BvS Batman V Superman Box Office Prediction - Part 8

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Didn't realize that even TFA had poor legs in China, that market sure is tough to read for outsiders. If films like TFA and MI:RN couldn't maintain good legs in China, BvS is gonna drop like a rock there. Still waiting to see if other OS territories react the same way to BvS as China or if this is solely a China territory thing.
 
This is a bit like politics the way these studios spin things, but the way that Warner's played the embargo tells you everything you need to know about what they thought of the film. You don't go have a special fan screening and then tell all those people to go out and tweet about it, while embargoing the reviewers if you have confidence in the film.

How about to protect the end of the film
 
Forbes Article.

"Batman v Superman' Sets Record With Worst Friday-Sunday Drop For A Superhero Pic"

http://www.forbes.com/sites/robcain...-sunday-drop-for-superhero-pics/#5ec4d70a6d72

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When do we get figures for Monday? It should be a good indicator of which way this thing is really going...
 
TASM2 was a mess because of studio interference. BvS, while I liked it, had its share of problems, and they all seemed to stem from one place: The Director's Chair.

I wouldn't say so. Studio interference was quite apparent in this movie.

The script is credited to Chris Terrio and David Goyer, but here’s where I find myself most frustrated. I don’t want to lay all the blame on them, because I can’t believe they are the architects of the film’s problems. It feels like Zack Snyder was forced to shoot the notes he got from the studio, like they had an outline that they all agreed looked like the right version of the film. But it never moved past the outline stage, and so there are several building blocks that appear to be in the right general place, but they don’t work because there’s nothing connecting them. I’m sure Kevin Tsujihara likes the scene where we stop and watch previews for proposed movies with Aquaman, The Flash, and Cyborg, and it must delight him when characters stand around and talk about working together in the future, but I can’t for the life of me imagine how anyone could think any of this legwork actually connects as storytelling.

Much of the blame for this film will be laid at Zack Snyder’s feet, but that feels unfair to some degree. I think he made exactly the film Warner Bros. asked him to make; that’s the problem. The film they asked him to make wasn’t developed from an organic place. It’s not the logical next step in a story being told. It is an informercial. It is slick, and it is frequently very pretty, and from scene to scene, from moment to moment, it looks like a real movie. But without a beating heart, this is a wax figure, lifeless and frozen, a simulation. The studio asked Snyder to make them a 150-minute trailer for their entire slate of superhero films, and he certainly did. Sadly, like most infomercials, this one promises more than it delivers, and two-and-a-half hours of being hustled left me cold. Whatever it’s selling, I’m not buying.
 
Who cares about Americans anyways? We are stupid. The international audience is smarter and gets Snyder's noble intent.

This FILM IS MADE FOR US FANS AND INTERNATIONAL GENERAL AUDIENCES.
 
And of course Momoa is going to bash RT critics, look at his track record with movies. All of his movies get panned lol.
 
Food for thought: Batman v Superman is a $1.5 billion movie. It is. Before you even write the script you know that is your goal. $500 mil WW opener. $200 mil domestic. Hitting $1 billion by fourth week. Those are the fiscal expectations in today's market you would expect by having a movie headlined by Batman AND Superman. Adding Wonder Woman to the mix makes it a grand slam home run. Before even writing the script. These characters sell themselves. The only think a studio can do is over complicate things and chisel pieces and pieces away until they're not sure where the hell it would end up. That's what they did. They changed the story and the characters and the fan expectations and the GA expectations so much that they lost complete sight of their goal until it was too late. They had a grand slam home run cocked and ready to rock and instead fouled out with two fly balls and are now very worried the last pitch will connect. In the same time (4 years) it took Marvel to produce and release six movies (2008-2012) WB is struggling to release 3 (2013-2017). They are all n now. There ain't no going back. This is a hold your breath and wait situation now. It's anyone's game.

The question fans should be asking themselves is what in the hell went wrong with a movie, the first of its kind, featuring the three most iconic superheroes in the world that it is now "maybe" going to break even and "maybe hit a billion dollars. Liking the movie is irrelevant. Hating it is too.

What went wrong?

WB rushed things IMO.

After MOS did not do as well as expected they brought Batman in. If they had left it as a pure Batman/Superman film fine ...

but it then became a Bats/Supes/WW fil.

Then a pre-JL film.

Remember it was delayed a year because I suppose of its morphing into something not as originally envisioned..

Rushing a huge project, making changes to it mid-stream, is usually not a wise move.
 
Didn't realize that even TFA had poor legs in China, that market sure is tough to read for outsiders. If films like TFA and MI:RN couldn't maintain good legs in China, BvS is gonna drop like a rock there. Still waiting to see if other OS territories react the same way to BvS as China or if this is solely a China territory thing.

Chinese authorities also work hard to mute the effects of imported films to bolster the domestic film industry. They limit the number of movies and how long they run. Most recently they announced a deal where theaters that do 75% of sales from domestic films get half of a 5% ticket tax back. So it's hard to say how the rest of the region will react based on China since they work so hard to keep imports down.
 
How about to protect the end of the film


You can't sit there and tell fans to tweet about the movie and embargo critics from posting reviews and claim it was to protect the end of the film..
 
Didn't realize that even TFA had poor legs in China, that market sure is tough to read for outsiders. If films like TFA and MI:RN couldn't maintain good legs in China, BvS is gonna drop like a rock there. Still waiting to see if other OS territories react the same way to BvS as China or if this is solely a China territory thing.

BvS is similar to TFA for the Chinese in that the main cast aren't that culturally relevant to us, and that the movies unfold in a fashion which require a certain amount of familiarity with their iconicity.
 
I really don't know how to feel right now. I guess that WOM hit BvS hard.

Once the B Cinemascore came out, that was all she wrote.

I think it's a safe bet that it will at least be a 70% drop next weekend.

The question now is what does WB do? The interest is there, that much is obvious from people initially showing up, but the WOM indicates a movie was made that did not please as many people as it could.

I don't think they will stop production on JL once the ugliness of the BvS drops show but I would be surprised if Snyder is back at the helm going forward.
 
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