Apocalypse X-Men: Apocalypse Box Office Prediction Thread

[marvelrobbins]

I think Malificent was a bigger draw than Alice 2 as it looks to me. Depp isn't Depp anymore. I think it's a comparable situation... meaning Apocalypse won't gross much more than DoFP by the looks of it.

it won't outgross DOFP domesticly.overseas is different story.

Apocalypse has 2 things going for it which is why i think it could hit 220 million
domesticly

1:People loved DOFP-last stand made as much as it did due to people loving X2
2:The worldwide destrucon in film.audehnces eat that up.unlike DOFP you will have specutlur mutant vs mutant action to save the world

 

[2kt09]

I'm going to cast a bigger doubt in that a select sample of social media "interest" is not a good indicator of the amount of money either movie will make in its run. That said:
-Youtube-

Apoc's trailer is 2 weeks old and it has 32 million views on the studio's main channel with 3 million viewed on a couple other channels.

Alice 2's trailer is a month old with ~5 million views and 2 million on just one other channel.

 

[MrMaooz]

OW: 88 Mil
DOM: 220 Mil
WW: 625 Mil

 

[FilmNerdJamie]

Count their blessings if this does $200M domestic.

 

[Docker2.0]

I'm going to cast a bigger doubt in that a select sample of social media "interest" is not a good indicator of the amount of money either movie will make in its run. That said:
-Youtube-

Apoc's trailer is 2 weeks old and it has 32 million views on the studio's main channel with 3 million viewed on a couple other channels.

Alice 2's trailer is a month old with ~5 million views and 2 million on just one other channel.

You know Disney! When it's time to promote a family film, no one does it like them. This thing is going to be everywhere come May. CA:CW only has one trailer but people are pumped for it. Alice only has one trailer but when it's time for the marketing machine to get started on this one, believe me, Disney is going to get people amped for it.

Count their blessings if this does $200M domestic.

Yep! Apocalypse look has already been compared to that of a Power Ranger and his powers questioned, I'm just not as confident as others are about how people see this movie.

 

[psylockolussus]

You know Disney! When it's time to promote a family film, no one does it like them.

And family film, The Good Dinosaur surprisingly underperformed this year, after the big success of Inside Out.

 

[Avalanche]

And family film, The Good Dinosaur surprisingly underperformed this year, after the big success of Inside Out.

I preferred The Good Dinosaur too, even though the critics went crazy for Inside Out.

 

[Avalanche]

Apoc's trailer is 2 weeks old and it has 32 million views on the studio's main channel with 3 million viewed on a couple other channels.

Alice 2's trailer is a month old with ~5 million views and 2 million on just one other channel.

I think that's more about the audience and internet usage. Alice is going to be families taking their children. X-Men fans fit the internet demographic better. I don't think that will reflect the box office.

 

[Zant]

Good Dinosaur flopping is still the biggest Box office surprise of the year for me. I guess the Pixar brand is not as strong as I thought. If Pixar can have a flop, then no movie/studio brand is safe.

Two big films can co exist at the B.O as Jurassic World and Inside Out showed this year.

As for this film, the last time the First Class cast had a solo film it made 350 mill worldwide. It will be a huge win if they double that amount with this film while facing all the competition next summer.

 

[psylockolussus]

I preferred The Good Dinosaur too, even though the critics went crazy for Inside Out.

I haven't even seen it. I am just waiting for it to come out on DVD. Though I expected that it would perform better especially after the success of Inside Out then Jurassic World which featured Dinosaurs.

 

[GuestStar2004]

I will be surprised is alice 2 makes as much as the first one did

 

[2kt09]

You know Disney! When it's time to promote a family film, no one does it like them. This thing is going to be everywhere come May.

That's been the case for studios when a flagship blockbuster comes around.
I just have no idea how much the visuals or the actors in said film are as marketable as they once were. Though, we're clearly not over the whole "gritty" fairy tale adaptations as we are of Disney's other more obscure properties that unfortunately have bombed. Even the Jungle Book movie trailer currently has more buzz around it given it dates 3 months back.

CA:CW only has one trailer but people are pumped for it.

So, does X-men Apocalypse...

 

[GuestStar2004]

I think the 2nd x-men: apocalypse trailer will be better since it's clear a lot of effects ain't finished yet and they look pretty rushed for the first one

 

[FilmNerdJamie]

I will be surprised is alice 2 makes as much as the first one did

It won't. Apocalypse will beat its ass in the ground. But that doesn't mean it's going to do amazing business either. Figure... $170-$180M domestic.

 

[marvelrobbins]

It won't. Apocalypse will beat its ass in the ground. But that doesn't mean it's going to do amazing business either. Figure... $170-$180M domestic.

I think X-Men franchise will be viewed in major trouble if domesticly APocalypse only does 170-180 million.

1:It means as i keep saying jennifer lawrence's box office appeal is overated
2:It means people underestimated big time the appeal of original cast had In the success of DOFP.

to go from DOFP 233 million domesticly to 170-180 million for apocalypse shows not having hugh jackman or any original trilogy cast affected it's box office.

 

[2kt09]

cross-audience appeal? (hot off of the success of The Hunger Games)
->JLaw in a familiar attire in a familiar role
->young actors in similar attire
->dystopic setting

 

[GuestStar2004]

I think X-Men franchise will be viewed in major trouble if domesticly APocalypse only does 170-180 million.

1:It means as i keep saying jennifer lawrence's box office appeal is overated
2:It means people underestimated big time the appeal of original cast had In the success of DOFP.

You are the only one who is overrating Lawrence appeal, I never seen anyone talk about it as much as you let alone make out its the only appeal the film has and is meant to make up for the lack of OC

 

[marvelrobbins]

You are the only one who is overrating Lawrence appeal, I never seen anyone talk about it as much as you let alone make out its the only appeal the film has and is meant to make up for the lack of OC

some tried to claim that DOFP was only a success for lawrence.

 

[GuestStar2004]

some tried to claim that DOFP was only a success for lawrence.

There are also those that claim it was only a successful because of the OC

There are likely more factors that come into play then Just the cast

 

[marvelrobbins]

There are also those that claim it was only a successful because of the OC

If filnerdjamie is right abd apocalypse only does 170 to 180 million domesticly then original cast will be proven as key factor for DOFP's success.

Apocalypse has 2 things going for it and neither one is lawrence

1:People liked DOFP
2:The world wide destrucon including mutant vs mutant battles.

 

[GuestStar2004]

If filnerdjamie is right abd apocalypse only does 170 to 180 million domesticly then original cast will be proven as key factor for DOFP's success.

Apocalypse has 2 things going for it and neither one is lawrence

1:People liked DOFP
2:The world wide destrucon including mutant vs mutant battles.

You are really undermining this movie

 

[Sithborg]

They kind of have to show the power displays for it to be a draw. So far, they haven't.

 

[Mad Ones]

I really don't think the original cast is that much of a box office draw. Wolverine yeah, but not the OC as a whole.

 

[def28]

They kind of have to show the power displays for it to be a draw. So far, they haven't.

I really don't think the original cast is that much of a box office draw. Wolverine yeah, but not the OC as a whole.

Pretty much.

 

[psylockolussus]

The original cast with Hugh Jackman is definitely a bigger draw than the First Class cast or just Hugh Jackman. The box-office numbers definitely proved that. Plus Patrick Stewart is still more recognizable as Professor X than James McAvoy.

And given by the box-office decline of Mission: Impossible and James Bond in North America despite following the most critical acclaimed film of their respective series (Ghost Protocol/Skyfall)... I think there's a big chance that Apocalypse won't outgross Days of Future Past in North America, not only because it lacks the original cast but also its competition. And like I said before, the excitement for this film is not the same as the hype for Days of Future Past.