Man of Steel Box Office Prediction Thread - Part 4

[Notrip]

Went to see it with my son, who loved it more than I did (he said 10/10 and I say 9/10maybe a little higher) central time zone at 1:45 was sold out and so was the previous shows. would not be surprised if the Sunday total was a little higher, but INT numbers are big seeing 26 more markets next weekend. and it is pacing ahead of TDK by 40%. 450-550 INT plus 300+ Domestic might give Spider-man a run for his money for all-time reboot/first superhero film at the BO.

 

[Mr. Dent]

Some of them are now saying that it didn't do as well as IM3 or Toy Story 3. Pretty sad that they are hating so much.

That's pretty stupid because it actually did do better than Toy Story's opening weekend.

 

[TheNextNolan22]

Some of them are now saying that it didn't do as well as IM3 or Toy Story 3. Pretty sad that they are hating so much.

Sad. But you know....haters gonna hate. It's the second biggest opening of the year behind IM3 so far and, even without counting the Wal-Mart screenings, it's currently sitting as the biggest June opening ever. Superman is officially back and now WB has a franchise to build to an eventual Justice League film. Welcome to the DCCU. t:

 

[mclay18]

That's pretty stupid because it actually did do better than Toy Story's opening weekend.

It did, even with inflation. Only sequels like Transformers: Revenge of the Fallen and Harry Potter 3 have opened higher in June.

I doubt MOS can get to that excellent $410M total Toy Story 3 got (close to a 4x multiplier, but 3.76x isn't bad either). I don't think $350M is reachable for MOS though.

 

[UrNuts2]

Went to see it with my son, who loved it more than I did (he said 10/10 and I say 9/10maybe a little higher) central time zone at 1:45 was sold out and so was the previous shows. would not be surprised if the Sunday total was a little higher, but INT numbers are big seeing 26 more markets next weekend. and it is pacing ahead of TDK by 40%. 450-550 INT plus 300+ Domestic might give Spider-man a run for his money for all-time reboot/first superhero film at the BO.

well i'm thinking 450m int right now .. 72m int take so far from 24 overseas markets .. if one could extrapolate (lil' early i know, but for the sake of simplicity) and imagine that the other 27 overseas markets were also in the mix over this weekend, then the int take could have been a minimum of 150m IMO; if you consider that the other 27 include some more major markets compared to the 24 its been released in so far .. which makes a 60% int take of overall box office possible, placing it in the 750m ww range .. which would be impressive

 

[TheNextNolan22]

We'll see how well it does in the long run, but I'm very optimistic and see nothing, but a bright future for MOS and the DCCU.

 

[UrNuts2]

would be interested to see others' take on the INT box office & their reasoning behind their estimates

 

[Jim-El]

Was The Avengers 200 million OW worldwide or just in the USA? The final numbers for MOS are not in yet are they?
Thanks for any clarification on this.

 

[TheNextNolan22]

would be interested to see others' take on the INT box office & their reasoning behind their estimates

You mean other posters or box office analysis?

 

[TheNextNolan22]

Was The Avengers 200 million OW worldwide or just in the USA? The final numbers for MOS are not in yet are they?
Thanks for any clarification on this.

It was released a week before the U.S. It made $185.1 million worldwide before it was released in 'Murica. Iron Man 3 surpassed it.

 

[Princess Denise]

From Deadline:

Warner Bros/Legendary Pictures’ Man Of Steel took 12.2M admissions. Key markets that opened this weekend were the UK, Korea, and Mexico. The UK pulled in £11M ($17.1M) from 574 situations, dominating the market with a 75% share of the Top 5 and ranking as the biggest opening day in 2013 – +11% bigger even than Iron Man 3. But the pic just narrowly missed beating IM3 for the weekend. Mexico grossed an estimated Ps. 126M ($9.8M) from 2,600 screens, and garnered a 70% share of the market. Its opening weekend ranked as the 3rd biggest for a WB film. Korea opened to hefty KRW 9.9M ($8.8M) from 990 screens taking 72% of the Seoul Top 5. Other notable cumes are The Philippines $5.6M which was 3rd biggest all-time industry opening despite monsoon conditions), India $3.5M, Taiwan $1.5M (had biggest WB opening day ever), UAE $2.0M, Malaysia $3.0M. Pic still has 27 more markets opening next weekend, including the major countries France, Germany, Italy, Spain, Russia and China. Australia opens on June 27, Brazil July 12, and Japan August 30.

NICE!

 

[TheNextNolan22]

Sweet!

 

[UrNuts2]

You mean other posters or box office analysis?

other posters

 

[Ita-KalEl]

From boxofficemojo.com

While critics weren't thrilled with Man of Steel—it's currently rotten on Rotten Tomatoes—audience for the most part seemed to dig it. With an "A-" CinemaScore suggesting solid word-of-mouth, Man of Steel should hang on well over the next few weeks. At this point, a final total north of $300 million is likely, while $350 million could also be doable.

 

[TheNextNolan22]

other posters

Well, in that case, I'll throw in my two cents. I say it'll make $700+ million if it continues at the rate it's going at so far.

 

[bizarroelaine]

It should do about 15- 20 million here in australia when it opens in less than 2 weeks. Although WB have done themselves no favours by delaying its release here, particularly when marvel opens up a day early here and they always do well in australia

 

[Spaz]

I'm not a box office pro or anything and I know MU is gonna do numbers next weekend but I just read that 62% of the MOS audience was 25 or older. Would that not suggest that the MU audience is less likely to have a major impact on next weekend's BO numbers given MOS's audience is skewing older to begin with (especially with the good WOM). Seems like WWZ would be the movie more likely to make more of an impact to MOS's audience than MU. I think the legs will be quite respectable.

 

[Paladin-Hoss]

Congratulations Supes fans!

Looks like you guys got another succesful Franchise!

I have to wait until next week to see it...can't wait to see Faora in action!

 

[TheNextNolan22]

I still think MU is going to be #1 next week. However, I think MOS should have a very strong second weekend.

 

[Marvin]

I think 55 is the magic number for next week.

If MOS can stay above it it will be number two, if WWZ opens above it, things will get interesting.

 

[Marvin]

"The official three-day figure of $113.1 million ranks fourth all-time among non-sequels behind The Hunger Games, Alice(116) in Wonderland and Spider-Man(114); if Thursday is added back in, though, it moves up to second behind Hunger Games. "

I hope you are happy walmart

Spoiler

 

[Liam_H]

A good chance it would've been in 2nd place, probably around $119 million if they hadn't done that.

 

[schiz0id]

I loved that scene, but why the hell are you discussing it in the box office thread??

Because I CAN. And as I said random question. Jerk.

 

[TheNextNolan22]

I think 55 is the magic number for next week.

If MOS can stay above it it will be number two, if WWZ opens above it, things will get interesting.

If it does $50 million or above, $300 million is a lock.

 

[Tony Stark]

I still think MU is going to be #1 next week. However, I think MOS should have a very strong second weekend.

The Wal-Mart numbers make this a little hard to predict, but -55% is the norm for this type of film, and I have a feeling with Wal-Mart it will be -60%

55M is likely not going to happen. Depending on how the Wal-Mart totals effect things I think you start at 50M.

Even the bad Pixar films opened at about 67M, MoS won't come close to that.