Dr Strange box office prediction thread

[kedrell]

Good guess, I'm thinking similarly.

 

[DJ_KiDDvIcIOUs]

My roommate is an older lady and not into the MCU at all except for a casual understanding of the movies. She saw the commercial for DS the other day and made a point to say how awesome it looked. I think that bodes well for this film and how the GA will respond to it.

 

[Alex Murphy]

best

gif

anywhere

ever

 

[kedrell]

I'm guessing that it'll follow around 70% of how CW did. That sounds about right.

 

[Blitzkrieg]

https://***********/ERCboxoffice/status/792746757432180736

Exhibitors Relations
@ERCboxoffice

DOCTOR STRANGE Int'l docket: KOR ($18M) UK ($11M) FRA ($5.7M) OZ ($4.9M) GER ($4.8M) MEX ($4.6M) TAI ($4.3M) HK ($3.2M)

 

[Blitzkrieg]

http://www.boxofficemojo.com/news/?id=4236&p=.htm

International highlights start with the release of Disney and Marvel's Doctor Strange, which delivered an estimated $86 million in its international debut in 33 territories, comprising 45% of the international marketplace. Compared to previous openings in the Marvel Cinematic Universe this opening is +49% ahead of Ant-Man, +37% ahead of Guardians of the Galaxy, +23% ahead of Captain America: Winter Soldier and +1% ahead of Thor: The Dark World when comparing the same suite of territories and all at today's exchange rates.

Top territories include South Korea ($18.1m), UK ($11.1m), France ($5.7m), Australia ($4.9m), Germany ($4.8m), Mexico ($4.6m), Taiwan ($4.3m), Hong Kong ($3.2m), Indonesia ($3.1m), Philippines ($2.7m), Italy ($2.5m), Thailand ($2.5m), Russia ($2.5m), Malaysia ($2.4m), Singapore ($2.2m) and Spain ($2.2m).

Doctor Strange will debut domestically next weekend in ~3,800 theaters as well has hit theaters in Russia, Brazil, China, Colombia and several other overseas markets.

 

[Blitzkrieg]

http://pro.boxoffice.com/doctor-strange-takes-86m-overseas-debut/

IMAX screens contributed $7.8 million from 213 locations across 32 countries. This makes it IMAX’s biggest October opener of all time internationally, more than doubling the previous $3.2 million record set by Gravity. It is the biggest IMAX bow of all time in South Korea. It will expand to an additional 787 IMAX locations next weekend, including North America and China —the world’s top two markets— which will make it the first IMAX title to ever play in over 1000 screens and the widest IMAX release of all time.

 

[AvengerPA]

I think that this movie will appeal to older audiences because Strange is older than most of Marvel's superheroes. This is Harry Potter for adults.

 

[DJ_KiDDvIcIOUs]

Sounds like the IMAX and 3D could really give this film quite the bump on the DOM OW. Hopefully, that also translates into really good legs.

 

[Flint Marko]

I'm loving how well this is doing so far.

 

[harryoscop]

Glad the movie's doing well.

 

[DarthSkywalker]

I can't tell how well it is doing because they are comparing it to the other films using today's lower exchange rate. In terms of tickets, better. In terms of money, I am not sure.

 

[combocaz]

Im thinking between WW 550-650mil.

 

[Alex Murphy]

 

[Doctor Octopus]

I'm loving how well this is doing so far.

Me too. I hope it make big money.

 

[seriesofdreams]

I'm still bullish on $600m-$650m. Hoping for more, though. $75m OW and anything else is a bonus. I'd love this to best TDW's OW but that seems unrealistic. Really hoping Cumberbatch's star will carry internationally along with the MCU brand boost.

 

[JKKS085]

Actuals went up slightly from estimates:

http://www.boxofficemojo.com/movies/?id=marvel716.htm

Total Lifetime Grosses
Domestic: n/a 0.0%
+ Foreign: $87,745,399 100.0%
= Worldwide: $87,745,399

 

[LoganGambit87]

Box Office: ‘Doctor Strange’ Eyes Magical $70 Million Debut
http://variety.com/2016/film/news/doctor-strange-marvel-box-office-1201906255/

 

[Blitzkrieg]

I still see Doctor Strange doing 75-78 million in OW.

 

[Iceman]

Hopefully gets over $200m domestic.

 

[Blitzkrieg]

http://deadline.com/2016/11/doctor-strange-hacksaw-ridge-mel-gibson-trolls-1201846210/

Exhibitors are holding out for a hero this weekend, and that caped wonder is Disney/Marvel’s Doctor Strange, who is expected to save the fall box office from its atrocious 10% lag from the same post-Labor Day-to-Halloween period a year ago. Doctor Strange is the second live-action Marvel title after Thor: The Dark World to play the late fall season, specifically November, and it’s looking to make $65M to potentially mid-$70M over three days at 3,882 venues.

 

[JKKS085]

It needs to open closer to 80M to get a decent shot at 200M with the upcoming competition.
Australian numbers are usually quite reliable to predict domestic opening week end and unfortunately they seem to point out to Strange missing 80M.
80M/200M+ dom aren't the be all and end all numbers (especially if it displays a decent holding power over the coming weeks) but so far it looks like it's gonna fall short of being another breakout hit for Marvel. A decent sized hit sure, but not a breakout ala GotG or CATWS.

 

[DarthSkywalker]

It needs to open closer to 80M to get a decent shot at 200M with the upcoming competition.
Australian numbers are usually quite reliable to predict domestic opening week end and unfortunately they seem to point out to Strange missing 80M.
80M/200M+ dom aren't the be all and end all numbers (especially if displays a decent holding power over the coming weeks) but so far it looks like it's gonna fall short of being another breakout hit for Marvel. A decent sized hit sure, but not a breakout ala GotG or CATWS.

Isn't 300m domestic the new blockbuster break out number?

 

[JKKS085]

Isn't 300m domestic the new blockbuster break out number?

Depends on the IP I guess.

 

[DarthSkywalker]

Depends on the IP I guess.

That makes sense. If Doctor Strange gets to 500m, no matter the breakdown, I think that will be considered good news.