Dr Strange box office prediction thread

[DarthSkywalker]

Next year Disney has VIII, BatB, three Marvel movies, two more Pixar movies, and PotC5. They might make more money next year.

 

[SpocksBrain]

Next year Disney has VIII, BatB, three Marvel movies, two more Pixar movies, and PotC5. They might make more money next year.

Only two Marvel movies, right? Guardians and Thor. While Spidey is MCU it's only produced by MS for Sony. So the profits on that one wouldn't count for Disney.

 

[JKKS085]

Next year Disney has VIII, BatB, three Marvel movies, two more Pixar movies, and PotC5. They might make more money next year.

Beauty and the Beast might fall in the same ballpark as Jungle Book which make it another 1B-ish hit for the Disney Live Tales. Or it could go even higher if is well received given the cult following of the anime.
Since the release of Pirates of The Caribbean Dead's Man Chest, all 4 movies in the franchise have made 900M+ and the last one is actually showing a slight increase over the third entry. I think Dead Men Tell No Tales should get a similar gross, with once again overseas markets making up for the ongoing domestic decline of the franchise.
I can see Star Wars Episode 8 actually decreasing from Episode 7 but that should bring at least 1.5B+.
Cars 3 and Coco should bring another 800/900M (Cars 2 did 500M+ and the last original Pixar film The Good Dinosaur didn't really break the bank after Inside Out and I can see Coco doing similar numbers, ie 300/400M).
I don't really see a scenario in which Gotg2 and Thor Ragnarok decrease from their predecessors so they should bring around 1.5B or more (I can definitely see Guardians joining the billion dollar club if the sequel clicks with audiences as much as the original).

What they are going to miss in 2017 though is a Disney Animation movie. Sure they have 2 Pixar films but the Cars brand is not nearly as strong as the Nemo brand and Coco isn't gonna make up for the lack of equivalent to Zootopia and Moana.
Even in Marvel's case I don't really see Thor Ragnarok and Guardians of the Galaxy Vol.2 outgrossing Civil War and Doctor Strange. Spider-Man Homecoming might have a decent run at the bo but will be distributed by Sony. The only franchise that will most certainly make more in 2017 compared to 2016 is Star Wars.

 

[DarthSkywalker]

Beauty and the Beast might fall in the same ballpark as Jungle Book which make it another 1B-ish hit for the Disney Live Tales. Or it could go even higher if is well received given the cult following of the anime.
Since the release of Pirates of The Caribbean Dead's Man Chest, all 4 movies in the franchise have made 900M+ and the last one is actually showing a slight increase over the third entry. I think Dead Men Tell No Tales should get a similar gross, with once again overseas markets making up for the ongoing domestic decline of the franchise.
I can see Star Wars Episode 8 actually decreasing from Episode 7 but that should bring at least 1.5B+.
Cars 3 and Coco should bring another 800/900M (Cars 2 did 500M+ and the last original Pixar film The Good Dinosaur didn't really break the bank after Inside Out and I can see Coco doing similar numbers, ie 300/400M).
I don't really see a scenario in which Gotg2 and Thor Ragnarok decrease from their predecessors so they should bring around 1.5B or more (I can definitely see Guardians joining the billion dollar club if the sequel clicks with audiences as much as the original).

What they are going to miss in 2017 though is a Disney Animation movie. Sure they have 2 Pixar films but the Cars brand is not nearly as strong as the Nemo brand and Coco isn't gonna make up for the lack of equivalent to Zootopia and Moana.
Even in Marvel's case I don't really see Thor Ragnarok and Guardians of the Galaxy Vol.2 outgrossing Civil War and Doctor Strange. Spider-Man Homecoming might have a decent run at the bo but will be distributed by Sony. The only franchise that will most certainly make more in 2017 compared to 2016 is Star Wars.

BatB is going to make 1 bil without breaking a sweat. If it is awesome, 1.3 bil and up is easily on the table. It will challenge VIII for #1 next year. VIII should clear 1.5bil. Actual time for Luke should be a big incentive.

How can you know what Coco is going to do, when no one knew what Zootopia was going to do this year?

 

[Silver Surfer]

Guardians 2 will crack a billion, the goodwill around that movie has grown and grown.

 

[Darepool]

I think GoTG2 and Ragnarok will stack up very nicely to CW and Strange thank you very much.

 

[Chesterfield]

Beauty and the Beast might fall in the same ballpark as Jungle Book which make it another 1B-ish hit for the Disney Live Tales. Or it could go even higher if is well received given the cult following of the anime.
Since the release of Pirates of The Caribbean Dead's Man Chest, all 4 movies in the franchise have made 900M+ and the last one is actually showing a slight increase over the third entry. I think Dead Men Tell No Tales should get a similar gross, with once again overseas markets making up for the ongoing domestic decline of the franchise.
I can see Star Wars Episode 8 actually decreasing from Episode 7 but that should bring at least 1.5B+.
Cars 3 and Coco should bring another 800/900M (Cars 2 did 500M+ and the last original Pixar film The Good Dinosaur didn't really break the bank after Inside Out and I can see Coco doing similar numbers, ie 300/400M).
I don't really see a scenario in which Gotg2 and Thor Ragnarok decrease from their predecessors so they should bring around 1.5B or more (I can definitely see Guardians joining the billion dollar club if the sequel clicks with audiences as much as the original).

What they are going to miss in 2017 though is a Disney Animation movie. Sure they have 2 Pixar films but the Cars brand is not nearly as strong as the Nemo brand and Coco isn't gonna make up for the lack of equivalent to Zootopia and Moana.
Even in Marvel's case I don't really see Thor Ragnarok and Guardians of the Galaxy Vol.2 outgrossing Civil War and Doctor Strange. Spider-Man Homecoming might have a decent run at the bo but will be distributed by Sony. The only franchise that will most certainly make more in 2017 compared to 2016 is Star Wars.

Guardians 2 not out grossing doctor strange?? You're joking, right?

 

[kedrell]

Only two Marvel movies, right? Guardians and Thor. While Spidey is MCU it's only produced by MS for Sony. So the profits on that one wouldn't count for Disney.

Might not count toward Disney's yearly total but it'll still count towards the ever expanding MCU total $. So far last year was the MCU's best year $-wise($1.9247b WW). It remains to be seen if 2016 can beat that mark but it has a fair shot at it, as long as DS can make another $275m WW from where it is now(if this happens the MCU in total will break the $11b WW mark as well). It's a virtual certainty that next year will see another record high for them. They should get WW between $2.5-3b next year.

 

[Iceman]

2018 is also definitely a $2B plus year.

 

[Typhoon22]

Guardians 2 not out grossing doctor strange?? You're joking, right?

Reading comprehension is key.
He never claimed what you said.

Correct me if I'm wrong but he clearly stated that Thor + Guardians 2 won't outgross Civil War + Dr.Strange. Civil War + Strange = 2 billion. Are you saying Thor 3 + GOTG2 will outgross 2 billion total ? If so lol.

 

[MessiahDecoy123]

Strange + CW = 1.8 billion

Thor 3 + GotG 2 = probably 1.6 or 1.7

It could be close.

 

[Typhoon22]

Shoot I thought Civil War grossed 1.3m. Either way I doubt it'll be close. I see GOTG2+Thor3 grossing 1.7m at best while CW+DS will be around 1.8-1.9 when all is said and done.

 

[Iceman]

Guardians 2 could do very well. The first one was a surprise to much of the GA and they are more likely to watch it early this time with the possibility of a repeat after. Of course the film will have to be that much better as it won't be the first time out with that crazy stuff this time.

 

[Darepool]

Anyone else think Guardians has a legitimate shot to top Civil War? If it's well received, say 85% +, then I'd say it's got a 70% chance. I think Ragnarok will do 750-850 m if good, possibly more, so there is definitely a chance these films could exceed 1.8 billion.

 

[JKKS085]

Reading comprehension is key.
He never claimed what you said.

Correct me if I'm wrong but he clearly stated that Thor + Guardians 2 won't outgross Civil War + Dr.Strange. Civil War + Strange = 2 billion. Are you saying Thor 3 + GOTG2 will outgross 2 billion total ? If so lol.

Thanks.
Basically I am assuming that Strange makes it to 750M (which might be optimistic) so CW+DS= 1.9B.
Even if GotG2 makes a billion (which I think is not a given) Ragnarok would have to outgross Dark World by 250M+ to get to 900M and therefore match or beat CW+DS total.
I am not saying this is impossible, and in any case it's all speculation, but I would be (positively) surprised.

 

[JKKS085]

How can you know what Coco is going to do, when no one knew what Zootopia was going to do this year?

I don't know. I am merely speculating based on previous releases from the same studio. Now Coco might very well be an outlier if it's very well received like say Inside Out but it's being released in a crowded month, stuck between Justice League and Star Wars VIII and it will be the second Pixar release this year (the last time they did 2 films/year, the second one didn't really break the bank).

But again in regards to Disney in 2017 compared to 2016 what I'm saying/projecting is this:
- Zootopia + Finding Dory + Moana > Cars 3 + Coco
- Civil War + Doctor Strange > Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 + Thor Ragnarok
- Rogue One A Star Wars Story < Star Wars Episode VIII
- Alice Through The Looking Glass < Pirates of the Caribbean Dead Men Tell No Tales
- The Jungle Book = Beauty And The Beast

Zootopia + Finding Dory + Moana might very well be a 3B grand slam in the end. They won't have that next year.

 

[BoredGuy]

How is Moana tracking??

I'd be surprised if it made 'Frozen' type money

 

[kedrell]

Not sure. I'd be surprised if it did that too. You need a really catchy earworm to help propel it that far and all indications are that they don't have that. It does still have a 100% on RT with a 7.8/10 avg. after 14 reviews so far but I'll be stunned if it holds above Zootopia's 98%. Still, it should finish with high marks from critics and that can only help it's box office.

 

[kedrell]

$3,717,306 Tuesday. A 41% increase from Monday.

 

[marcvader]

WW total now at $500,384,158, not including foreign.

 

[JKKS085]

How is Moana tracking??

I'd be surprised if it made 'Frozen' type money

It's tracking closer to Frozen than Tangled.
BoxOfficePro.com has its opening week end roughly on par with Frozen which however doesn't guarantee it'll reach the same heights.
But if early tracking and buzz is to be trusted I can see something like 300 dom/630 os/ 930 ww, making the three Disney released anime this year gross just a few millions shy of 3B.

 

[JKKS085]

WW total now at $500,384,158, not including foreign.

Glad to see it pass the 500M mark.

 

[AlluAllu]

WW total now at $500,384,158, not including foreign.

Uh, why cannot I make sense out of that logically?

 

[marcvader]

Uh, why cannot I make sense out of that logically?

Not including the updated foreign #'s.

 

[kedrell]

$159,308,268 DOM so far. Thor2 was at $150,036,561 at this same time.