Homecoming The Box Office Thread

[JOE]

I want this movie to break 350M DOM and 450M OS. Anything above and beyond is gravy.

 

[MessiahDecoy123]

Tank? It got $72 million first weekend and is one of the bigger openings of the year so far. How's that tanking? Especially in a field that's about to get more crowded?

Under 600 m WW for a TF movie is tanking.

That's less than TASM2 and almost half of TF4.

 

[Filmfan93]

Tank? It got $72 million first weekend and is one of the bigger openings of the year so far. How's that tanking? Especially in a field that's about to get more crowded?

Are you serious? With a budget of $217 million, an opening weekend of $72 million and a current worldwide BO of only $430 million 2 weeks after release - yes, it is tanking. It crashed gloriously in China, too with a 82% drop from Friday-Friday.

It will barely scratch a profit and it deserves to tank - this franchise has reached the lowest grounds possible. And with Spidey getting released this weekend, War the next and Dunkirk the one after, TF doesn't stand a chance.

 

[ImSGirl95]

Transformers is tanking big time. And I would say, well deserved. The franchise has became a compilation of explosions and nothing more. No interesting characters, mythologies, and whatsoever.

 

[gerrym51]

Here's my OW prediction-and i've been wrong before.

SMH will NOT break 100 million barrier. I see around 90 million

 

[Filmfan93]

Here's my OW prediction-and i've been wrong before.

SMH will NOT break 100 million barrier. I see around 90 million

I am pretty sure it will break the $100 million. With buzz around the film everywhere and 93% currently on RT, yeah it will.

 

[NotNickFury]

Under 600 m WW for a TF movie is tanking.

That's less than TASM2 and almost half of TF4.

Are you serious? With a budget of $217 million, an opening weekend of $72 million and a current worldwide BO of only $430 million 2 weeks after release - yes, it is tanking. It crashed gloriously in China, too with a 82% drop from Friday-Friday.

It will barely scratch a profit and it deserves to tank - this franchise has reached the lowest grounds possible. And with Spidey getting released this weekend, War the next and Dunkirk the one after, TF doesn't stand a chance.

I'd agree with both of you...IF I was talking about Transformers, which I'm not. I'm talking about Despicable Me 3. The quote I referenced said that it looks like Despicable Me 3 IS GOING to tank, not did tank. And obviously Transformers didn't make $72 million on its opening weekend, and Despicable Me 3's budget clearly didn't have a budget of $217 million, so clearly I wasn't referring to Transformers...

 

[gerrym51]

I am pretty sure it will break the $100 million. With buzz around the film everywhere and 93% currently on RT, yeah it will.

using that criteria Baby Driver should be going to 500 million.

although terrible reviews on rottentomatoes can sink a film-great reviews do not necessarily mean a great winner.

My opinion is an opinion. But i do believe too many spider-man reboots/movies in too short a time

 

[Solaire]

Kinda silly because the main character in Baby Driver isn't the most popular superhero in the world.

 

[Filmfan93]

using that criteria Baby Driver should be going to 500 million.

although terrible reviews on rottentomatoes can sink a film-great reviews do not necessarily mean a great winner.

My opinion is an opinion. But i do believe too many spider-man reboots/movies in too short a time

I really don't remember Baby Driver being a superhero movie and including Spider-Man - one of the most recognisable superheroes in the world. And I REALLY don't remember Baby Driver having the same amount of marketing and being part of one of the biggest franchises in the world - the MCU.

One of the most famous superheroes in the world + a 90's RT score = very high possibility that it CAN bring a $100 million weekend.

The deal between Sony and Marvel that nearly broke the Internet in February 2015 alone almost guaranteed at least a $90 million OW.

 

[MessiahDecoy123]

I'd agree with both of you...IF I was talking about Transformers, which I'm not. I'm talking about Despicable Me 3. The quote I referenced said that it looks like Despicable Me 3 IS GOING to tank, not did tank. And obviously Transformers didn't make $72 million on its opening weekend, and Despicable Me 3's budget clearly didn't have a budget of $217 million, so clearly I wasn't referring to Transformers...

Oh my bad. Force of habit, lol.

 

[Surfer]

Can't wait for Box Office Mojo to put up some tracking estimates for Spider-man Homecoming at the box office. Early tracking had it at a 90 Million opening, but given all the great critical reviews, tons of Marketing, and just Hype building I think this will easily surpass a 100 Million Opening. It's funny though because when I go to Box Office Mojo I see The Emoji movie that Sony is putting out later in the month and it makes me remember all their Stupid comments, about Spiderman Homecoming is going to be great, but how the Emoji movie is really what they are looking forward to releasing. Like the Emoji movie is their crown jewel or some crap like that, and I am just like Sony just stop.

Surfer

 

[gerrym51]

I really don't remember Baby Driver being a superhero movie and including Spider-Man - one of the most recognisable superheroes in the world. And I REALLY don't remember Baby Driver having the same amount of marketing and being part of one of the biggest franchises in the world - the MCU.

One of the most famous superheroes in the world + a 90's RT score = very high possibility that it CAN bring a $100 million weekend.

The deal between Sony and Marvel that nearly broke the Internet in February 2015 alone almost guaranteed at least a $90 million OW.

I did say 90 million.you guaranteed at least 90 million. Didn't we say the same thing?

 

[Ozbridge]

That is just a prediction, not tracking. We haven't gotten any tracking reports for 2 and a half weeks, when they said $90M-$108M, and that's pretty outdated now.
Tracking reports are usually published on Tuesdays, but we might not get one this week because Tuesday is July 4th.

Oops, my bad. Yeah those numbers are in their prediction article.

I'd agree with both of you...IF I was talking about Transformers, which I'm not. I'm talking about Despicable Me 3. The quote I referenced said that it looks like Despicable Me 3 IS GOING to tank, not did tank. And obviously Transformers didn't make $72 million on its opening weekend, and Despicable Me 3's budget clearly didn't have a budget of $217 million, so clearly I wasn't referring to Transformers...

True when I read your post I was like "It'll make 900M on a 75M budget (and an enormous marketing budget but let's not mention that) how can it be tanking?" And Transformer actually opened to 68M (with 44M OW lol)

 

[Filmfan93]

I did say 90 million.you guaranteed at least 90 million. Didn't we say the same thing?

No, we didn't. I was talking mainly about the $100 million OW possibility and you solely focused only on the last bit I've written.

 

[Vincanws]

Conservative vote.. $700-800M

 

[Flint Marko]

Can't wait for Box Office Mojo to put up some tracking estimates for Spider-man Homecoming at the box office. Early tracking had it at a 90 Million opening, but given all the great critical reviews, tons of Marketing, and just Hype building I think this will easily surpass a 100 Million Opening. It's funny though because when I go to Box Office Mojo I see The Emoji movie that Sony is putting out later in the month and it makes me remember all their Stupid comments, about Spiderman Homecoming is going to be great, but how the Emoji movie is really what they are looking forward to releasing. Like the Emoji movie is their crown jewel or some crap like that, and I am just like Sony just stop.

Surfer

That's hilarious. PR fluff at it's finest.

 

[Khaos]

it will do 1B easily.

 

[The Joker]

That would be nice. Hope it does.

 

[Skies]

New Deadline article: http://deadline.com/2017/07/spider-man-homecoming-100m-plus-domestic-box-office-opening-1202123909/

On the low end in 4,341 theaters, industry estimates figure that Homecoming can make as little as $90M, while more aggressive estimates are at $120M-plus. Sony sees $80M+, but that’s considered too conservative even in a franchise fatigued marketplace... The film is trending best with males under 25 first, then the over 25 bunch.

 

[LucDisfilm19]

New Deadline article: http://deadline.com/2017/07/spider-man-homecoming-100m-plus-domestic-box-office-opening-1202123909/

Looks like $100M is how much this movie will open to this weekend.

 

[LucDisfilm19]

it will do 1B easily.

I'd say it has a 50/50 shot at making $1 billion worldwide.

 

[StormC]

Really depends on legs and whether Apes, Dunkirk, etc. cut into its business. I have it pegged for performing similarly to GOTG2 but maybe the webhead will prove me wrong.

100M OW seems a little low with all the buzz, though. Maybe more like 120M.

 

[Leo Zelinsky]

I feel like Sony lost out on some money not releasing this on 4th of July.

 

[spiderman2]

I think it will do around 110-120 OW and I say it has almost zero chance to do a billion WW. Just to much damaged caused by the last 3 Spider-Man movies and it being a second reboot. If this was like the first reboot or the last 3 Spider-Man movies were better this would be a easy lock for a billion. If the movie is considered really good/great like most of the reviews say though and the next movie is also really good/great then I see the next Spider-Man movie doing like 1.5 billion or something really big though. Spider-Man 1-3 if you just add like 3 price all would be like right around a billion and that dosnt even include inflation or the fact that the international market has gotten much bigger sinces then.