The Dark Knight The Oscar Push!

[Kargo Warrior]

There is a rumor around the net that the oscar's have somehow leaked...take this with 0% trust and a huge grain of salt but it's interesting so that's why i'm posting it:

Actor in a leading role: Mickey Rourke
Actor in a supporting role: Heath Ledger
Actress in a leading role: Kate Winslet
Actress in a supporting role: Amy Adams
Animated Feature Film: Wall-E
Art Direction: The Dark Knight
Cinematography: Slumdog Millionaire
Costume Design: The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
Directing: Slumdog Millionaire
Documentary feature: Man on Wire
Documentary short: The Conscience of Nhem En
Film editing: Milk
Foreign language film: Departures
Makeup: The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
Music (Score): Defiance
Music (Song): Down to Earth (Wall-E)
Best Picture: Slumdog Millionaire
Short film (animated): Presto
Short film (live action): Auf Der Strecke (On The Line)
Sound editing: Wall-E
Sound mixing: The Dark Knight
Visual effects: Iron Man
Writing (Adapted screenplay): The Reader
Writing (Original screenplay): In Bruges

If those end up true,that would be marvelous...both TDK and Wall-E will take 3,In Bruges for screenplay,Slumdog losing both score and song,Iron Man winning SFX...like i've said there is maybe 1% probability of these being true...but William Hill which is one of the biggest betting houses in the world has removed Amy Adams from the bets,so maybe there is a fire where the smoke is after all.

 

[FlawlessVictory]

^Amen.

 

[terry78]

Word has it that they plan on bringing Charleton Heston and Paul Newman back from the grave in order to present, but it's totally hush hush.

 

[WVsax27]

those are fake, they came out online just a few hours after the ballots were due...there is no way in hell they are real. It could be someones ballot...but it isn't the final results. There WILL be a few surprises, there almost always are at least a few minor ones.

 

[The Chris]

Academy dissed the only thing that would give them good ratings so, they can have whoever they want to present, and those results look fake. Can't see Benjamin Button not winning F/X, can't see the Reader winning screenplay when slumdog's in that category, and can't see In Bruges winning original screnplay with Milk and Wall-E in that category.

 

[bapi]

I read in one article that if Heath will win, his daughter Matilda will accept that award because she's Heath's closest kin if is that word right. Do you think if it's true? She's only 3 years old and... Heath was her father...

 

[Badabing45]

I read in one article that if Heath will win, his daughter Matilda will accept that award because she's Heath's closest kin if is that word right. Do you think if it's true? She's only 3 years old and... Heath was her father...

Heath's father, mother, and sister are going to accept the award at the ceremony. The actual statue will be given to Michelle Williams, Matilda's mother, who will hold onto it until Matilda turns 18.

 

[WVsax27]

I read in one article that if Heath will win, his daughter Matilda will accept that award because she's Heath's closest kin if is that word right. Do you think if it's true? She's only 3 years old and... Heath was her father...

she would OWN the award...his whole family is going to accept. The Academy is very anal about who has these awards, I recall reading there is a clause where the only people that a person can sell their award to is back to The Academy.

Oh, and I read this over at In Contention

"I also found out last night that the only films that reached the Cinema Audio Society in screener form were “Quantum of Solace” and…”Slumdog Millionaire,” which makes their vote a bit difficult to chalk up as comprehensive. Maybe “The Dark Knight” and “WALL-E” are still very much in the mixing race and the Best Picture frontrunner will lose both statues. But this is just one example of the insanity that flows through my mind this time of year."

A movie nominated for both mixing and editing has never won one of the two without winning the other...but I'm really hoping TDK wins mixing and Wall-E wins editing

 

[Kargo Warrior]

Academy dissed the only thing that would give them good ratings so, they can have whoever they want to present, and those results look fake. Can't see Benjamin Button not winning F/X, can't see the Reader winning screenplay when slumdog's in that category, and can't see In Bruges winning original screnplay with Milk and Wall-E in that category.

In Bruges has a lot bigger chance of winning the screenplay than Wall-E...it won the Bafta which is huge predictor of the oscars in the last couple of years...the last 4 movies that won the bafta,also won the oscar in the category.

Milk is the favorite,but In Bruges has the biggest chance for an upset,which i think it'll happen.

 

[Anita18]

A movie nominated for both mixing and editing has never won one of the two without winning the other...but I'm really hoping TDK wins mixing and Wall-E wins editing

In a just world.....but the Oscars don't exist in a just world.

I dunno, I like the new stage setup this year (presenters are totally meh) and I think it could be interesting...but I really can't bring myself to watch the ceremony. I mean, even if TDK was nominated for BP and BD, the Slumdog train has been completely unstoppable anyway and so its big wins are a foregone conclusion. I dunno, people were saying if TDK had been nominated for BP or BD, it would have introduced a bit of a race, but now we'll never know.

The only awards that are really up in the air are Best Actor and Best Supporting Actress, and I don't care much for those this year. And I don't expect that the tech awards will be fair - if anything non-Slumdog wins them, then that's great, but I'm not keeping my hopes up.

 

[General Vulcun]

 

[Kargo Warrior]

I gotta say...that's very well done if it's a fake.t:t:

 

[Boom]

It is fake. And whoever did it, they better hope the Academy doesn't take time to hunt them down and prosecute them.

 

[Kargo Warrior]

It is fake. And whoever did it, they better hope the Academy doesn't take time to hunt them down and prosecute them.

Yeah...the sound mixers stated for TDK are actually the sound mixers of Wall-E.

That deserves a big fail picture

 

[Anita18]

Yeah...the sound mixers stated for TDK are actually the sound mixers of Wall-E.

That deserves a big fail picture

 

[Boom]

Besides, there is no chance in HELL The Reader will beat Slumdog Millionaire for Best Adapted Screenplay.

 

[Boom]

Odds from Bodog life - here is the actual link to the betting - http://sports.bodoglife.com/sports-betting/tv-film-movie-props.jsp

Best Film
Slumdog Millionaire 1/6
Curious Case/Benjamin Button 11/2
Milk 12/1
The Reader 20/1
Frost/Nixon 30/1

Best Director
Danny Boyle 1/9
David Fincher 7/1
Gus Van Sant 22/1
Ron Howard 25/1
Stephen Daldry 35/1

Best Actor
Mickey Rourke 1/2
Sean Penn 7/4
Frank Langella 25/2
Brad Pitt 22/1
Richard Jenkins 50/1

Best Actress
Kate Winslet 1/3
Anne Hathaway 11/2
Meryl Streep 4/1
Angelina Jolie 21/1
Melissa Leo 35/1

Best Supporting Actor
Heath Ledger 1/35
Philip Seymour Hoffman 45/1
Josh Brolin 50/1
Michael Shannon 50/1
Robert Downey Jr. 50/1

Best Supporting Actress
Penelope Cruz 2/3
Viola Davis 3/1
Marisa Tomei 17/4
Taraji P Henson 10/1
Amy Adams 10/1

Basically, betters are 35 times more likely to win if they vote for Heath Ledger in the Supporting Actor category.

 

[Captain Planet!]

Slumdog beats TDK for Cinematography, I'll be mad.

 

[Kargo Warrior]

Odds from Bodog life - here is the actual link to the betting - http://sports.bodoglife.com/sports-betting/tv-film-movie-props.jsp

Best Film
Slumdog Millionaire 1/6
Curious Case/Benjamin Button 11/2
Milk 12/1
The Reader 20/1
Frost/Nixon 30/1

Best Director
Danny Boyle 1/9
David Fincher 7/1
Gus Van Sant 22/1
Ron Howard 25/1
Stephen Daldry 35/1

Best Actor
Mickey Rourke 1/2
Sean Penn 7/4
Frank Langella 25/2
Brad Pitt 22/1
Richard Jenkins 50/1

Best Actress
Kate Winslet 1/3
Anne Hathaway 11/2
Meryl Streep 4/1
Angelina Jolie 21/1
Melissa Leo 35/1

Best Supporting Actor
Heath Ledger 1/35
Philip Seymour Hoffman 45/1
Josh Brolin 50/1
Michael Shannon 50/1
Robert Downey Jr. 50/1

Best Supporting Actress
Penelope Cruz 2/3
Viola Davis 3/1
Marisa Tomei 17/4
Taraji P Henson 10/1
Amy Adams 10/1

Basically, betters are 35 times more likely to win if they vote for Heath Ledger in the Supporting Actor category.

If you bet $35 on Heath....you will get $1 ...$350 $10....and so on...

If you bet $1 on RDJ...you wil get $50...if you bet $100 you will get $5000

If i were a betting man,i would put 2 bucks on RDJ,just for the sake of it t:

 

[Boom]

Not necessarily. If you bet on Ledger and he wins, you get the $1 you won, and then the $35 you originally wagered. So you end up winning $36.

 

[Kargo Warrior]

Not necessarily. If you bet on Ledger and he wins, you get the $1 you won, and then the $35 you originally wagered. So you end up winning $36.

Well of course you will get your money back,but the profit is only $1....you start with $35 and end up with $36.

You're risking $35 for winning $1...

 

[Boom]

Yes, but in this circumstance, you're more likely to win $36 than lose $35.

 

[Kargo Warrior]

Yes, but in this circumstance, you're more likely to win $36 than lose $35.

t:t: yeah you're right...but still,it just doesn't pay off however you look at it.

I would rather put $2 on RDJ and (im)possibly win $100 than putting $35 on Heath to win $36...and imagine if he somehow loses?

Leave aside the fact that he lost and you'll be probably very,very pissed about it,you will also lose $35...it has all the ingredients for a memorably terrible night .

 

[Anita18]

t:t: yeah you're right...but still,it just doesn't pay off however you look at it.

I would rather put $2 on RDJ and (im)possibly win $100 than putting $35 on Heath to win $36...and imagine if he somehow loses?

Leave aside the fact that he lost and you'll be probably very,very pissed about it,you will also lose $35...it has all the ingredients for a memorably terrible night .

I've made a date with some writer friends - since there is a distinct possibility of a trainwreck ceremony, we will have an all-out girls' night OSCAR SNARKFEST IN HD!

It will be glorious.

 

[p.marlowe]

Slumdog beats TDK for Cinematography, I'll be mad.

So will I.