Man of Steel Box Office Prediction Thread - - - Part 12

[Tobias]

Wait didn't you say $620 million "tops" this morning?? Is that $640 million WW prediction your new "official" estimate?

Japan is the kicker. If MOS does like SR it will be 620 or so. But Japan is hard to call. The late date hurts but its not impossible MOS can do better in Japan than SR.

I'd say, pinning it down - 285 - 290 domestic (assuming no slow-walk by WB) and 620 - 640 WW. It depends on Japan which is hard to predict.

I also said, check it out, I thought the 315 million OS number was through 7/12 and not 7/7 as someone posted. If it is through 7/7 then the numbers will be higher OS. Basically OS venues get 4 weeks and out. Aside from Brazil and Japan the OS run is over after this week.

I'd say also BOM came close to nailing it.

 

[Hammer!]

If there isn't a DC movie in the next three years, I will be royally pissed. Star Trek 2 came out after four years and suffered a large drop in suspected income. Wouldn't be surprised if the same thing happened to a 2017 MOS2, especially since Star Trek was a much better film than MOS.

 

[InJustice]

If there isn't a DC movie in the next three years, I will be royally pissed. Star Trek 2 came out after four years and suffered a large drop in suspected income. Wouldn't be surprised if the same thing happened to a 2017 MOS2, especially since Star Trek was a much better film than MOS.

By your logic, TDKR shouldn't have been a commercial success since it was released 4 years after TDK.

 

[Sup3rman81]

Japan is the kicker. If MOS does like SR it will be 620 or so. But Japan is hard to call. The late date hurts but its not impossible MOS can do better in Japan than SR.

I'd say, pinning it down - 285 - 290 domestic (assuming no slow-walk by WB) and 620 - 640 WW. It depends on Japan which is hard to predict.

I'd say also BOM came close to nailing it.

Without any updates on the OS BO it's already at 593m. It will be well near 620 or more after this weekend. Ur number predictions hold no weight and cant even be taken seriously. Also Snyder said he is meeting WB to get MOS2 going. He said they have lots of ideas to go over with them. WB doesn't go by your schedule and doesnt need to announce when MOS will be released right now. Doesn't mean they are planning it.

 

[Stephen K. Hone]

Japan is the kicker. If MOS does like SR it will be 620 or so. But Japan is hard to call. The late date hurts but its not impossible MOS can do better in Japan than SR.

I'd say, pinning it down - 285 - 290 domestic (assuming no slow-walk by WB) and 620 - 640 WW. It depends on Japan which is hard to predict.

I'd say also BOM came close to nailing it.

It's going to be at (or extremely close) to $285 million by July 22nd.
And getting close to $290 million a week or so later. You think WB is going to yank it out of theaters Early August?

 

[Sup3rman81]

If there isn't a DC movie in the next three years, I will be royally pissed. Star Trek 2 came out after four years and suffered a large drop in suspected income. Wouldn't be surprised if the same thing happened to a 2017 MOS2, especially since Star Trek was a much better film than MOS.

Thats ur opinion. BO numbers prove otherwise. ST should have been a huge hit but it wasn't and it fell flat on its face. MoS was way better than ST and IM3. The only movie this year that has had repeat viewing potential was MOS and FF6

 

[Tobias]

Without any updates on the OS BO it's already at 593m. It will be well near 620 or more after this weekend. Ur number predictions hold no weight and cant even be taken seriously. Also Snyder said he is meeting WB to get MOS2 going. He said they have lots of ideas to go over with them. WB doesn't go by your schedule and doesnt need to announce when MOS will be released right now. Doesn't mean they are planning it.

They'd best announce/take a good date if they are planning 2016. The good dates are filling up already.

 

[Sup3rman81]

It's going to be at (or extremely close) to $285 million by July 22nd.
And getting close to $290 million a week or so later. You think WB is going to yank it out of theaters Early August?

He has no clue what he is talking about and his reputation is that of someone who flops more than an Uwe Boll movie.

 

[Sup3rman81]

They'd best announce/take a good date if they are planning 2016. The good dates are filling up already.

They arent planning for 2016. They dont need a summer release date either. November or December would be a prime release date. Even July since we know Marvel and Disney love the May slots. A late July release like TDK had would be fine

 

[Tobias]

It's going to be at (or extremely close) to $285 million by July 22nd.
And getting close to $290 million a week or so later. You think WB is going to yank it out of theaters Early August?

Its not a question of yanking it out of theatres. Its a question of if they will do a special release in "cheap" matinee theatres as they did with SR in September 2006. The theatre count jumped several hundred suddenly and WB kept it at that for several weeks adding 8 million or so to the box and crawling to 200 million. Its called the "slow walk". Once there, SR disappeared from theatres.

I agree, on its own it will get to 285 million and change. Getting to 300 million will only happen if they do the slow-walk. Hopefully Liam can comment on this.

 

[Stephen K. Hone]

He has no clue what he is talking about and his reputation is that of someone who flops more than an Uwe Boll movie.

As some other poster stated he is "wishy washy" in the realm of BO predictions. The last time I saw something squirm and flop as much as he does when someone questions his math, it had a hook in its mouth!

 

[STARMAN]

I'm looking at the 2016 summer calendar. I see an untitled Marvel project for May 6th. ASM 3 for June 10th and a Pixar movie for June 17th. What else? Memorial Day isn't taken. Neither are most of the July dates. At least, I don't see any.

 

[Sup3rman81]

As some other poster stated he is "wishy washy" in the realm of BO predictions.

Yea it keeps exceeding his prediction so he keeps upping his total. The more it exceeds the more he ups. What number will finally make him happy?

 

[Stephen K. Hone]

yea it keeps exceeding his prediction so he keeps upping his total. The more it exceeds the more he ups. What number will finally make him happy?

$299,999.999

 

[Tobias]

Yea it keeps exceeding his prediction so he keeps upping his total. The more it exceeds the more he ups. What number will finally make him happy?

My prediction was for 250 - 300 million. Though I said 300 million was a best case scenario - words to that affect. Lower than most here predicted. I was mocked for that prediction but it looks like I will be closer to right than most predicted here when the final numbers are in.

 

[Sup3rman81]

My prediction was for 250 - 300 million. Though I said 300 million was a best case scenario - words to that affect. Lower than most here predicted. I was mocked for that prediction but it looks like I will be closer to right than most predicted here when the final numbers are in.

Well its well past 250 so you should be happy. I don't get why ur so down on this movie. It's done very good business for a reboot and a sequel with a never before seen villain and new Lex will do great

 

[Stephen K. Hone]

Its not a question of yanking it out of theatres. Its a question of if they will do a special release in "cheap" matinee theatres as they did with SR in September 2006. The theatre count jumped several hundred suddenly and WB kept it at that for several weeks adding 8 million or so to the box and crawling to 200 million. Its called the "slow walk". Once there, SR disappeared from theatres.
I agree, on its own it will get to 285 million and change. Getting to 300 million will only happen if they do the slow-walk. Hopefully Liam can comment on this.

A lot of big movies do the slow walk at the end and MOS probably won't be any different. If WB can announce that MOS crosses the $300 M domestic BO late August or early September that's all that counts.

 

[rayc1971]

Its not a question of yanking it out of theatres. Its a question of if they will do a special release in "cheap" matinee theatres as they did with SR in September 2006. The theatre count jumped several hundred suddenly and WB kept it at that for several weeks adding 8 million or so to the box and crawling to 200 million. Its called the "slow walk". Once there, SR disappeared from theatres.

I agree, on its own it will get to 285 million and change. Getting to 300 million will only happen if they do the slow-walk. Hopefully Liam can comment on this.

it will be at 280 after this weekend I don't see it getting yanked in august it will have 300mill when all is said and done.returns didn't get yanked in august it played all summer and wasn't as good as mos.

 

[rayc1971]

2016 seems right 2015 would be rushing and its too crowded with avengers and star wars.

 

[Stephen K. Hone]

My prediction was for 250 - 300 million. Though I said 300 million was a best case scenario - words to that affect. Lower than most here predicted. I was mocked for that prediction but it looks like I will be closer to right than most predicted here when the final numbers are in.

I must have missed your post where you predicted $300 million as a best case scenario. Why am I doubting the veracity of that claim... Hmmm????

 

[GreenKToo]

Won't make the summer winner's list??? Won't it be the 2nd highest selling movie this summer behind Iron Man???? How is that not on the winner's list?????

And didn't you claim a few months ago that WB would be happy with 600 WW and that's all it would need for a sequel? Now you are claiming that 600 WW plus is no good to WB???? Sounds like you have no idea what's going on.. lol

yup..at first he said 450 mill, then 500 mill, then 550, then...well, you get the idea.
It's made more than enough for a sequel. In fact, I wouldnt be surprised if its already being penned for a 2015 release .
Thats not set in stone of course, but......

 

[Stephen K. Hone]

yup..at first he said 450 mill, then 500 mill, then 550, then...well, you get the idea.
It's made more than enough for a sequel. In fact, I wouldnt be surprised if its already being penned for a 2015 release .
Thats not set in stone of course, but......

Has anyone taken July 17th or the 24th 2015 yet?

 

[Tra-El]

Has anyone taken July 17th or the 24th 2015 yet?

I asked maybe December 2015 earlier for MOS2, setting the stage for maybe a WF, WW, Flash spinoff for mid '16..

 

[STARMAN]

July 17th, 2015th appears open. The Smurfs are listed for July 24th, 2015

 

[JangoNate]

Hate to admit it because Tobias gets on my nerves (sorry Tobias), but he's, for the most part, telling the truth about his predictions. Here's a quote from him on page 15:

"BTW, I said the deadline prediction is probably low. More like 250 million plus and less than 300 million domestic. Numbers that won't cut it. Unless you are a Bats fan."

His original WW total is $500 million from the same page.

So saying he is being super wispy washy is untrue. However, the Debbie Downer posts of his have begun since day one, literally with him calling himself a Debbie Downer.

Hit ignore and move on, but no need to make stuff up. And, yes, I have nothing better to do on a Saturday than look through old posts.