Days of Future Past The Official X-Men: First Class Box Office Discussion Thread!

How much do you think X-Men: First Class will earn worldwide?

  • $0 – 50 million

  • $50 – 100 million

  • $100 – 150 million

  • $150 – 200 million

  • $200 – 250 million

  • $250 – 300 million

  • $300 – 350 million

  • $350 – 400 million

  • $400 – 450 million

  • $450 – 500 million

  • $500+ million

  • $0 – 50 million

  • $50 – 100 million

  • $100 – 150 million

  • $150 – 200 million

  • $200 – 250 million

  • $250 – 300 million

  • $300 – 350 million

  • $350 – 400 million

  • $400 – 450 million

  • $450 – 500 million

  • $500+ million

  • $0 – 50 million

  • $50 – 100 million

  • $100 – 150 million

  • $150 – 200 million

  • $200 – 250 million

  • $250 – 300 million

  • $300 – 350 million

  • $350 – 400 million

  • $400 – 450 million

  • $450 – 500 million

  • $500+ million


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How can people even expect that high numbers after the sour taste the last two movies have left.

All the good will that was made by Singer with X-Men and X2 has been completely used up by the Last Stand and Origins.

An uphill climb was expected. Fox while doing typical PR is basically saying that its hard to gain back an audience you've repelled with the last two movies.

Couldn't agree more. This conclusion was right there in front of everyone the whole time and few-to-none chose to acknowledge it thinking the brand-name was strong enough and not taking into account the most important question: what did people think of the last movie? That's why I never take tracking, box-office projections, etc. fully to heart because they tend to blow this and/or use the Internet and movie-news sites/fandom as the parameter of how a big tentpole will open.

Same thing as Shrek Forever After last summer, Pirates 4 this summer and what will go down with Spider-Man next summer...
 
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$56 million isn't that bad, I just hate it when box office analysts say that it opened very low because of the lack of Wolverine, screw him!

Yeah sure Wolverine is a favorite badass but he doesn't have to be the centerpiece in all X-Men films.
 
120 million worldwide on opening weekend for First Class.

Can you say sequel?

No. Look at the domestic number by itself.
If First Class really cost $160mil (which would be more than Thor, BTW), then it needs at least $180mil domestic for a sequel, based on what I've seen before.
They only get about 1/4 of the foreign take. So the 120 mil worldwide is misleading when it comes to predicting the success or failure of FC.
This movie better have some LEGS.
Next weekend is do or die for First Class.
 
I guess FOX is going to wait a few weeks before deciding what to do next with X-Men
 
$56 million isn't that bad, I just hate it when box office analysts say that it opened very low because of the lack of Wolverine, screw him!

Yeah sure Wolverine is a favorite badass but he doesn't have to be the centerpiece in all X-Men films.

It ain't bad.
Let's see if the WOM is there and kicks in.
The percentage of next weekend's drop will let us know.
 
Couldn't agree more. This conclusion was right there in front of everyone the whole time and few-to-none chose to acknowledge it thinking the brand-name was strong enough and not taking into account the most important question: what did people think of the last movie? That's why I never take tracking, box-office projections, etc. fully to heart because they tend to blow this and/or use the Internet and movie-news sites/fandom as the parameter of how a big tentpole will open.

Same thing as Shrek Forever After last summer, Pirates 4 this summer and what will go down with Spider-Man next summer...

With that said though I'm hoping that First Class is able to replicate Batman Begins numbers who similarly had a same road to travel due to the Schumacher movies. I'll be content if it can do that because First Class is a great movie and that's it's advantage in comparison to Pirates 4 and Shrek 4.

With Forever After and Pirates 4 you have franchises that are more a less completely drained and tired out and weren't warmly received by either critics or fans and the movies themselves didn't do much to instill much confidence in terms of quality for the future.

As for Spider-Man it will definitely face the same journey both Begins had to endure and one that First Class is currently going through.
 
The Amazing Spider-Man has dodged a huge bullet now that it appears the Star Trek sequel probably won't make that June 29, 2012 release date. It would have eaten the web-slinger alive. Don't doubt that for a second.

That said, it's still going to be rough sea ahead for the Spider-Man reboot. They won't have Star Trek 2 to use as an excuse if it under-performs like I think it will.
 
It would be great if we had more films in the First Class franchise as i genuinely am excited to see where Singer/Vaughn take the story next.

But, whatever happens, Fox is not letting go of the X-Men rights. There will be more films of some kind, one way or another. The Wolverine and Deadpool are in the pipeline, and an X4/X5 have been mentioned.
 
my money's on this spider-man reboot doing a lot better than the star trek reboot did.
 
X-Men: First Class was unleashed in 74 countries and drew an estimated $64 million (including previews), which was five percent higher overall than X-Men: Wolverine's openings in the same countries. First Class was projected to be No. 1 in around 30 countries over the weekend, and its top-grossing ones were the United Kingdom and France. In the U.K., it made $9 million (including previews), which was off nine percent from Wolverine, while, in France, it nabbed $7.7 million, up ten percent from Wolverine.

In most of its markets, First Class was down from Wolverine, like in Spain and Belgium, or only marginally higher, like in Australia and Russia, but major improvements mostly in Asia put it over the top. In South Korea, First Class raked in $5.2 million or more than two and half times Wolverine's start, and big gains were made in Taiwan (quadrupling Wolverine), Thailand, the Philippines, Singapore and Malaysia (distributor 20th Century Fox's highest-grossing opening ever). All told, First Class posted franchise-high opening grosses in 14 countries.

http://www.boxofficemojo.com/news/?id=3180&p=.htm
 
The Amazing Spider-Man has dodged a huge bullet now that it appears the Star Trek sequel probably won't make that June 29, 2012 release date. It would have eaten the web-slinger alive. Don't doubt that for a second.

That said, it's still going to be rough sea ahead for the Spider-Man reboot. They won't have Star Trek 2 to use as an excuse if it under-performs like I think it will.


Yep, I don't think Amazing Spidey is going to do anywhere near as well as any of the previous Spidey movies. But apparently it has a much lower budget, just barely $100M I think so Sony is playing it safe.
 
Yep, I don't think Amazing Spidey is going to do anywhere near as well as any of the previous Spidey movies. But apparently it has a much lower budget, just barely $100M I think so Sony is playing it safe.

That was the early word. Now cast members have come out along with Sony saying they relocated funds from other future Sony films including the Ghost Rider sequel (ugh) to Spidey so thats a good thing.

It's now in the $150-200 million range.
 
Wow, well I take that back then lol
 
I think Amazing Spider-man will make at least 600 m worldwide which is enough for a sequel.
 
The Amazing Spider-Man has dodged a huge bullet now that it appears the Star Trek sequel probably won't make that June 29, 2012 release date. It would have eaten the web-slinger alive. Don't doubt that for a second.

That said, it's still going to be rough sea ahead for the Spider-Man reboot. They won't have Star Trek 2 to use as an excuse if it under-performs like I think it will.

Are you Jamie Williams from Think McFly Think website?!!

Big fan of your site especially the podcasts.
 
Right now the only X film we can safe count on Is The Wolverine.

If Deadpool doesn't go Into production In 2012 it Isn't happening.With a director attached they have no excuses.If ryan Reynolds doesn't commit to a shooting schedule it IS over for that.

Before people take Fox's PR to heart remember ABC sent out press release after the V Finale prasing It's numbers and then cancled the show.

The weekday numbers and the dropoff against Super 8 will help tell the story.

Fox could very well decide they are better off assembling vets of previous X Films and going with X4/X5.

People should be crossing their fingers about a First Class sequel till Fox announces what Is next for the X-Men franchise besides The Wolverine.
 
I saw the film today. I really wasn't planning to see it (X-Men 3 :eek:), but I had a few hours to kill. I thought the film was quite good.
 
I saw the film today. I really wasn't planning to see it (X-Men 3 :eek:), but I had a few hours to kill. I thought the film was quite good.

Why would X3 have any impact?

This has Singer back on board, another director, other writers. How is this film remotely related to X3 apart from having X-Men in the name?

That is the same as not wanting to see Casino Royale because you didn't like Die Another Day.
 
Next weekend will be very telling for the future. I've seen a few people asking for more info about the movie from the likes of Laura Shuler Donner and whether this is really a prequel or quasi reboot or whatever. I think next weekend, we'll have an idea. I think everybody at Fox is going to be very quiet until the end of the month at the earliest. I'm sure week 2 is going to be very important. If it holds well(and it could go either way at this point), it'll be about how well it holds during Green Lantern's opening(and let's not kid ourselves, even if it holds great next week, it's gonna crumble during GL's opening).

If it holds well enough through the end of the month, we'll get another one and it'll be batman begins all over again. If it DOESN'T hold and it crumbles, it'll go down as an great movie not enough people saw, they will definitely push out another Wolverine flick(maybe even quicker than before) and they might even attempt to build an X4, we'll see. No matter what happens, Fox ain't giving up the rights anytime soon.
 
Week 1 - 56 m
Week 2 - 32 m
week 3 - 20 m
week 4 - 9 m
week 5 - 4 m
By the end of its run - 135 m.
Internationally it could be - 120 m.
Worldwide total - 255 m.

This is my prediction.
 
maybe it was the lack of Stan Lee?
Or maybe it was the diversity of action as opposed to a guy either standing around swing a mallet or shooting lasers in a circle.

These are hulk numbers.
 
Week 1 - 56 m
Week 2 - 32 m
week 3 - 20 m
week 4 - 9 m
week 5 - 4 m
By the end of its run - 135 m.
Internationally it could be - 120 m.
Worldwide total - 255 m.

This is my prediction.

Your counting weekend numbers but what about weekdays? You can add another 100 mil worldwide to your total if you count weekdays.
 
alot of people I talk too, seemed abit put off, and confused by the timeline, with it being a prequel... and the lack of familiar characters/face
 
If this film tops $110 million it will be a miracle. Too crowded a summer folks. Super 8 crushes it this Friday and then comes Lantern, Cars 2, Transformers, and a host of others. It just doesn't have time to stay in big enough halls to make any serious cash. I can't understand why this film was not held until late summer or early fall. I guess they gambled and hoped one big opening weekend during the summer would translate better than letting it find an audience this fall. I believe this was a mistake. A fine picture, great cast and a great script. It deserves better than it is getting.
 
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