BvS Batman V Superman Box Office Prediction - Part 2

[kedrell]

Most would have said the same of Spectre but it ain't gonna make it there.

 

[jokesonm3]

Most would have said the same of Spectre but it ain't gonna make it there.

Spectre does not have the same amount of hype as Batman v Superman.

Whether people like or hate this film everyones gonna watch it, and it's opening on easter, no ones at work or school, families want to go to the cinema with nothing on except for Batman v Superman and no competition for the weeks ahead, hell that sounds like a clear winner to me.

 

[kedrell]

Everyone's gonna watch it opening weekend, sure. But after that it's up to it's quality to get it passed the billion mark. And I don't have lots of faith in it's quality at this point.

 

[jokesonm3]

Everyone's gonna watch it opening weekend, sure. But after that it's up to it's quality to get it passed the billion mark.

What else is going to opening up after that for weeks?

It'll stay at No1 for weeks and has what everyone in the general audience wants, tons of action, cool superheroes, funny moments thus that equals good returns to the cinemas.

 

[STARMAN]

The foreign totals have become so important. Looking back, MOS' foreign totals ended up being more troublesome to its bottom line than the second week drop off.

 

[jokesonm3]

The foreign totals have become so important. Looking back, MOS' foreign totals ended up being more troublesome to its bottom line than the second week drop off.

At the minimum i'm thinking 200 million in china.

I doubt folks from there use Rotten Tomatoes anyway.

 

[kedrell]

What else is going to opening up after that for weeks?

I haven't looked but even if there's nothing that doesn't guarantee the billion. People still have to like the movie. I have yet to see the movie that crossed the billion $ mark on pre-release hype alone.

 

[jokesonm3]

I haven't looked but even if there's nothing that doesn't guarantee the billion. People still have to like the movie. I have yet to see the movie that crossed the billion $ mark on pre-release hype alone.

Avengers, iron man etc.

And there's not gonna be hate for it to the point where no one wants to watch it again, in fact Man of Steel domestically did really damn well for a Superman film with no franchise legs.

Domestic totals:

MoS: $291m

Thor 2: $206m

The Wolverine: $132m

Cap TWS: $259m

Xmen DOFP: $233m

Man of Steel made more domestically then those superhero films with far less competition, the only problem was the foreign box office like STARMAN pointed out, but with the insanely high growing market of China this film will do damn good overseas.

My BvS predictions are:

DOM: $400m

INT: $700m

WW: $1.1 billion

 

[jokesonm3]

Besides if a film like the third hobbit film (which was a mixed as Man of Steel was) can make $700 million internationally on a december then im sure as hell Batman vs Superman will make that aswell maybe even more.

 

[kedrell]

Avengers, iron man etc.

Yeah, people just HATED those movies. That's why they didn't just crawl to a billion $ but blew passed that mark by several hundred million $ each.

And there's not gonna be hate for it to the point where no one wants to watch it again, in fact Man of Steel domestically did really damn well for a Superman film with no franchise legs.

Domestic totals:

MoS: $291m

Thor 2: $206m

The Wolverine: $132m

Cap TWS: $259m

Xmen DOFP: $233m

Man of Steel made more domestically then those superhero films with far less competition, the only problem was the foreign box office like STARMAN pointed out, but with the insanely high growing market of China this film will do damn good overseas.

My BvS predictions are:

DOM: $400m

INT: $700m

WW: $1.1 billion

You don't measure legs by comparing it to other film's totals. You do it by measuring how far it goes from it's opening weekend, percentage-wise. And MoS had a pretty poor multiplier. Now you can blame competition all you want but neither of those 2 big films it was competing with went on to any everlasting glory either. Basically it was 3 mediocre films slugging it out. Had MoS been as good as proponents suggest then it would have cut through the others. It didn't. Most movies that open as big as it did cross the $300m DOM mark with room to spare. It didn't.

 

[kedrell]

Besides if a film like the third hobbit film (which was a mixed as Man of Steel was) can make $700 million internationally on a december then im sure as hell Batman vs Superman will make that aswell maybe even more.

Tolkein's works have historically been more popular OS than just about any American superheros.

 

[jokesonm3]

Yeah, people just HATED those movies. That's why they didn't just crawl to a billion $ but blew passed that mark by several hundred million $ each.




You don't measure legs by comparing it to other film's totals. You do it by measuring how far it goes from it's opening weekend, percentage-wise. And MoS had a pretty poor multiplier. Now you can blame competition all you want but neither of those 2 big films it was competing with went on to any everlasting glory either. Basically it was 3 mediocre films slugging it out. Had MoS been as good as proponents suggest then it would have cut through the others. It didn't. Most movies that open as big as it did cross the $300m DOM mark with room to spare. It didn't.

Competition was a major limitation for MoS, had it not been dropped to 3rd place in its 2nd weekend domestically then it would've made $700m - $750m but because of heavy competition it didn't make that, and that amount would've been perfect for a solo superman origin film.

Besides people have been craving a batman film since the TDK trilogy, with or without bale both Batman and Iron Man are two billion dollar superhero franchises that make bank.

And Iron Man 3 sucked.

 

[jokesonm3]

Tolkein's works have historically been more popular OS than just about any American superheros.

In Britain and australia/NewZealand yeah but not alot of other places lol.

 

[kedrell]

Other films in the same genre have faced much worse competition and still managed better legs. The competition excuse only goes so far.

Batman sans Bale has never been in that ballpark. We'll see soon how folks'll take to this new version.

And just about any movie has some people saying it sucks. For my money it's better than any DC movie since Batman Begins(I'd give BB the edge over it though). But far more people said what you said about MoS than about IM3.

 

[kedrell]

In Britain and australia/NewZealand yeah but not alot of other places lol.

Until recently those were the biggest OS markets. Now China(and other Asian markets) throws everything a curve ball and we don't know how it's X-factor will play out. How did MoS do in China? Chinese audiences love it when a movie panders to them. If BvS has some of that then it could help but I'm not factoring that in right now as I don't have any evidence they did that at this time.

 

[jokesonm3]

Other films in the same genre have faced much worse competition and still managed better legs. The competition excuse only goes so far.

Batman sans Bale has never been in that ballpark. We'll see soon how folks'll take to this new version.

And just about any movie has some people saying it sucks. For my money it's better than any DC movie since Batman Begins(I'd give BB the edge over it though). But far more people said what you said about MoS than about IM3.

Look the films gonna have action that hypes the hell out of people (as per reaction videos especially reaction mashups), plus it has some good humor in it, me and a lot of other folks laughed at the Wonder Woman joke in the trailer, humor works perfectly with dark and serious films because you don't expect them coming, and as per the trailers one of the biggest complaints of Superman was the lack of heroism which this film has tons of from floods to house fires.

So quick question here, what exactly might Batman v Superman do to make people wanna stay away from it in the later weeks? I mean Jurassic world had worse jokes than the BvS trailer and less better action, yet look what that done.

Honestly i fail to see what BvS and Snyder could possibly do to make the general popcorn munching action lovin public dislike this film if they cant dislike the average summer blockbuster that makes some serious bank.

And just about any movie has some people saying it sucks. For my money it's better than any DC movie since Batman Begins(I'd give BB the edge over it though). But far more people said what you said about MoS than about IM3.

You did not just say that Iron Man 3 is better than the Dark Knight!

 

[kedrell]

A root canal is better than TDK. I despise that crap. Damn Deus Ex Majoker BS.

 

[jokesonm3]

Until recently those were the biggest OS markets. Now China(and other Asian markets) throws everything a curve ball and we don't know how it's X-factor will play out. How did MoS do in China? Chinese audiences love it when a movie panders to them. If BvS has some of that then it could help but I'm not factoring that in right now as I don't have any evidence they did that at this time.

The Chinese market was small as hell in 2013 compared to know, hell even Man of Steel made more in China then every TDK trilogy film, thats how much its grown.

 

[jokesonm3]

A root canal is better than TDK. I despise that crap. Damn Deus Ex Majoker BS.

Well hey, i respect every hypesters opinion but damn lol.

 

[kedrell]

Well hey, i respect every hypesters opinion but damn lol.

I appreciate that.

 

[kedrell]

The Chinese market was small as hell in 2013 compared to know, hell even Man of Steel made more in China then every TDK trilogy film, thats how much its grown.

IM3 did gangbusters in China in 2013. Yes, it has not stopped growing since but it was already huge by 2013.

 

[jokesonm3]

IM3 did gangbusters in China in 2013. Yes, it has not stopped growing since but it was already huge by 2013.

Yeah but that was thanks to post Avengers hype.

Man of Steel only had Superman returns to help on.

 

[rashad]

The Chinese market was small as hell in 2013 compared to know, hell even Man of Steel made more in China then every TDK trilogy film, thats how much its grown.

TDK, one of the best CBM of all time, never got released in China.

 

[jokesonm3]

TDK, one of the best CBM of all time, never got released in China.

I know, i've mentioned it earlier.

 

[Silver Surfer]

It will open to a pretty big Opening Weekend, around 170-185 range, that's clear. The main thing to watch is the drop going into next weekend, if it drops around 65%, then it will have an uphill climb to 1 billion.