You both are missing my point. Allow me to clarify:
If Charlize were cast
now at 39 and this franchise spawned, say, 3 sequels over the next 6-8 years, she would be in Halle Berry's current age bracket by time the 3rd installment arrived. In other words, she'd be just fine with handling the role in her early 50s, as her male counterparts i.e. Robert Downey Jr. and Mark Ruffalo have proven--and certainly as Halle Berry has shown.
When it comes to fantasy genres like this, age is nothing but a number. I remember back in 1999 fans wondering how a 50-something Ian McKellan would handle Magneto in Singer's first X-film. How quickly we all forgot about that. In other words...talent, beauty, Oscar chops and fine acting--that's far more valuable than getting a young actress just because she's young.
Imagine the massive built-in audience a Charlize Theron-led franchise could have by the time a third sequel arrived.
I understand your point, I just don't agree that the requirements for Cpt Marvel are the same as they were for Storm, Magneto, Iron Man or Hulk. I think it's much more in line with Thor & Cap. Moreover, & as HT pointed out, Theron is just too big of a name and therefore would come with a hefty pricetag.
Based on a combination of acting skills, looks, height, age, whether they're too well known, how big a star they are etc, who do people think Marvel are most likely to get for Carol?
Not whom do you want or whom you think Marvel should get, but who is more likely when you factor in all these things and how they have to carry a franchise for several years.
Marvels casting directors will cast a far wider net than we can/will and it's pretty impossible to really say who is "likely", but from the outside looking in I'll echo the others in saying Blunt.
As well as the acting talent, screen presence needed for a lead superhero, physical attributes/playing physical characters before, being on the cusp of huge stardom but isn't yet,--- she has the edge on most of the other women suggested because she was actually chosen by Marvel before, so we
know the studio wants to work with her.
I think they've proven they can take lesser known names and make them into stars. However, Chris Evans, Chris Hemsworth, Robert Downey Jr., Scarelett Johanssen, Jeremy Renner, Samuel L. Jackson--in other words, all of their headlining stars--were already established actors prior to being cast as Marvel characters.
That's fairly disingenuous to lump all those names together as if they were remotely the same level of "established".
Hemsworth was a nobody. Flat out. He was getting noticed but the biggest thing he had was 5 minutes at the start of Star Trek. Apart from that, before Thor came out, all he had was
Cash,
A Perfect Getaway &
Home & Away (Aussie soap). He'd filmed
Cabin &
Red Dawn but those were delayed and even then neither were exactly huge.
Evans, while working consistently, was not very well known. Most people who did know him said
"that cocky smart-arse from the FF/Not Another Teen Movie?" and didn't want him for that reason when he was cast as Cap.
RDJ was well known then for the wrong reasons & was of course trying to RE-establish himself.
Renner similar to Evans, worked fairly consistently, but he started making a name for himself in '08 with
Hurt Locker, then
The Town in '10 before being cast in
Mission Impossible and as Hawkeye. Never lead an MCU film, and it appears he won't be any time soon.
Scarlett was well known and in demand. But she hasn't lead a film yet.
Pratt had a bunch of supporting roles in smaller films but most well known for being the lovable chubby guy on a cult comedy. AKA, not well known.
Ruffalo Indie darling. Not very well known.
Samuel L Jackson was & is Samuel L Motherf***in Jackson. 'Nuff said.
Norton is the only one who is really comparable to Theron, IMO. And that didn't work out so well. Not saying Theron would be difficult to work with though.
Saying all that I'm not even against Theron, I'd be fine if she was cast, I just think there are certain factors working against her and that someone like Blunt is the better choice.