Apocalypse X-Men: Apocalypse Box Office Prediction Thread

[SuperT]

Yes, having seen it, it's definitely not up to the quality people are expecting or familiar with. Shame, cause it could have been such a good movie!

 

[GuestStar2004]

The feeling i get from X-Men apocalypse is that it may be abit to dark and gloomy for kids to keep coming back to see this movie so it will no way hit a billion, it will probably do better in DOFP though

 

[def28]

It depends on the execution overall imo. My friends and I all grew up watching Batman Returns, The Crow, Blade etc. Very violent and dark comic book films. Plenty of kids are drawn and curious on that stuff. More so then adults at times.

Even with an R rated Deadpool it's possible to hit X-Men numbers. So I just have a tough time buying that being too dark or adult is an issue for box office. Or that X-Men is incapable of hitting a billion.

X-Men's main issue imo has always been that right when it's on the upswing a movie comes out that drops the quality of the franchise and we see a decline. Or that it hasn't focused on some of the more marketable features of characters and heavy Sci Fi/fantasy aspects till recently. Now that it's back on the track after DOFP and Deadpool's big success I think it's in good shape for an increase. But if it sucks then the drops are gonna hit hard and it will be set back.

 

[YoungBlood]

Now I'm not trying to make a joke or start a war but at least one advantage that X-Men has over BVS is a good color palette so that no one can say its all "doom and gloom" like what the critics are saying about BVS sadly.

 

[def28]

Isn't doom and gloom expected with Batman though?

Seeing the film in a few hours but expecting a bright and colorful Batman film is not exactly what most want. His films, games and comics are the most successful when portrayed dark, gloomy, gothic and on the sadistic villain side.

 

[marvelmadness13]

I think Apocalypse has a ceiling around 650 million. DofP had Wolverine as the star, united Stewart and McKellen with McAvoy and Fassbender and their respective casts and it still didn't get to 750 million. Apocalypsee doesn't have these draws so I'm saying it makes 100 million less.

It will beat First Class but DoFP will be the X-Men record for WW box office for a while.

 

[def28]

DOFP pretty much doubled The Wolverine in gross and Jackman is the biggest sell when it comes to the OT cast.

Anyone who saw DOFP knows very well Lawrence, McAvoy and Fassbender are leads.

 

[Sithborg]

Isn't doom and gloom expected with Batman though?

Seeing the film in a few hours but expecting a bright and colorful Batman film is not exactly what most want. His films, games and comics are the most successful when portrayed dark, gloomy, gothic and on the sadistic villain side.

There is the dark movies. And then there is Snyder's teenage emo idea of "darkness".

 

[marvelrobbins]

my feeling always was no matter my personal favorates was that civil war was going to
be the highest grossing comic book film of 2016.

Apocalypse's advantage over BVS is bryan singer is better director.still i will be surprised if bVS doesn't outgross Apocalypse especilly domesticly.

affleck as batman+excitement over wonder woman could still help it be success at box office.

 

[RLAAMJR.]

X-men Apocalypse will become the highest grossing movie this year.

 

[kevork89]

X-Men is going to appeal to audiences this year because it's the only comic book movie with a big scale. BvS, Civil War, Suicide Squad and Deadpool are all very restricted at the moment to their smaller story. BvS and Civil War particularly are hero vs hero, doesn't mean they won't do well. But I think what's going to make people see X-Men is that they're going to face a huge villain. A villain that even GA knows as the X-Men's main villain. There is a bigger scale which people have wanted from the X-Men and yes out of all the movies it looks the most colorful and vibrant which will work in its favor. Even CW has a more darker tone then other MCU movies.

BUT X-Men has always had a hard time securing those big audiences. I don't know what it is that never appealed to people but I think the story and themes were kind of uncomic if that makes sense. I know Superman, Thor etc aren't human but I think what appeals to audiences is human heroes fighting and saving the world is appealing. And I think in the X-Men series humans are always the enemy. I think people might not actually like that.

 

[SuperT]

I would not classify Batman vs. Superman as small scale. The Batman/Superman/Wonder Woman vs. Doomsday fight alone was huge...

 

[RLAAMJR.]

And X-men Apocalypse will be the 4th movie to reach $2 billion.

 

[def28]

The big three are all huge in scale and characters. BvS gets my money just for introducing Wonder Woman. That's a pretty big deal alone.

There is the dark movies. And then there is Snyder's teenage emo idea of "darkness".

Yeah, Snyder's drama rarely works for me. I enjoy MOS to a certain level, but there's quite a few scenes that are reaching far too hard to get a reaction without much being earned.

 

[kevork89]

Oh yes they're definitely all huge in scale. The characters alone are big in scale but I mean more story wise. Apocalypse it's a big scale story. World destruction, ancient history we get them and I'm very excited that for once the X-Men movie has that over other comic book movies.

 

[Cktopl33]

I predict a good possibility that X-men Apocalypse will be the highest rated comic book movie of the year (in critical reviews) just like Days of Future Past was, but may or may not make as much in box office as some of the other films. I think it will shock a lot of people since many think this film will be the weakest of the comic book line-up. Singer and Kinberg said this is the most emotional x-men film in the franchise, not to mention a clear strong antagonist with a clear end goal. This may be the strongest antagonist the x-men franchise has had yet. As long as the story stays interesting with good twists and turns, clear motivations, and a strong buildup to the climax then it should claim its place as king in the story department. There's always something at stake in a good script and conflict is the heart of drama. The ultimate goal must be powerful and grow more desperate as the story unfolds. Without that you don't really have a story. So, we'll see....

 

[yaellen]

I predict a good possibility that X-men Apocalypse will be the highest rated comic book movie of the year (in critical reviews) just like Days of Future Past was, but may or may not make as much in box office as some of the other films. I think it will shock a lot of people since many think this film will be the weakest of the comic book line-up. Singer and Kinberg said this is the most emotional x-men film in the franchise, not to mention a clear strong antagonist with a clear end goal. This may be the strongest antagonist the x-men franchise has had yet. As long as the story stays interesting with good twists and turns, clear motivations, and a strong buildup to the climax then it should claim its place as king in the story department. There's always something at stake in a good script and conflict is the heart of drama. The ultimate goal must be powerful and grow more desperate as the story unfolds. Without that you don't really have a story. So, we'll see....

Well said.

I don't really expect Apocalypse would gross higher than DoPF but as long as it presents a good story, it should be successful enough for Fox to continue making X-men movies (I mean team X-men, not focus on one character type of movies). For a non-comic fan who have watched all X-men movies, that is a good result in my book: good story, more X-men movies.

I don't care if it might gross less than other superhero movies. But who knows, it comes after XFC and DOFP, two of the well received (critically) movies, it might have a great chance to get better box office result than DoFP.

 

[kevork89]

Ok so besides the draw of the old cast in DoFP why do people think that Apocalypse will not gross higher? If anything DoFP has given the franchise that extra kick and the hype for Apocalypse is huge right now. Especially after that trailer. I think international numbers will be huge again but this time I think the domestic box office will be better. Fox are coming off DoFP and Deadpool right now. And like the poster above said there's a big bad and it's X-Men vs Apocalypse and his horsemen. There's big destruction and of all the comic book previews we've seen it actually looks more vibrant. And if Bryan says this is the most emotional movie then I believe him because after DoFP you have to go even deeper.

Trust me people. It's going to do well.

 

[psylockolussus]

And X-men Apocalypse will be the 4th movie to reach $2 billion.

Whatever you want to say.

And DOFP would HAVE earned MORE if only Maleficent did not open 1 week after its release.... especially that movie outgrossed DOFP both in America/Worldwide. DOFP would have 2 weeks for itself... and oh yeah no IMAX screens too!

 

[def28]

Maleficent overall just had lower week by week drops likely due to being the only summer film that hits that family friendly female demo. There's a ton of other blockbuster action films competing with X-Men. That makes X-Men not stand out as much as it could.

DOFP drops would have likely been similar regardless. People could have always seen X-Men another day or week. Big thing was that X-Men saw an increase franchise wise, good numbers to get audiences back on track. Which will hopefully lead to this film hitting even stronger. I don't believe that was the ceiling.

 

[psylockolussus]

DOFP would have still been #1 for its 2nd weekend especially worldwide, DOFP was like 5 million short for #1 during its 2nd weekend (worldwide).

And usually people flock to the new blockbuster film of the week rather flock to a movie that was already released 1 week ago. That was the case here.

 

[def28]

Doesn't change the week by week drops in the long haul. Or Maleficent standing out more through the summer for Women and younger girls.

If people want to see X-Men, they will see X-Men. There's really no excuse. Deadpool didn't change it's box office drops heavily when Zootopia hit. These are very different targeted films and audiences and there's plenty for both films to bank on.

 

[Sithborg]

Yeah, let's not give the X-men films legs they have never really had.

 

[psylockolussus]

Doesn't change the week by week drops in the long haul. Or Maleficent standing out more through the summer for Women and younger girls.

If people want to see X-Men, they will see X-Men. There's really no excuse. Deadpool didn't change it's box office drops heavily when Zootopia hit. These are very different targeted films and audiences and there's plenty for both films to bank on.

Yeah you surely think if X-Men didn't have to face a new movie in its 2nd weekend, it wouldn't make any difference? Umm okay. Lets release all big movies a week after a X-Men film drop from now on.

 

[def28]

Big film does not does not always equal same audience. Never will.

X-Men was never guaranteed that extra money, especially through the course of it's run. If Maleficent stole the X-Men demo through the whole summer by any sort of significant amount then there's a big problem.