Man of Steel Box Office Prediction Thread - - Part 11

[TheNextNolan22]

Probably Despicable Me 2.

 

[spider-neil]

I have not been paying attention to the ad campaign for LR .
But, I know the other two films suffered from poor marketing.

Your first trailer has to be killer because the first impression is the one people remember. Look at the trailer for Dark Shadows, I saw that and thought 'no thanks', After Earth, 'no thanks' Oblivion 'no thanks'.
Just bland unimaginative trailers and when you are forking over $12 plus drinks and snacks you have to choose your movies wisely.

 

[spider-neil]

Probably Despicable Me 2.

Minions movie is coming out Nov 2014. I think that movie will clean up.

 

[spider-neil]

I'm seeing a lot of people predicting 700m plus world wide for MoS.

BOM currently has Mos at;

$526m WW

So MoS would have to make close to 200m by the end of it's run. I'm sorry but I don't see it. I think 600m is a lock but700m is a push.

 

[OzzMosiz]

Talking of John Carter - I really enjoyed that movie. The budget was way way to high and the marketing was crap. They should've named it John Carter of Mars!

As for MoS 2 - I hope they are able to trim the budget down a touch and ensure the writing is top notch. Loved MoS but it wasn't perfect.

 

[mclay18]

it's good right? consider the number of screens being cut down.

It's still a very good hold, especially since it earned $2.7M on Tuesday in 4,131 theaters. To have $2.5M the following day in 2,905 theaters is a very good hold, and only 48% down from the Wednesday before.

 

[robot]

I'm seeing a lot of people predicting 700m plus world wide for MoS.

BOM currently has Mos at;

$526m WW

So MoS would have to make close to 200m by the end of it's run. I'm sorry but I don't see it. I think 600m is a lock but700m is a push.

It's only been released for 2 weeks in most OS markets and some is yet to open.. so, making up 200M is a peace of cake... how much more is yet to be seen...

 

[mclay18]

ASM 2 has a great release date. It has two weeks to be number one. In week four it gets a Memorial Day boost. It will make more domestic than ASM.

MOS 2 needs a release date like that.

I noticed none of the studios have staked May 22, 2015 -- Memorial Day Weekend -- yet. Avengers 2 will be in its fourth weekend, and winding down at that point.

I doubt Disney will release Episode VII on that date, and WB could try releasing MOS 2 there. It'll have two weeks to itself, provided there's little to no competition. And it'll have a similar 4 day weekend like Fourth of July weekend.

I definitely see the sequel getting released in July.

That's true too. July 17 hasn't been booked yet either, and right now the mid-to-late July spot has been very good to WB for the past several years.

 

[robot]

Why fire the marketing team? This movie is on track for 700M +
Their job was successful, no?

The movie was successful inspite of their 'lousy OS marketing efforts'...

Just because a movie does well, doesn't mean it couldn't have done MUCH better... it's the lost opportunity.... (IMO, they lost 300M due to bad marketing and lousy release date)

WB basically wrote off the entire OS market (save for a few like UK, Canada, etc)... I think they based their assumption on how SR did in the OS market... which was totally wrong... (That was 7 years ago, the OS market have grown tremendously since then).

Don't get me wrong, I am loving the MOS will do more than 700M plus,... but disappointed that WB put more effort into PR in the OS market than they did MOS...

 

[DarthSkywalker]

Wow.
Who got most of those 3D screens?

DM2 and MU after the two with the 3D screens here.

 

[STARMAN]

If it gets released summer of 2015, Memorial Day and July 17 seem like the most logical dates.

 

[Stephen K. Hone]

So MOS did around $8.3 million Mon-Wednesday which is slightly more than I expected. Right now it is at around $257 million Dom. It only needs to make $13 million more by Monday to be at $ 270 million. That seems very doable IMO. Looking good!!

 

[TheNextNolan22]

Yup anywhere from $270-275 million is looking very likely!

 

[Stephen K. Hone]

Yup anywhere from $270-275 million is looking very likely!

Yep somewhere in their seems about right depends if it can get a little bump for the four day holiday. $13 million for the four days seems like the bare minimum at this point.

 

[Stephen K. Hone]

With LR and WHD underperforming that might help MOS. DM2 is likely to steal more of MU's audience than any other film out there.

 

[STARMAN]

I don't know what to expect for a Fourth of July bump. Once we see Thursday's number, it will be easier to project the weekend.

 

[JOE]

Superman is the ultimate MURICA' superhero up there with obviously "Captain America".

 

[Stephen K. Hone]

I don't know what to expect for a Fourth of July bump. Once we see Thursday's number, it will be easier to project the weekend.

Yeah. I'm hoping for around $3.5-4 million for today and at least $10 million Fri-Sun. A lot of people get Friday off as well here in the U.S. so that should really help all films.

 

[STARMAN]

I think we're on the same wavelength. I was thinking 3.5 for today. But I really have no idea how to project it. For the weekend, I would stay safe with a 50% drop-off. Hope for less.

 

[X Knight]

do we have Wednesday's #s?

 

[STARMAN]

2.7 mill for Wednesday. Don't know if confirmed.

 

[STARMAN]

Or maybe it was 2.5. Can't remember.

 

[Stephen K. Hone]

do we have Wednesday's #s?

Someone said $2.5 million.

 

[STARMAN]

I think it was 2.5. Which is a good number. Not much of a drop-off from Tuesday.

 

[Showtime]

I just saw 2.34 estimate