Dark Knight Rises Trounces Total Recall; Batman Finale #1 For 3rd Straight Weekend; Low-Budget Diary Of Wimpy Kid 3′ Third
By NIKKI FINKE | Friday August 3, 2012 @ 10:32pm PDT
FRIDAY 10:30 PM, 2ND UPDATE: Based on todays trends, it looks like Sony Pictures reboot of 1990′s iconic Arnold Schwarzenegger actioner Total Recall now starring anything-but-iconic Colin Farrell isnt giving Warner Bros and Legendary Pictures third-weekend-veteran The Dark Knight Rises the tight race Hollywood expected. (Nice to hear from my opinionated gurus again
) But theatrical grosses are still not returning to normal. Instead of the Aurora shooting tragedy spooking box office, the red-hot London Olympics (NBC Holds America Hostage: Day 8″
is distracting filmgoers. Total moviegoing this weekend looks like $120M which is down yet again (-25%) from last year.
Right now it looks like the PG-13 rated TDKR (4,242 theaters) bounces back for $10.2M Friday and $36M for the weekend. PG-13 Total Recall (3,601 theaters) will gross $9.5M Friday and $26.5M for the weekend. But rival studios point out that wont be enough to make up its $150M cost unless it hits big overseas. On the other hand, Foxs PG-rated Diary Of A Wimpy Kid 3 (3,392 theaters) was made on only a $22M negative. This is the first time any installment in the successful Wimpy Kid franchise isnt opening in March. And while the original and sequels scored $22.1M and $23.7M respectively, the new one called Dog Days is opening for about $6M Friday and $17M for the weekend. Full analysis and refined numbers later. Heres the Top Ten based on Friday estimates:
1. Dark Knight Rises (Legendary/Warner Bros) Week 3 [4,242 Runs] PG13
Friday $10.2M, Weekend $36.0M, Cume $354.0M
2. Total Recall (Sony) NEW [3,601 Runs] PG13
Friday $9.5M, Weekend $26.5M
3. Diary Of A Wimpy Kid 3 (Fox) NEW [3,391 Runs] PG
Friday $6.0M, Weekend $17.0M
4. Ice Age 4 (Fox) Week 4 [3,542 Runs] PG
Friday $2.3M, Weekend $7.8M, Cume $131.3M
5. The Watch (Fox) Week 2 [3,168 Runs] R
Friday $1.8M (-57%), Weekend $5.6M, Cume $24.6M
6. Ted (Universal) Week 6 [2,767 Runs] R
Friday $1.6M, Weekend $5.5M, Cume $203.4M
6. Step Up Revolution (Summit/Lgate) Week 2 [2,606 Runs] PG13
Friday $1.6M,Weekend $4.8M, Cume $22.5M
8. The Amazing Spider-Man (Col/Sony) Week 5 [2,425 Runs] PG13
Friday $1.3M, Weekend $4.5M, Cume $250.8M
9. Brave (Pixar-Disney) Week 7 [2,110 Runs] PG
Friday $750K, Weekend $2.5M, Cume $222.9M
10. Magic Mike (Warner Bros) Week 6 [1,202 Runs] R
Friday $500K, Weekend $1.4M, Cume $110.9M