Homecoming The Box Office Thread

[DieSmiling]

Everyone seems to be low balling the opening weekend to me. I think it's gonna be in the $125 neighborhood.

I'm gonna say:

OW: 125
Dom: 350
Intl: 600
WW: 950, flirting with a billion

Finishes 4th among superheroes domestically but 2nd WW.

 

[Mysteryman]

Not really considering DCEU's track record and especially snyder's.

Still hard to say because the marketing push for Justice League is months away.
that will make a difference.
and a lot of people are going to remember how much they enjoyed Wonder Woman and WW is going to be a big part of that marketing push.

 

[legendkillin]

I'm really looking forward to Ragnarok, but Thor hasn't really done the previous BO numbers to justify such a huge jump (especially domestically). I'd guess it will fall in the 700-800M range due to the fresh direction for the series and the inclusion of Hulk, but I'm not expecting it to get even close to a billion.

Thor will be the closest connect to the IW so that is on its side. This is also the first real Thor adventure with no Jane and her tag alongs to drag him down. The movie has a great cast and so much going for it.

If JL disappoints then Thor will get extra traffic. The last 3 Spider-Man movies have been terrible and we are here saying this might get a billion. It's a Marvel thing, just magic.

 

[Panacea]

Don't sleep on Ragnarok. It's the 3rd film and the trailer wowed everybody. Maybe he'll join the billion dollar club.

I seriously doubt that Thor: Ragnarok will be able to beat Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 or Spider-Man: Homecoming, let alone get close to a billion, especially with Justice League coming out two weeks later.

 

[LucDisfilm19]

Still hard to say because the marketing push for Justice League is months away.
that will make a difference.
and a lot of people are going to remember how much they enjoyed Wonder Woman and WW is going to be a big part of that marketing push.

Also, if WB doesn't show too much (Doomsday in BvS), leaves Snyder's name out of the trailers to keep people's excitement about JL from flailing, and decides on a final runtime/final cut that works for JL, it'll be better received and help the DCEU move forward. All of the above could factor into JL's marketing given the divisive reception to BvS and because of Geoff Johns and Jon Berg now being involved as the new leaders, or as people say "Kevin Feige-type figures" of the DCEU for WB.

 

[LucDisfilm19]

I seriously doubt that Thor: Ragnarok will be able to beat Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 or Spider-Man: Homecoming, let alone get close to a billion, especially with Justice League coming out two weeks later.

Well, Thor might make a billion before JL only because it has an early overseas start before it's USA release compared to JL.

 

[Solaire]

Just saying if Ragnarok follows the trend it'll get a huge trilogy ending boost. Cap 3 and Iron Man 3 both did a billion. Don't forget the box office numbers for Thor and Cap were pretty much the same until Civil War. Just think Ragnarok can be huge, the trailer was that good.

 

[StormC]

Cap 3 and Iron Man 3 both did a billion.

A certain shellhead might have had something to do with that.

 

[legendkillin]

Just saying if Ragnarok follows the trend it'll get a huge trilogy ending boost. Cap 3 and Iron Man 3 both did a billion. Don't forget the box office numbers for Thor and Cap were pretty much the same until Civil War. Just think Ragnarok can be huge, the trailer was that good.

I don't think it is a trilogy ender, if any character can continue on then that character is Thor. If they finally get it right it would make sense to continue exploring.

 

[StormC]

Hemsworth is definitely the most likely to stick around between him, Evans and RDJ.

 

[MessiahDecoy123]

I'm thinking this will get between 130-140 m OW.

Which means it just need 3x multiplier for 400 m DOM.

600 m OS is also looking good.

So...

135 m OW
400 DOM
1 billion WW

 

[Nicko-Ray]

I'm thinking this will get between 130-140 m OW.

Which means it just need 3x multiplier for 400 m DOM.

600 m OS is also looking good.

So...

135 m OW
400 DOM
1 billion WW

135 OW would be amazing. Still hoping for at least 120.

 

[Tony Stark]

I'm thinking this will get between 130-140 m OW.

Which means it just need 3x multiplier for 400 m DOM.

600 m OS is also looking good.

So...

135 m OW
400 DOM
1 billion WW

I'm really hoping Planet of the Apes fails hard and Spidey gets two weeks at no. 1.

 

[legendkillin]

I'm really hoping Planet of the Apes fails hard and Spidey gets two weeks at no. 1.

I don't want Apes to fail hard, but I would love for Spidey to be on the top again. The audience for both movies are different, younger people will gravitate to Spidey. Then again how many teens go to see a movie more than once?

If children like it they can ask their parents so see it again. I don't see Planet of the Apes being a bring your family movie. Kids are not badgering their parents to see it.

 

[I Am The Knight]

I'm really hoping Planet of the Apes fails hard and Spidey gets two weeks at no. 1.

Really...Love the Spider-Man character all you want (I know I do) but wishing a quality movie to fall just so that HC can get some more money?

 

[Webfoot Hero]

I'm really hoping Planet of the Apes fails hard and Spidey gets two weeks at no. 1.

It's doing real well with critics so I don't think it'll fail but it's a movie that I don't think has the biggest of audiences or mainstream appeal to seriously hurt SM: HC long-term.

 

[Leo Zelinsky]

Really...Love the Spider-Man character all you want (I know I do) but wishing a quality movie to fall just so that HC can get some more money?

Most want it to fail because it's a FOX movie. That's the thought process in the Keep Hope Alive Thread

 

[Tony Stark]

Really...Love the Spider-Man character all you want (I know I do) but wishing a quality movie to fall just so that HC can get some more money?

Sorry, I liked the first Apes reboot with Franko, I thought the second one was stupid, not a fan of this franchise.

 

[Alana´s Gun]

I'm really hoping Planet of the Apes fails hard and Spidey gets two weeks at no. 1.

But what IF Planet of the Apes is superior?

 

[Tony Stark]

It's doing real well with critics so I don't think it'll fail but it's a movie that I don't think has the biggest of audiences or mainstream appeal to seriously hurt SM: HC long-term.

This is a franchise that is totally lost on me. I liked the one where it was finding a cure for Alzheimers causing the Apes to grow sentient. I never understood the love for the second one, and the third looks like nothing I want to see personally.

 

[Webfoot Hero]

This is a franchise that is totally lost on me. I liked the one where it was finding a cure for Alzheimers causing the Apes to grow sentient. I never understood the love for the second one, and the third looks like nothing I want to see personally.

I don't get the appeal of it either but for some, it's their cup of tea.

 

[BaelaTargaryen]

http://deadline.com/2017/07/spider-man-homecoming-box-office-opening-1202124834/

4th Update, Midday Friday: “It’s definitely going over $100M, there’s no way the wheels are falling off this one.” Those are the words of a wise rival distribution executive on the expected results for Sony/Marvel’s Spider-Man: Homecoming which on the low end is looking at a three-day of $105M. That’s bound to be the third best debut for both a Sony release and a Spider-Man movie following 2007’s Spider-Man 3 ($151.1M) and the original 2002 film ($114.8M). Some even see Homecoming busting past $112M, possibly even hitting $120M, but it’s still too early to call those figures. Today alone, Homecoming looks to clear between $42M-$45M with last night representing 34%-37% of that figure.

 

[Patchwork Man]

I'm really hoping Planet of the Apes fails hard and Spidey gets two weeks at no. 1.

Why? War looks like a great movie. I've no doubt Iron Spider will be No. 1 two weeks in a row, but unlike GOTG2, it actually has some competition.

 

[iEquinox]

So deadline is upping their prediction by about $10M.

2.5x $42-45M would give an opening weekend of $105-112.5M, so they seem to thinking Spider-Man will get an exact 2.5x internal multiplier, which should be a reasonable guess. (Out of the previous 15 MCU movies, only 3 had an internal multiplier below 2.5, while also only 3 went over 2.6)

But their opening day number is still a very rough estimate, it's way too early for them to give a very confident prediction. It isn't even 4pm ET or 1pm PT yet.
These numbers are still very rough estimates, and their opening day number could still be way off. We won't have a real clue about where it could end up for a few more hours.

 

[Coolkid]

I still think Apes should've been released a week later. I've been waiting for war for the planet apes and want it to succeed big. But feel like Homecoming and apes are gonna affect each other's box office...!!!