Dark Phoenix $ The DARK PHOENIX Box Office Speculation ThreaD $

[samsnee]

Still seems too high a number for this movie.

 

[SomeOldGuy]

I'll like to know what it made in the UK since Wednesday. I went to the first screening and there was literally 10 people in there. Apocalypse was full.

Deadline didn’t have numbers yet but they said it was down 50% from Apocalypse in the UK. Apocalypse opened at 10.6 and finished at 24.3, so...

 

[SomeOldGuy]

 

[Shuri]

I feel bad for Fassbender and McAvoy. Those two always give out their best, regardless of the material and/or script.

Same. I hope we great them in the MCU. McAvoy could make a great Reed IMO.

 

[Shuri]

The box office is not looking good, it’s sad that this historical franchise will end this way. On the hindsight, maybe it would has been better not to do a First Class reboot at all and letting X3 be the last team movie and spinning off Wolverine.
First Class reboot was a mistake, they was better off creating solo movies. I would have love seeing a Iceman movie and other solo X-Men.

I would never call first class a mistake. It's one of the best CBMs and the best Xmen movie IMO. The mistake was making this movie instead of ending the franchise with DOFP.

 

[Shuri]

No X-Men film should open lower than freakin’ Shazam even if it is domestically.

Yeah. And to think I thought Shazam would be the lowest grossing SH movie this year. Get ready guys, if this keeps going lower, DP will not gross 100m domestically and will probably end its WW gross below 300m. This movie cost close to 200m!

 

[Chesterfield]

People actually voted over $700M??? Hahahahaha, we all need to dream I suppose.

This will be lucky to cross $500M. Extremely lucky.

 

[Micromind]

While it's true that Shazam is the lowest earning SH movie this year (correction: actually not, that would be Hellboy) but we have to remember that it had a low budget.

Shazam made $363 mil worldwide on a $100 mil budget, so it's gross total to budget ratio is 3.63

Now if DP's budget is at $200 mil, to get same multiplier as Shazam's (3.63) it will have to earn $726 mil at the end of its run.

 

[samsnee]

Same. I hope we great them in the MCU. McAvoy could make a great Reed IMO.

There’s no way they will be in the MCU anytime soon for any role. It would be one thing if they had only done one comic book movie but they’ve done several and are forever associated with X-men.

 

[EnDz0n3]

Boxoffice.com still says $40-50Mil after that $5Mil Thursday preview numbers.

Thursday Night: Dark Phoenix Fires Up $5.0M; Secret Life of Pets 2 Takes In $2.3M

 

[Kanon]

Deadline updated their projections (bold added)

Fox’s Dark Phoenix under its new boss Disney — that film has a lot to worry about. Pic is currently seeing $15M-$16M today and some are seeing this bird being turned to toast with a $36.5M opening. That’s the lowest opening ever for an X-Men movie, lower than the original 2000 film’s $54.4M start. That atrocious 23% Rotten Tomatoes score, the lowest for the franchise, means casual fans aren’t even going to attend. Just the hardcore ones. Three stars here from general audiences who turned up at 85% on PostTrak. Sixty percent guys last night, 40% females. A low 51% definite recommend. Guys loathe Dark Phoenix more than woman, 67% to 77%.

‘Secret Life Of Pets 2’ Seeing $47M+, But ‘Dark Phoenix’ Up In Smoke With $36M+ — Lowest Opening For ‘X-Men’ Movie – Deadline

 

[EnDz0n3]

This is Fan4stic territory people!!!

 

[Kanon]

It speaks volumes that it's getting near to half of Apocalypse's OW (and of course far below half of Logan)

 

[I Am The Knight]

Brutal.

 

[shinlyle]

Ouch...so it'll be lucky to hit 100 million domestic?! That's sad. Pathetic, actually. I remember in the Avengers boards, someone actually came in saying that Avengers would only be the top-grossing film until Dark Phoenix came out.

Guy is probably on suicide watch now.

 

[psylockolussus]

My God, i hope it grosses at least 100 million! there can't be just 8 digits for a X-Men film.

X3 earned over 100 million in 3 days.

 

[Raiders]

You’re the one who doesn’t get it. The Top 10 openings this year have all been Adaptations, Sequels and Reboots save for one: Us.

Ditto for 2018, save for one: Bohemian Rhapsody.

All of 2017’s Top 10 were Adaptations, Sequels and Prequels.

Now tell me again how an overwhelming majority likes original content and have “sequel and reboot fatigue.” It’s a nice sentiment but the facts don’t follow it.

OMG! You really don’t get it.

 

[Raiders]

It will probably make $500 million worldwide, which is very good. But we are so spoiled by the MCU numbers, it makes $500 million look like a flop.

 

[Kanon]

I think you are gonna new two new markets the size of China to reach 500M

 

[Filmfreak]

It will probably make $500 million worldwide, which is very good. But we are so spoiled by the MCU numbers, it makes $500 million look like a flop.

Not really. The movie is said to have cost 200 million with reshoots. You should also add another 100 on worldwide marketing and always remember that only part of the earnings goes directly to studios' pockets and an even smaller percentage when we're talking overseas grossing. So with that in mind the movie will likely lose money. Also it probably won't even do as much as 500 million either.

 

[psylockolussus]

It will probably make $500 million worldwide, which is very good. But we are so spoiled by the MCU numbers, it makes $500 million look like a flop.

500 million is unlikely to happen Xpecially the numbers in China and America are way down from Apocalypse, which would lead to bigger drops and Apocalypse earned 543 million.

Didn't you say, that the film was gonna earn a billion last month?

 

[Dark Raven]

500 million is unlikely to happen Xpecially the numbers in China and America are way down from Apocalypse, which would lead to bigger drops and Apocalypse earned 543 million.

Didn't you say, that the film was gonna earn a billion last month?

It will probably earn a billion.... in a different timeline.

 

[Iceman]

It will probably earn a billion.... in a different timeline.

Maybe not even.

 

[EnDz0n3]

OMG! You really don’t get it.

LOL Please show me the numbers that prove your point.

 

[imfinewithit]

God damn 36.5 million. If that happens this really isn't going to make it over 90m domestic. It'd be insane if this finishes under 296.3m WW (X1 and the lowest across the entire franchise to date).