Homecoming The Box Office Thread

[NotNickFury]

And $100 million opening weekend isn't exactly small potatoes. I know the common mentality nowadays is that if a film doesn't mean the expectations some want on a financial level, it's a failure, even when it does well, but it still seems posed to do well, even in the face of looming competition in the weeks ahead. I'm not seeing a problem.

 

[LucDisfilm19]

http://variety.com/2017/film/news/s...ox-office-opening-weekend-preview-1202487611/

 

[Skies]

http://variety.com/2017/film/news/s...ox-office-opening-weekend-preview-1202487611/

Variety: $85M-110M.

They're not very helpful in narrowing it down. :P

 

[spiderman2]

And $100 million opening weekend isn't exactly small potatoes. I know the common mentality nowadays is that if a film doesn't mean the expectations some want on a financial level, it's a failure, even when it does well, but it still seems posed to do well, even in the face of looming competition in the weeks ahead. I'm not seeing a problem.

while 100 is not like what it used to be. Ever year there are multiple movies that do 100. There are 45 movies that have made 100 million or more now including 8 just last year and 3 so far this year. http://www.boxofficemojo.com/alltime/weekends/

 

[Khaos]

I'd say it has a 50/50 shot at making $1 billion worldwide.

I'd be very surprised if a good Spider-Man movie with Iron Man in it doesn't make at least 1B.

 

[Panacea]

Given the popularity of Spider-Man and Iron Man and the excitement surrounding the former coming to the MCU, I think that a $100m opening weekend would really be quite disappointing to be honest.

I'd say it has a 50/50 shot at making $1 billion worldwide.

I would say that $1bn is extremely unlikely. For comparison, Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 had a $145m opening weekend, and that won't get close to a billion.

 

[Dizzy McCool]

Personally I hope the film has an enormous weekend tally. I do believe they are lowballing it for now.

 

[Jekecy]

Given the popularity of Spider-Man and Iron Man and the excitement surrounding the former coming to the MCU, I think that a $100m opening weekend would really be quite disappointing to be honest.

It’s coming off 2 not so well received films. Spidey’s been a downward spiral since Spider-Man 3. Despite people’s fandoms, this IP still has some goodwill to earn back. And the opening weekend will likely suffer because of it.

But it doesn’t matter if the film is as great as it sounds. When you see it have legs (like Wonder Woman), that’s only going to mean a brighter future for the IP going forward. And that’s certainly a welcome improvement all things considered.

 

[rayc1971]

Given the popularity of Spider-Man and Iron Man and the excitement surrounding the former coming to the MCU, I think that a $100m opening weekend would really be quite disappointing to be honest.

the film only cost 175 mill so anything over a 100 mill opening weekend is not a dissapointment


I would say that $1bn is extremely unlikely. For comparison, Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 had a $145m opening weekend, and that won't get close to a billion.

yup

 

[LucDisfilm19]

Box Office Pro slightly lowered their opening weekend projection to $122M: http://pro.boxoffice.com/weekend-forecast-spider-man-homecoming/

 

[spiderman2]

Box Office Pro slightly lowered their opening weekend projection to $122M: http://pro.boxoffice.com/weekend-forecast-spider-man-homecoming/

They did? I thought the highest any one had for this was 120?

 

[Skies]

Their original was $125M.

 

[MessiahDecoy123]

Box Office Pro slightly lowered their opening weekend projection to $122M: http://pro.boxoffice.com/weekend-forecast-spider-man-homecoming/

I'll take it.

That would mean 400 m DOM is still on the table.

 

[Faith_Cassidy]

Variety: $85M-110M.

They're not very helpful in narrowing it down. :P

Ha. I suspect this is a result of tracking not being the most accurate in recent years, particularly with films that may include variables that tracking can't necessarily factor in. Remember when Deadpool was tracking for a 55M OW, then 65M-75M? And these were numbers that were thrown out during the week of its release. lol Obviously, Spidey doesn't have the same variables and probably won't blow away initial tracking numbers but I think its ceiling is more around 140M, with 115M being the low point.

I'm amused by Sony saying 80M. I'm pretty sure they know the film will make more than that but likely want the great headlines when SMH easily surpasses that number. Very similar to WB's conservative projection with WW and we know how that turned out.

 

[Nicko-Ray]

I've always thought this would open to $120M. Past two ASM movies? $65M-$95M. It can get past $100M because it's the MCU, it's gotta hit $120M because of how good it is, WOM, AND Tony Stark. (even though he's not in it that much)

 

[LucDisfilm19]

They did? I thought the highest any one had for this was 120?

Box Office Pro once said $135M, then changed it to $125M and now, $122M is BOP's final prediction for SMH's OW.

 

[Webfoot Hero]

Looks like SM: HC just opened in South Korea and it had the 3rd largest opening day ($3.5 million) of any MCU film there, behind only IM3 and CA: CW.

 

[BaelaTargaryen]

http://deadline.com/2017/07/spider-man-homecoming-100m-plus-domestic-box-office-opening-1202123909/

After getting us started during the first weekend of May with the opening of Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 ($146.5M domestic) — still the top grossing release of the season at $383.4M stateside — Sony and Marvel will bridge the gap to the second half of summer with its webslinger reboot, Spider-Man: Homecoming set to make over $100M at the domestic B.O.; $190M-$210M worldwide.

By Friday, the reboot will have swung into 60% of overseas territories with the exception of such majors as France, Germany, Spain, Japan and China. Industry sources are pegging the overseas launch at anywhere from $90M-$110M, although Sony is going more conservative at $80M-$95M. Reviews and word of mouth are through the roof.

Homecoming is already off to a $3.5M start in South Korea today with over 84% of the market share. That strong start is bigger, at today’s rates, than the day one launches of comps Doctor Strange, GOTG2 and The Amazing Spider-Man 2. Each of those films, as well as the Robert Downey Jr-starrer Iron Man 3 and Captain America: Civil War, counted Korea in the Top 5 final hubs (save GOTG2 which had it in the Top 10).

On the low end stateside in 4,341 theaters, industry estimates figure that Homecoming can make as little as $90M, while more aggressive estimates are at $120M-plus. Sony sees $80M+, but that’s considered too conservative even in a franchise fatigued marketplace.

 

[LucDisfilm19]

http://www.hollywoodreporter.com/he...r-man-homecoming-scale-100m-us-launch-1018778

 

[Skies]

http://www.hollywoodreporter.com/he...r-man-homecoming-scale-100m-us-launch-1018778

Hmmm... 100m+

 

[Kaleb]

its tracking very well.

 

[JOE]

Great to see, anything north of 100M is a MASSIVE step in the right direction for Spidey. He hasn't had a 100M OW in 10 years lol!

 

[Mjölnir]

The best part of that picture is that the 3D version is lagging to the 2D one.

I was very pleasantly surprised to see that my theater had one 2D showing on the largest screen on the opening night. Usually it's all 3D so I tend to have to watch it on some of the smaller ones as I think 3D makes movies worse.

 

[AlluAllu]

I saw it in 3D in the city where I am from with the local friends. Seeing it in 2D could be a great excuse to see it with friends from the university as well.

 

[SomeOldGuy]

Gitesh:

#SpiderManHomecoming* opening wknd advance sales on @Fandango currently running above pace of #WonderWoman* at same point of sales cycle.