BvS Batman V Superman Box Office Prediction - - - - - - - Part 16

[third3ye]

If they became overconfident in their brand and promised -- or worse, guaranteed -- an ROI for investors based on that budgeted amount, then they could definitely be in a bit of trouble as a result. I would argue that financial expectations are just as important as financial results in the business of super-hero movie franchises, because so much is being done to set up future ventures.

Time Warner's next quarterly earnings call is this Wed, it'll be interesting to see if analysts grill Bewkes and his team about BvS' performance and the state of WB as a whole.

 

[RLAAMJR.]

(Revised)

Internationally, BvS doesn't even make the top 10 grossing movies for 2016.

Domestically, probably 10th


Projected Top 21 For 2016 (Domestic)

1) Star Wars Rogue One - $600M
2) Civil War - $550M
3) Warcraft - $400
4) Dory - $390M
5) Deadpool - $362M
6) The Jungle Book - $350M
7) Independence Day 2 - $345M
8) Zootopia - $340M
9) Alice - $335M
10) Batman v Superman - $332M

11) Doctor Strange - $260M ($700M WW)
12) Suicide Squad - $255M
13) Jason Bourne - $250M
14) Star Trek Beyond - $240M
15) X-Men Apocalypse - $230M
16) Ninja Turtles 2 - $220M
17) Moana - $210M
18) Magnificent Seven - $200M
19) Fantastic Beasts - $190M
20) Ice Age - $180M
21) Ghostbusters - $170M

X-men Apocalypse is tooo low

 

[Stark Bauer]

I'm revising my number for X Men Apocalypse to $250-260M

 

[Jaxon]

X-men Apocalypse is tooo low

No one likes X-men and it's at a bad time where the GA will be fatigued after recent movies.

 

[dark_b]

so a lot of people are saying that WB expected 1 billion. some disagree.

but.......BvS had big opening numbers. and if BvS would have normal drops from week to week it would go above 1 billion. noone expected the drops to be so high. not fans and not WB IMO. so isnt this proof that they were 100% sure ?

i just do not understand.

 

[Reek]

No one likes X-men and it's at a bad time where the GA will be fatigued after recent movies.

No one likes X-men? What have you been smoking?

I bet you more than 28% of the GA like X-men.

 

[Reek]

who does a 'top 21 list'? lol

 

[Loden Greatstorm]

(Revised)

Internationally, BvS doesn't even make the top 10 grossing movies for 2016.

Domestically, probably 10th


Projected Top 21 For 2016 (Domestic)

1) Star Wars Rogue One - $600M
2) Civil War - $550M
3) Warcraft - $400
4) Dory - $390M
5) Deadpool - $362M
6) The Jungle Book - $350M
7) Independence Day 2 - $345M
8) Zootopia - $340M
9) Alice - $335M
10) Batman v Superman - $332M

11) Doctor Strange - $260M ($700M WW)
12) Suicide Squad - $255M
13) Jason Bourne - $250M
14) Star Trek Beyond - $240M
15) X-Men Apocalypse - $230M
16) Ninja Turtles 2 - $220M
17) Moana - $210M
18) Magnificent Seven - $200M
19) Fantastic Beasts - $190M
20) Ice Age - $180M
21) Ghostbusters - $170M

No way Warcraft makes $400. No chance. Nope. Not happening.

 

[Reek]

Or rogue one making 600. come on. more like $450.

 

[Slade W]

No one likes X-men? What have you been smoking?

I bet you more than 28% of the GA like X-men.

 

[TheScarecrow]

Projected Top 21 For 2016 (Domestic)

1) Star Wars Rogue One - $600M
2) Civil War - $550M
3) Warcraft - $400
4) Dory - $390M
5) Deadpool - $362M
6) The Jungle Book - $350M
7) Independence Day 2 - $345M
8) Zootopia - $340M
9) Alice - $335M
10) Batman v Superman - $332M

11) Doctor Strange - $260M ($700M WW)
12) Suicide Squad - $255M
13) Jason Bourne - $250M
14) Star Trek Beyond - $240M
15) X-Men Apocalypse - $230M
16) Ninja Turtles 2 - $220M
17) Moana - $210M
18) Magnificent Seven - $200M
19) Fantastic Beasts - $190M
20) Ice Age - $180M
21) Ghostbusters - $170M

I think Warcraft will be a big flop.

X-Men will do better than that.

Fantastic Beasts will do at least $100m better than that.

 

[Reek]

Oh good lord... i didnt even notice he had Fantastic beasts THAT low and Ghostbusters THAT high....

More like Fantastic beasts $350M and Ghostbusters $85M

 

[OzzMosiz]

Oh good lord... i didnt even notice he had Fantastic beasts THAT low and Ghostbusters THAT high....

More like Fantastic beasts $350M and Ghostbusters $85M

Ghostbusters will do much better than $85. Probably finish around the $140 mark

 

[Nardz937]

Two solo Batman movies did over a billion twice, but a movie with Batman, Superman and Wonder Woman can't even do 900 million?

Warner Bros, you f***ed up.

 

[titansupes]

No one likes X-men and it's at a bad time where the GA will be fatigued after recent movies.

These are the X-Men that have scored critical acclaim with their last three or four movies, and every one in the franchise getting consistently good box office returns over the last 16 years? Those X-Men?

 

[Lantern Venom]

No one likes X-men and it's at a bad time where the GA will be fatigued after recent movies.

How in the world did you arrive at this conclusion? In 2014, the Death of Wolverine landed 4 of the top 10 selling comic book spots. They've been one of the most consistently popular comics for the last 50 years. In the last 15, they've spawned 9 live-action films (including Deadpool) and have appeared in countless video games and animated series. In short, the X-Men are pop culture icons.

 

[Spiderdevil]

No one likes X-men and it's at a bad time where the GA will be fatigued after recent movies.

LOL, I am not an X-men fan per se but that statement is completely wrong, there is a possibility that Apocalypse ends up making more than BvS

 

[DJ_KiDDvIcIOUs]

LOL, I am not an X-men fan per se but that statement is completely wrong, there is a possibility that Apocalypse ends up making more than BvS

I could def see that happening if FOX-Men continues the trend of improvement with their universe. They've done some major course correcting with the property starting with First Class and have consistently brought home the bacon for the studio and pleased fans. I still won't pay to see one of their films but I'm not gonna lie and see the last few films haven't been pretty damn good.

 

[Filmfan93]

No one likes X-men and it's at a bad time where the GA will be fatigued after recent movies.

Nope. Not even that big of an X-Men fan, but this is simply wrong. X-Men movies have been going for 16 years and most of them score a decent BO and critical success.

 

[Reek]

"No one likes X-Men." .... Since this place is all about RT scores....

http://www.rottentomatoes.com/m/deadpool/

http://www.rottentomatoes.com/m/x_men_first_class/

http://www.rottentomatoes.com/m/x2_xmen_united/

http://www.rottentomatoes.com/m/x_men_days_of_future_past/

http://www.rottentomatoes.com/m/xmen/

http://www.rottentomatoes.com/m/the_wolverine_2012/

 

[Reek]

And by the way... the 2 poorly received X-Men movies... Were higher than 28%.

 

[MadVillainy]

"No one likes X-Men" is a ridiculous statement when the last two movies (if you count Deadpool) made over 700 mill.

What a baseless and silly statement.

I don't even think Apocalypse looks that good, but plenty of people like/love X-Men.

 

[Reek]

If apocalypse has good reviews like DoFP... it could very well reach 900... even a billion.

 

[MadVillainy]

If apocalypse has good reviews like DoFP... it could very well reach 900... even a billion.

I don't know. I'm not seeing it reaching 900 mill.

But then again I thought Deadpool would get 300 mill max so we'll see

 

[Reek]

DofP made 750M...

IF XMA gets good reviews... i definitely see 900.