Captain Marvel The Captain Marvel box office prediction thread

[Ctfxcwatcher]

Black Panther's box office run was amazing. That Saturday to Sunday drop was something else.

 

[Webfoot Hero]

I think the WW box office has been waiting for something big to see and I'm glad CM is delivering.

 

[Webfoot Hero]

Black Panther's box office run was amazing. That Saturday to Sunday drop was something else.

That was just unprecedented. I could see EG maybe getting close to that but BP is likely going to keep that record.

 

[Naglfar]

Anyhoo, the number crunchers at BOT are saying it's unlikely to hit the 160m mark, they say deadline is factoring in a much softer drop than what MCU usually gets. They say 150-155m is much more likely.

If it ends up grossing $63.5M (like they 're predicting) on Friday and adding the Thursday previews for a $84M total OD, then even with a 2.0 internal multiplier (which i think is on the low end) it would go on to make $168M OW

 

[Silver Surfer]

If it ends up grossing $63.5M (like they 're predicting) on Friday and adding the Thursday previews for a $84M total OD, then even with a 2.0 internal multiplier (which i think is on the low end) it would go on to make $168M OW

This is what the BOT posters are projecting:

BP fell 13% on Sat from full Friday. don't think CM can better that. A more realistic/conservative Sat drop would be 17%-18%


63.5
52.1 -18%
35.9 -31%
151.5M total

 

[Ctfxcwatcher]

That was just unprecedented. I could see EG maybe getting close to that but BP is likely going to keep that record.

I think a lot more people will appreciate it in the coming years especially when it comes to solo superhero films.

 

[Naglfar]

Yep my bad. I thought the estimated $63.5M didn't include Thursday previews, when in fact it does. So yes, ~$150M seems more likely.

 

[Tony Stark]

We'll see what kind of hold it has on Sunday. BP had President's day weekend going for it, so that's going to be a factor here. I'd say $150 is more realistic.

 

[terry78]

I'm seeing on my AMC app how most of the showings including the imax and 3d ones, are close to full or sold out. That rarely happens.

 

[MahvelBaby!]

Both crowds I've seen it with were really into it.

 

[Silver Surfer]

63-65m Friday according to Rth.

 

[terry78]

Like WW I think a lot of little girls are going to like it.

 

[MahvelBaby!]

Is that good? Lol @Silver Surfer

 

[Silver Surfer]

Is that good? Lol @Silver Surfer

It's excellent, good for 150, and if it hits the high end it's reaching 160+.

 

[MahvelBaby!]

Good good *emperor voice*

 

[JOE]

Hope this movie makes 150M OW. Just got back from my screening and I had a blast!

 

[Silver Surfer]

Great legs incoming!

 

[Iceman]

Great legs incoming!

Awesome! One more big thing in its favour.

 

[Iceman]

Black Panther's box office run was amazing. That Saturday to Sunday drop was something else.

It was quite unbelievable watching it unfold and keep smashing what had been said a few hours before.

 

[Silver Surfer]

Deadline Update:

Disney’s Captain Marvel is a huge hit with a $62M Friday (including Thursday $20.7M previews) and a $160M opening weekend.

‘Captain Marvel’ Tramples Internet Trolls & Skyrockets To $160M Opening

BOT are still adamant it's closer to 150 then 160, we shall see.

 

[MahvelBaby!]

Time to haunt Troll dreams

 

[Silver Surfer]

Time to haunt Troll dreams

Apparently there was a youtuber who said he would eat his own s*** if CM opened to 150 or more. He was convinced it would open to less than 80m due to the 'backlash'...

 

[MahvelBaby!]

Apparently there was a youtuber who said he would eat his own s*** if CM opened to 150 or more. He was convinced it would open to less than 80m due to the 'backlash'...

Bwaaaahahaha epic!

 

[Iceman]

‘Captain Marvel’ Shines With $44M In 2 Days Overseas + China Friday Of $34M For #2 MCU Middle Kingdom Debut Ever

Overseas update too. We could be on for over $210m to go with the $150m + from domestic! What a debut that would be.

Heading into the weekend, estimates on the international debut were ranging from $180M-$210M+. It will go well higher than the latter figure.

 

[Saitou Hajime]

The haters are now going to move the goalposts and say "let's wait for the second weekend drop".