Captain Marvel The Captain Marvel box office prediction thread

[Shuri]

It has recovered in China a great deal according to BOT, looking at a 22.5-24.5m 2nd weekend, and a 160-180m finish.

Wow! What brought that on? The trailer?

 

[Shuri]

Something about this movie is resonating with audiences despite what the haters and critics believe.

Yea, outside this board I've not met one person that hated it. They all liked it, women particularly loved it.

 

[Silver Surfer]

Wow! What brought that on? The trailer?

Apparently the Chinese boxoffice is very volatile, don't think the recovery had anything to do with the trailer though, since it started to improve a day or two before it dropped.

 

[Kuwolski]

Gavin Feng thinks it's disappointing based on the 2nd weekend drop, but it has recovered somewhat. Last weekend the final tally was thought to be around 150 m

 

[Iceman]

In these times, it’s now considered a badge of honor.

RT consensus for Citizen Kane 2: With no doubt the best film of all time, but no boycott - 10%

 

[Iceman]

‘Captain Marvel’ Rising To Second Best 2nd Weekend In March With $70M+; ‘Wonder Park’ Punching $20M+

Lovely! With a good US hold and a recovery in China, expectations should rise for the final number. The target will be beyond a billion now.

 

[Iceman]

BOT Japanese update:

$6.5 million OW

Captain Marvel is on course to debut at the #1 spot this weekend, dethroning Doraemon which seemed poised to reign atop the weekend box office until April. And not only will Ms. Marvel likely take the #1 spot, her film is well on track to claim the biggest opening weekend for a Marvel/DC film outside of the Avengers/Spider-Man franchises.

Awesome! That is a very healthy start for Japan.

 

[Patrick77]

Good news all around. But it really is a fun movie, so it doesn't surprise me too much. Also a movie that is rewarding to re-watch.

 

[Iceman]

I find Brie more attractive than Scarlett and Elizabeth but what do I know?
I'm looking forward to the Black Widow movie - I'm just hoping it's really not a prequel. Same with the Scarlet Witch/Vision show.
Fans are obviously liking Carol Danvers and she's only going to get better after each appearance. Not too many people were high on Thor after his two solo films and now he was just voted most popular Avenger. Cap too. It wasn't until Winter Soldier and Ultron where he became a fan favourite

Yeah, I don't want prequels for those. Heavy use of flashbacks, sure.

 

[Iceman]

Obviously my ticket was lost at will call as I had to actually pay for my viewing today.

Don't worry, the Disney refund process is very smooth and they usually throw in another 10 tickets to make you feel better.

 

[Silver Surfer]

Update from BOT:

Captain Marvel: $19.1mn

 

[ironman_rick]

I really think the endgame trailer gave this movie more traction for this week. Disney's marketing is simply out of this world.

 

[Patrick77]

That was definitely a shrewd decision going into this weekend, which is fairly wide open.

Tickets for Endgame going on sale will probably be the next thing. Maybe sometime this coming week?

 

[Iceman]

I really think the endgame trailer gave this movie more traction for this week. Disney's marketing is simply out of this world.

Everything feeds back into everything else. It works so well.

 

[Webfoot Hero]

Don't worry, the Disney refund process is very smooth and they usually throw in another 10 tickets to make you feel better.

I've been waiting for those ever since The Avengers so obviously I'm not doing something right.

 

[Shuri]

Captain Marvel killing it at the Box office, Endgame trailer drops, X-Men and FF back with Marvel Studios starting next Wednesday and now James Gunn gets re-hired for GotG 3. I'm not sure how much more good news I can handle from a Marvel fanboy perspective.

I'm so happy, I just heard about Gunn. What a great week for marvel fans.

 

[Shuri]

‘Captain Marvel’ Rising To Second Best 2nd Weekend In March With $70M+; ‘Wonder Park’ Punching $20M+

Rise baby, rise.

 

[Shuri]

Excellent.
This will drive the haters crazy.

They were anxiously waiting for 80% 2nd weekend drop, poor souls. I wonder what they will do next.

 

[Shuri]

I really think the endgame trailer gave this movie more traction for this week. Disney's marketing is simply out of this world.

MCU movies are all one big advertisement for the next. That's the beauty of this universe and why it will be hard for it to fail. You might not love all of them, but they will give something interesting to look forward to. The detractors can call it TV shows or whatever, but they can't deny it works.

 

[Silver Surfer]

Anything in the 68-71m range virtually locks in 400m, at that point the number to see if it reaches is 425m. Impeccable.

 

[Shuri]

I just wanted it to make 400m, anything above that is gravy.

 

[Iceman]

They were anxiously waiting for 80% 2nd weekend drop, poor souls. I wonder what they will do next.

The followers are going to know the ringleaders don’t really know what they’re talking about underneath.

 

[Iceman]

MCU movies are all one big advertisement for the next. That's the beauty of this universe and why it will be hard for it to fail. You might not love all of them, but they will give something interesting to look forward to. The detractors can call it TV shows or whatever, but they can't deny it works.

The MCU combines the benefits of film and top TV shows for many viewers. So you get the loyalty that is possible with a long running show combined with film production standards and the theater experience.

 

[Iceman]

I just wanted it to make 400m, anything above that is gravy.

Yes, $400m is the magic number (and looking guaranteed at this point). Everything beyond is just a huge bonus.

 

[Silver Surfer]

Interesting tidbit:

According to Screen Engine/ComScore’s PostTrak more women came out this weekend for Captain Marvel than last weekend with significant jumps in the female under 25 demo (27% vs. last Saturday’s 19%). Overall females are at 47% versus last weekend’s 42%. A solid four stars and 68% definite recommend in weekend 2 exit polls.