Homecoming The Box Office Thread

Predict the Box Office result.

  • Over $1 billion

  • $900 million - $1 billion

  • $800 mil - $900 mil

  • $700 mil - $800 mil

  • $600 mil - $700 mil

  • $500 mil - $600 mil

  • $400 mil - $500 mil

  • $300 mil - $400 mil

  • $200 mil - $300 mil

  • Below $200 million

  • Over $1 billion

  • $900 million - $1 billion

  • $800 mil - $900 mil

  • $700 mil - $800 mil

  • $600 mil - $700 mil

  • $500 mil - $600 mil

  • $400 mil - $500 mil

  • $300 mil - $400 mil

  • $200 mil - $300 mil

  • Below $200 million

  • Over $1 billion

  • $900 million - $1 billion

  • $800 mil - $900 mil

  • $700 mil - $800 mil

  • $600 mil - $700 mil

  • $500 mil - $600 mil

  • $400 mil - $500 mil

  • $300 mil - $400 mil

  • $200 mil - $300 mil

  • Below $200 million


Results are only viewable after voting.
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Box Office is where the heavy Iron Man marketing will may make a positive impact.Sony did the marketing SO right. So many people across the world wouldn't have assumed this Spidey was an MCU film unless Tony was very present in the trailers. Gen audiences aren't as informed as us.

To be honest, I've observed something totally opposite with the general moviegoers. The "being uninformed" aspect still stays, but I've noticed that they tend to put everything under the MCU's roof.

I've heard people thinking Deadpool and recent X-Men films are in the MCU (before their releases), so I wouldn't be wondered if they thought Homecoming was in the MCU even without the heavy marketing centered on Iron Man.
 
I hope it breaks 300M DOM, that's the target for now.
 
350 for deomesic, 550 for Overseas. Spider-man is extremely popular overseas MCU brand or not. it can definitely reach 900 with the reviews it's getting.
 
My main hope is that it reverses the domestic decline for these films.
 
I think tracking comes out on tuesdays no? I read something like that in the WW board.
 
I think around the 750 million is more likely. The Spidey brand has been damaged by Sony's handling of it over the years and this being another reboot. Even the MCU connection can only do so much. People need to see a big and good Spider-Man movie before starting to regain any faith. Sony's advertising hasn't done a great job either. Someone needs to teach them a class on how to advertise something without spoiling the entire plot.

I can believe there are plenty that are just not interested because this is yet another reboot. There should be enough though that will come out just because it is an MCU movie though.

Don't think it tops Guardians 2 in the box office. Though it isn't like getting near $850 million would be a bad thing.
Agreed. This has a Batman Begins vibe to me. Probably not as low as BB, but you can't just erase 3 bad Spidey movies in a row from the public's consciousness that easy. Trust in the brand has to be built up again.

Weird that Spider-Man is the lowest from the original trilogy when many feel like it's one of the best superhero films ever.
Spider-Man 3 is the highest grossing one worldwide! Yet another flaw in the various methods for proving there is such a thing as quality in art. We never agree with any of them. Critics, polls, or box office. Nothing ever matches our opinion of art.

So many people across the world saw Civil War, which HAD Spider-Man in it. And all of the advertisements haven't exactly been lacking the Marvel Studios logo in addition to the Sony one.

If people don't get at this point that this is an MCU film, they deserve to be confused. Has nothing to do with being informed or lack thereof when the signs have been there since last year.
I don't think the general public knows anything. Try bringing up things like "Marvel", "DC", "MCU", or "DCEU" and you'll get a blank stare from the average person. They still wonder why Superman isn't in the Avengers movies.
 
I still want 400 m DOM.

Sounds like alot until you adjust the Raimi films for inflation.
 
Fans have been waiting for another decent Spider-man film since Spider-man 2. We have gotten 3 very sub-par Spider-Man films in a row. The film is already tracking in the 100M range, and considering the response to DM3, which I thought was the weakest of the DM franchise, I have a feeling we could see an opening that might compete with GOTGv2's opening.

It was an incorrect assumption that franchise fatigue was the reason for the poor response to TASM2. The poor response was because the movie was disjointed, and fans demanded Spidey in the MCU. Sony may be many things, but they understood that demand, and they are giving the fans what they want. I think there will be an enormous response to the film.
 
Tracking from BO Pro is 125/301. If it has presale/ OW ratio same as WW and Suicide Squad then OW will be 100-107M.

I still want 400 m DOM.

Sounds like alot until you adjust the Raimi films for inflation.

Last year I also thought 400M/1B because this has Iron Man but the closer to release date the lower my prediction. No need to set me up for disappointment.
 
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I'm gonna go with reserved prediction and say it'll open to $100M. The reviews could make it go higher, but, I don't wanna be set up for disappointment.
 
I hope it does beyond expectations because that will only help in the future. Spidey being in the MCU is something we need for years to come not just 2 or 3 films.
 
Good word of mouth is what this movie needs. Legs are what's going to bring this movie over 800M WW.
 
I heard that the prediction for the OW is 125M. That's really good.
That would make it the 2nd highest Spider-Man movie OW behind SM3 with 151M.
 
The 100M OW tracking for SMH is tantamount to the 75-85M OW tracking for WW. Both were/are way too conservative. And just as I thought 85M was the low point for WW, 100M is the low point for Spidey. We're talking a SM movie in the MCU, featuring an appearance by Iron Man, with very good reviews/WOM. Honestly, if it doesn't make at least 115M OW, it will be somewhat of a disappointment, IMO. A SM movie with this much good buzz shouldn't be *that* far off from GOTG2, even if the latter was a much-anticipated sequel.
 
If it made 108 million,
I wouldn't be upset.
Especially since it is the sixth film in the franchise.
 
Tracking from BO Pro is 125/301. If it has presale/ OW ratio same as WW and Suicide Squad then OW will be 100-107M.
That is just a prediction, not tracking. We haven't gotten any tracking reports for 2 and a half weeks, when they said $90M-$108M, and that's pretty outdated now.
Tracking reports are usually published on Tuesdays, but we might not get one this week because Tuesday is July 4th.
 
Im going far and saying 140 million OW.
Transformers tanked, looks like Despicable Me is gonna tank, SMH has no competition, i think its reasonable.
 
Im going far and saying 140 million OW.
Transformers tanked, looks like Despicable Me is gonna tank, SMH has no competition, i think its reasonable.

Tank? It got $72 million first weekend and is one of the bigger openings of the year so far. How's that tanking? Especially in a field that's about to get more crowded?
 
VAriety's War for the Planet of the Apes $65M OW projection says Spider-Man: Hoemecoming is likely to open to a $100M OW: http://variety.com/2017/film/box-of...the-apes-opening-weekend-tracking-1202486697/

Pretty sure that SM tracking number is a few weeks old, it will likely increase when new numbers are released this week. Apes' tracking will probably increase as well. I don't pay much attention to early tracking, tbh...it's not exactly the most accurate.
 
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