I would believe Dr. Strange to be in 2016 with Cap 3. Due to the fact that they are shooting in 2015. Why would they wait another year to release Strange? So I guess the 5 movies does not include Cap and Strange. Also I don't think Marvel would only release 1 movie in 2016. IGN states that there are 2 more films that was not included in the news piece from Marvel. Here is what they predicted.
Guardians of the Galaxy: August 1, 2014
Avengers: Age Of Ultron: May 1, 2015
Ant-Man: July 17, 2015
Captain America 3: May 6, 2016
Untitled Film: July 8, 2016
Untitled Film: May 5, 2017
Untitled Film: July 28, 2017
Untitled Film: November 3, 2017
Untitled Film: July 6, 2018
Untitled Film: November 2, 2018
Untitled Film: May 3, 2019
However, 9 movies for phase 3 seems a bit overkill. Let me try to predict based on this.
Ant-Man: July 17, 2015
Captain America 3: May 6, 2016
Doctor Strange: July 8, 2016
Thor 3: May 5, 2017
Black Panther: July 28, 2017
GOTG/Hulk: November 3, 2017
Black Widow/Hawkeye: July 6, 2018
Ms. Marvel: November 2, 2018
Avengers 3: May 3, 2019