Homecoming The Box Office Thread

[Juan1193]

My prediction is 115 OW/315 DOM and 550 INT for a 865 million WW total. I'm assuming it'll match previous Spidey films overseas, even with current exchange rates, and get an above average domestic multiplier for an MCU film/CBM (2.6-2.9 range).

Although we'll see how it'll handle competition from Apes and Dunkirk...etc

 

[Faith_Cassidy]

Well if nothing else, I think that preview number shows that it will definitely have no problem exceeding 100M. 115-120M seems like a safe bet but I wouldn't be shocked if it ended up closer to SM3, which made 151M OW, I believe. The film just has a lot going for it that tracking wouldn't necessarily factor in.

 

[Spider-Ock]

This will have a very healthy box office run. A while ago, I think someone (maybe Forbes?) published an article that said Homecoming is one of the more kid-friendly flicks this summer. After having seen it, I definitely agree. Kids are going to love the "Suit Lady", the adorkable Spidey, and the comedy. I can see it playing like an animated movie, i.e., with tons of legs.

Regardless of my own personal views about the movie, I will be very happy if it does well at the BO. Spidey needs a shot in the arm to remind everybody why he still remains the superhero to bet on in the long run.

 

[Stark Bauer]

Definitely gonna be seeing this again in theatres...like being a kid again watching the old Spidey cartoons

 

[Leo Zelinsky]

13m last night

 

[Leo Zelinsky]

MCU fans are always worried about BO.


Marvel has the Midas touch this will make a lot of $

 

[Panacea]

GotG2 did $17m in it's Thursday previews, as a comparison.

 

[gerrym51]

Remember when 25 million was a big deal. Now 14 million is a 'sigh of relief'.

 

[iEquinox]

13m last night

That 13M number is just an educated guess by deadline. There are no official numbers yet.

 

[iEquinox]

‘Spider-Man: Homecoming’ Grabs $15.4M In Thursday Night Previews

At $15.4M, Homecoming is ahead of such Thursday preview nights as Deadpool ($12.7M), Guardians of the Galaxy ($11.2M), Wonder Woman ($11M), Captain America: The Winter Soldier ($10.2M, 2014), Spider-Man 3 ($10M, 2007), Doctor Strange ($9.4M, 2016) and The Amazing Spider-Man 2 ($8.7M, 2014).

http://deadline.com/2017/07/spider-man-homecoming-box-office-opening-1202124834/

A few recent comparisons for Preview to OW Ratio, and what Spider-Man would get if it had the same between brackets:
Suicide Squad: 6.52 ($100.4M)
Civil War: 7.17 ($110.4M)
Guardians of the Galaxy: 8.42 ($129.7M)
Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2: 8.62 ($132.6M)
Wonder Woman: 9.39 ($144.6M)

It's very unlikely that it will have a ratio as high as Wonder Woman because Spider-Man has a bigger fanbase and it isn't the first Spider-Man movie.

On the other hand it should be higher than Suicide Squad, which had a big Saturday drop(over 40%, possibly caused by bad reviews and supbar WoM) and hopefully Civil War too, which was Preview heavy because a movie with that many characters would attract many fans who want to watch it asap.

Deadline seems to be cautious to predict high opening weekend for some reason though:

These are all great signs for a prosperous weekend as Homecoming aims for a $95M-$100M+ weekend.

Would expect it to go higher than that for sure. Not sure why they're lowballing it so much.

 

[hitmanyr2k]

Nice!!

 

[StormC]

Final total should be comfortably above 100M. Been sticking to 120M ever since the reviews came in.

 

[iEquinox]

Yesterday deadline said $10M previews, could go up or down, and they were predicting $100M+ for the weekend.

Now the preview number comes in at $15.4M and they say $95M-$100M+. Gotta love deadline lol.

 

[GeckoMoria]

120 is my bet as well. The overseas numbers will take it over 850 IMO.

 

[Mysteryman]

114 is my guess.
Pretty close to what Raimi's first Spider-Man film did in 2002.

 

[LucDisfilm19]

Something to take into account of what Deadline said is that it's tracking well with males under 25 on par with Iron Man 3, which opened to $174M. So, it's going to be interesting to see how that follows up with SMH's OW. Will it have an opening on the level of Iron Man 3, Guardians 2, Spider-Man 3, Wonder Woman or Spider-Man from 2002? We'll just have to wait and see.

BTW, I'll be seeing it tonight in IMAX 3D and I'll be spreading the word on social media to get more people to see it.

 

[Tony Stark]

Wow, this will be north of 120M for the weekend, on 15.4M previews.

 

[StormC]

If Justice League is a dud, this will probably be the highest grossing superhero flick of the year. It's gonna be close between it and GOTG2.

 

[ImSGirl95]

Wow, that $15.4M number is great!!

 

[Mysteryman]

If Justice League is a dud, this will probably be the highest grossing superhero flick of the year. It's gonna be close between it and GOTG2.

Right now, I think that is a pretty big if.

 

[Solaire]

If Justice League is a dud, this will probably be the highest grossing superhero flick of the year. It's gonna be close between it and GOTG2.

Don't sleep on Ragnarok. It's the 3rd film and the trailer wowed everybody. Maybe he'll join the billion dollar club.

 

[Mysteryman]

Don't sleep on Ragnarok. It's the 3rd film and the trailer wowed everybody. Maybe he'll join the billion dollar club.

Everybody always forgets Ragnarok.

 

[Tony Stark]

Hard to say because the exchange rates have fallen since 2014, but a year in which a bad Spider-man film makes just over 700M WW, you would think that this film would easily be past 800 or 900M. WW won't get past 750M, so I think 800M is the floor for this film as it's going to have more of a 60-40 split between foreign and domestic. WW is nearly 50/50 split.

 

[GeckoMoria]

Right now, I think that is a pretty big if.

Not really considering DCEU's track record and especially snyder's.

 

[StormC]

Don't sleep on Ragnarok. It's the 3rd film and the trailer wowed everybody. Maybe he'll join the billion dollar club.

I'm really looking forward to Ragnarok, but Thor hasn't really done the previous BO numbers to justify such a huge jump (especially domestically). I'd guess it will fall in the 700-800M range due to the fresh direction for the series and the inclusion of Hulk, but I'm not expecting it to get even close to a billion.