Box Office Numbers (& Competition)

[Spidey 2007]

The number 23 will be an insanely huge hit, I just know it.. it looks amazingly intresting and everyone wants to see Jim Carrey again. So that will hurt ghost rider alot... I guarentee it. Ill bet anyone on this board.. that the number 23 will be a huge draw... huge.

the word of mouth around here is pretty good! everyone seemed to like the movie. alot of people stayed for the credits too, just talking ...pretty cool!

either way there should definatly be a fairly big drop-off for the second weekend for ole Flamehead. wether it be Bad word of mouth, Jim Carrey or Snow.

thats how im lookin at it right now, but im definatly happy for the 15.9 mil on friday! WOOO!

 

[Advanced Dark]

23 will be a flop.

 

[Spidey 2007]

/\ Yep, think MSJ's releases are cursed. Lol.

I mean what are the odds of the same thing (snow storm) happening the week/weekend his movie/s is coming out?!

it feels soo good though, because when i did go see Daredevil, it was such an enjoyable experience, and traveling thruogh the snow to see a great movie... I love re-living the good days of 2003 and seeing Daredevil.

it sure was bad here tonight after the flick at around 11 pm, but its a great feeling.

MSJ is the man.

 

[Spidey 2007]

23 will be a flop.

lets hope so!

 

[Advanced Dark]

I like Carrey but his non comedies blow at the box offic.e

 

[Spidey 2007]

I like Carrey but his non comedies blow at the box offic.e

yea, but this one at least has an intresting plot/story and premise i think will attract mad people. we'll soon find out!!!

 

[Spidey 2007]

hmm they can tell the future.. cool! lol

48 mil, prett damned impressive, hopefulyl really close to that mark.

 

[Downhere]

yea, but this one at least has an intresting plot/story and premise i think will attract mad people. we'll soon find out!!!

The problem is that The Number 23 is rated R, I don't see it opening with more than 23-25 million on it's way to around 60 million total. Like other's have said, Carrey's non-comedies don't do well.

 

[Hellcycle2000]

your right down, R Ratings dont usually get big openings, if it was a summer movie, possibly

 

[blind_fury]

Passion of the Christ opening day weekend was 83 million. Hannibal opened with 58 million. Both were rated R and came out in February.

 

[terry78]

This thing was sold out all weekend. I went last night, EVERY showing was sold out except the 10:30pm one, which I had to get tickets for at like 7pm as the rest of them were booked solid. I think it'll be the same today and tomorrow, so this flick could do better financially than they think.

 

[Heretic]

The difference between the number 23 and Careys other dramatic roles is that the movie isnt being pushed as JIM CAREY in some movie. The concept of the movie is what they are trying to sell the movie with...so I wouldnt judge this against his other films too much.

 

[Blanket-Man]

Wow, GR jumped to $17.7 million on Saturday, according to ShowBiz Data! Much better hold than DD - it should easily break 50 First Dates' Prez Day Weekend mark of $45.1 million. Apparently word-of-mouth has been pretty decent!

Congrats to MSJ - I enjoyed the movie quite a bit, and hopefully the excellent box office will lead to a GR 2 (with Cage back, of course!).

 

[Advanced Dark]

That's why Cage pushed for a light Pg-13 film. Opening this film up to the kids who really should see a film like this. I heard kids screaming how cool it was during the show.

 

[Advanced Dark]

Forget 48 it should break 50 now with Sat's 17.7 million. For those that are suprised go watch Bridge to Tarabithia because that movie is not on the same scale as Narnia as far as action. It's a great flick but kids looking for a fun action film have NO other place to turn. This is also gonna hold people over till Spidey and FF2. It should do well until 300 comes out. Can Ghost Rider break 120 million??? Will it be #1 next week??? I think it will beat 23 handily.

 

[blind_fury]

Ghost Rider will be lucky to make 100 million.

 

[RED_Rider]

I really really hope GR reaches 200 million. I know many will say 100-120 but this film and the effort that was put into it deserves a lot more.

 

[Advanced Dark]

200 domestic is highly inprobable. 300 would have to tank for that to be even a remote possibility. 120 is what I always thought it would top out it domestic though who knows it could beat that.

 

[Advanced Dark]

Ghost Rider will be lucky to make 100 million.

Oh ok. Zzzzzzzz

 

[GL's Light]

BOM has the 3-day estimate at $ 44.5 million. The 4-day weekend will likely be either just under or just over $ 50 million. If this estimate holds then I think we're probably looking at $ 110-115 million domestic.

In terms of return on investment GR would need to gross $ 280 million worldwide to be considered a bona fide success, but if it can hit the low 200's then it can be considered a reasonable success. We'll have to see what kind of legs it has and how well it does in international markets.

 

[Advanced Dark]

So it just made 11 million on Sunday. I'll bet the actuals will show higher figures at BOM for each day.

 

[ultimatefan]

BOM has the 3-day estimate at $ 44.5 million. The 4-day weekend will likely be either just under or just over $ 50 million. If this estimate holds then I think we're probably looking at $ 110-115 million domestic.

In terms of return on investment GR would need to gross $ 280 million worldwide to be considered a bona fide success, but if it can hit the low 200's then it can be considered a reasonable success. We'll have to see what kind of legs it has and how well it does in international markets.

Yes, given that the movie made almost half of its production budget on opening weekend, its profitability is almost ensured at this point. The good news is it shows the audience still can get interested in movies based on comic books and Sony again shows it knows how to market - which is also great for Spider-Man 3. The bad is, if audience reacts as bad to the movie as critics did, it should drop considerably the next weeks, unless it´s a Fantastic Four kinda situation. But if it drops, at least it will show studios the genre interests the audience, but you gotta make it good.

 

[Kid_Kaos]

After watching the movie I don't think it will make more than $70-80 mill domestic and maybe the same ww - so I tip $150 million in the end. And that's actually way too much for that piece of garbage! The numbers are good now, cause the marketing was great and it's starring Nicolas Cage ... ummm ... f'n Nic Cage! But that's it. A 2 hours waste of time ... with Nic Cage.

 

[GL's Light]

After watching the movie I don't think it will make more than $70-80 mill domestic.

With this opening there's no chance of a domestic gross that low. Even if it had a dropoff rate as steep as Hulk's it would still get to $ 90 million domestic.

 

[Advanced Dark]

The drop off will be 60-65% because there's no Holiday monday next week so it'll seem bigger than it really is. Of course the haters wil scream about how it's falling like a rock when in fact it's normal for these type of films after Holiday. It might still be #1 next week.