides that this movie would need legs of steel. I definitely think 1B is a lock though after that trailer. Possibly Age of Ultron numbers.

 

[dalonewolf]

The only movies I think could ever even get close to Avatar would be the Infinity War movies or Justice Leavue movies. Besides that this movie would need legs of steel. I definitely think 1B is a lock though after that trailer. Possibly Age of Ultron numbers.

Did you ever think avatar would make as much???
Trick question

 

[Marz69]

After seeing the trailer, this movie will blow up. I knew it would make serious money, but hot d@mn this will be insane

 

[Nokio]

Im not making any more predictions, after seeing Furious 8 beat Avengers 2 at the box office im not making any predictions. Dont get me started on Jurrassic World. While both were entertaining popcorn flicks neither was better then Avengers AoU, which doesnt mean much nowadays.

 

[mclay18]

Im not making any more predictions, after seeing Furious 8 beat Avengers 2 at the box office im not making any predictions. Dont get me started on Jurrassic World. While both were entertaining popcorn flicks neither was better then Avengers AoU, which doesnt mean much nowadays.

JW blew up like the first Avengers. No one expected either to break box office records... people flat-out loved them.

BVS is a different animal. Folks expect it to open big, but will it leg out? Or will it open like Universal's F&F franchise and peter out quickly?

I think it's safe to say WB will be happy if the movie opens to $145M-$150M opening weekend domestic. I would go on the lower end due to BVS opening on Easter weekend, but the Friday and Saturday could make up for lost ground.

 

[redfirebird2008]

JW blew up like the first Avengers. No one expected either to break box office records... people flat-out loved them.

BVS is a different animal. Folks expect it to open big, but will it leg out? Or will it open like Universal's F&F franchise and peter out quickly?

I think it's safe to say WB will be happy if the movie opens to $145M-$150M opening weekend domestic. I would go on the lower end due to BVS opening on Easter weekend, but the Friday and Saturday could make up for lost ground.

Easter doesn't really deflate the box office much. Fast & Furious 7 dropped 29% that day, which isn't bad considering everyone has to go back to school and work on Monday anyway.

F&F7's opening Friday (and Thursday preview) was on steroids since 90-95% of the population is on vacation for Good Friday. I would expect something similar on an even bigger scale for BvS.

 

[Bruce Malone]

Well after today's trailer, I'd say 1.5b ww is pretty much set

Look at the Age of Ultron prediction thread, nothing is set.

This movie will do great but I'm starting to think we may be entering a time where non-superhero blockbuster films i.e Jurrasic World, Fast Furious may take over as the highest grossing films again?

 

[MessiahDecoy123]

Look at the Age of Ultron prediction thread, nothing is set.

This movie will do great but I'm starting to think we may be entering a time where non-superhero blockbuster films i.e Jurrasic World, Fast Furious may take over as the highest grossing films again?

You can only do so much with speeding cars and dinosaurs.

The superhero genre has endless possibilities and decades of stories. That's why they're such a creative goldmine for Hollywood.

 

[Val_Zod]

Look at the Age of Ultron prediction thread, nothing is set.

This movie will do great but I'm starting to think we may be entering a time where non-superhero blockbuster films i.e Jurrasic World, Fast Furious may take over as the highest grossing films again?

This isn't the first time the genre wasn't on top. Before Avengers came out, Avatar, Harry Potter and The Transformers franchise were killing it at the box office. Heck, look at just last year, the top 2 grossers weren't Superhero movies, despite 3 coming out. Very rarely are Superhero movies at the very top, but they are by and far Hollywood's most reliable money makers.

 

[Sterling Archer]

Look at the Age of Ultron prediction thread, nothing is set.

This movie will do great but I'm starting to think we may be entering a time where non-superhero blockbuster films i.e Jurrasic World, Fast Furious may take over as the highest grossing films again?

I don't mean to be disrespectful, but Furious 7 was purely that successful because of Paul Walker's unfortunate passing. Jurassic World was always going to be huge because of the nostalgia people have for those movies.

 

[brandeezy89]

I honestly believe that this movie will be an major event when it releases in March sort of like the Pac vs Mayweather fight lol. 20M views off Youtube alone in 48hrs is insane. If WB pushes the marketing to the max then i'm thinking Avatar/Titanic numbers for sure, maybe beyond. Think about it, 2 of the most popular Superheroes in the world on the big screen for the very 1st time in cinema history. A big deal

 

[kedrell]

No one's ever getting to Avatar or Titanic numbers WW. Or at the very least, no one will see it coming when such a thing does happen. Just like no one saw JW or F7 coming this year and even then they aren't going to make it. BvS should fall anywhere in the $1 billion or higher club. Deciding where is pretty much a crap shoot. MoS wasn't that well received so that's a factor as well.

 

[Unbreakable Lex]

Looks like Batman v Superman won comic con according to twitter.

http://www.wired.com/2015/07/comic-con-twitter-trending/?mbid=social_twitter

 

[Val_Zod]

No one's ever getting to Avatar or Titanic numbers WW. Or at the very least, no one will see it coming when such a thing does happen. Just like no one saw JW or F7 coming this year and even then they aren't going to make it. BvS should fall anywhere in the $1 billion or higher club. Deciding where is pretty much a crap shoot. MoS wasn't that well received so that's a factor as well.

People strongly overplay the "negative" response to MOS. In all frankness, it's quite inconsequential to a film like this. Perhaps it have played a part in regular MOS 2 opening, but the moment they announced this as BvS, all of the negative response to MOS is negligible at best.

Between the event factor of the film
Many of the detractors are vocal fans who will see a movie like this op weekend
And Blu-Ray sales for MOS were quite substantial, so the film did find an audience


I also want to mention, response for the phase 1 films for Marvel weren't that glowing, aside from Ironman. Avengers made the money it did, due to it's event factor.

 

[kedrell]

It'll be a factor. I didn't say how much because no one knows. But previous installments DO have an effect based on how people liked what came before. You saying it'll be negligable is just as much an assumption as me saying it'll be significant in it's effect. Truth is we just don't know what extent it'll be to.

And every single one of the phase 1 films had at least a solid majority of critics behind it and the sales also attested to consumers agreeing with them for the most part. None of them were split like MoS or TASM2(which are two that are very comparable).

MoS had a not good 2.25X multiplier for a reason. That's a notably worse multiplier than any MCU film ever had.

 

[Bruce Malone]

I think they've done a good job so far in marketing to distinguish it enough from MoS to where it feels more like its own thing vs a sequel to a mixed response film.

I can guarantee anything under a billion will be seen as a disappointment for WB. What the upper level for it is I don't know yet? and probably won't until we hear about its word of mouth. The multiplier is going to be key here.