I don't care and I haven't been following the BFG so I have no comment on that. Paramount is letting the ball drop with Star Trek: Beyond though. There are plenty of known brand's released and they have much better marketing than the new Star Trek movie.
The first film only did 386 million world wide while the second one did 467 million. It's a known brand but neither film made even 500 million so it's not like it's some must see franchise for people. They aren't half-assing the marketing because they just know it will do well, that makes no sense
Both made basically the same amount of money. That tells me from looking at it that you basically have the exact same people who went to see 'Star Trek' going to see 'Into Darkness,' with a "little" less because it wasn't deemed to be as good as the first film. To me that shows a built in audience. Is it a lot? No. Would this one have done much higher with a marketing kick? I
highly doubt it. You're looking at it staying in that range 200,000,000 - 250,000,000.
You're looking at it earning the same as the previous and most likely a "little" less due to reactions from 'Into Darkness' (thus not as high as the first) and if it isn't as good as the last - you're looking at even less. Now looking at that built in audience around that range, knowing that it's going to be a little less... I would screw over the die hard fans who want to see more footage (in numbers, they don't make up the entire box office - just a small part of it), go for the general public who would be more apt to pick up on marketing and word after BvS and Civil War leaves people's heads marketing-wise and blitz it closer to release so it's fresh in people's minds closer to release to cut costs laying in extra security due to knowing they are most likely looking at earning less. If I had to guess I would say 205,000,000 give or take.
I can see the frustration in wanting to see more footage, I have as much as I need though. I can see the hesitation. But, as said, the general public has no idea about a shake up, certainly not enough to read into things and all they know is the past two. They don't follow things. They don't keep up to date. They usually just follow TV spots, interviews, word of mouth, and go. Can you build up even higher? Yeah. Here? It's not going to go higher than 228,000,000.
You are going to likely see a little less, but I would not be surprised at all if it is around the same box office as the past two, but also less due to losing Abrahams which will be noticeable and due to 'Into Darkness' not being as well liked as the first (which is a natural dip). Looking at it from there, the blitz strategy that they seem to be doing makes sense and it is security - but, as said, it makes sense from a now Trekie pov to me.