BvS Batman V Superman Box Office Prediction - - - Part 12

[BatLobster]

Surprisingly well? This is not a mild hit, not even close...Compared to the budget this is horrible. WB put all their eggs in one basket, do you really think this movie will make people want to see Cyborg? Aquaman? etc... People wanted to see Antman because he was in the MCU, not because they thought he was a cool hero...

That's a really good point. If Batman and Superman sharing the screen for the first time (coupled with the cinematic debut of Wonder Woman) is going to struggle to hit $1 billion in today's day and age, it doesn't exactly instill confidence that the audience is hungry for two Justice League films, let alone Aquaman or Cyborg movies.

WB is really going to need Suicide Squad and Wonder Woman to start changing the conversation surrounding DC. Their brand has taken a big hit with this film, no way around it.

 

[danoyse]

Indeed already surpassed MOS and all of the marvel phase 1 movies baring avengers.
WB has a mild hit
I'd be surprised if it doesn't surpass 800m by next week
Then the path to 900m-1B begins
Foreign box office is carrying the film and its doing surprisingly well in some markets

Fandango said its getting 33% more repeat viewings than comparable films so that will be very important in weeks 6-8

WB didn’t spend this kind of money for a “mild hit”.

The one-two punch of Jungle Book and Civil War is going to wipe out whatever momentum is still around by the time weeks 6-8 get here.

 

[writer0327]

It's not a failure but I wouldn't call it a success either. And if the numbers keep falling at the same rate, it will be pulled before seven weeks.

Yeh seven weeks is a pipe-dream at this point.

This coming week is probably the last weekend this movie will do any serious business. The Jungle Book and The Huntsman will be stealing screens from the lackluster BvS in the next couple of weeks and Civil War will stick the fork in them for good in May.

I think another 200-250M might be the best it will do.

 

[danoyse]

That's a really good point. If Batman and Superman sharing the screen for the first time (coupled with the cinematic debut of Wonder Woman) is going to struggle to hit $1 billion in today's day and age, it doesn't exactly instill confidence that the audience is hungry for two Justice League films, let alone Aquaman or Cyborg movies.

I think the audience would be if the movies were better. That opening weekend definitely showed there was excitement and an interest. The second weekend showed that interest dying out once people saw what it was we had.

I saw it last night. Theater was barely half-full. When I saw Deadpool on its second weekend, it was sold out.

 

[ImSGirl95]

We can expect Justice League to do similar business.

 

[kalhawj]

I think the audience would be if the movies were better. That opening weekend definitely showed there was excitement and an interest. The second weekend showed that interest dying out once people saw what it was we had.

I saw it last night. Theater was barely half-full. When I saw Deadpool on its second weekend, it was sold out.

I guess it depends on theater. My showing last night was a full house showing.

 

[Knight-Tale]

WB didn’t spend this kind of money for a “mild hit”.

The one-two punch of Jungle Book and Civil War is going to wipe out whatever momentum is still around by the time weeks 6-8 get here.

Meh I'll wait and see the reviews for Jungle Book and Civil War for that matter
Ant Man was supposed to hit like Gaurdians and coming off of Avengers it didn't really do those numbers. Cap doesn't have the avengers branding which might give it another winter soldier take home
Audiences are really not high on CGI films these days either
There's a very good chance it could end up flopping and not hurting BvS at all

 

[FunkMiller]

Good God. I've just read this on Box Office Mojo:

"In fact, the film's second weekend plummet is on par with last year's Fantastic Four, which dropped 68.2% in its second weekend."

That really puts it into perspective.

 

[danoyse]

Meh I'll wait and see the reviews for Jungle Book
Audiences are really not high on CGI films these days either
There's a very good chance it could end up flopping and not hurting BvS at all

Early word is that Jungle Book is terrific. Disney’s live-action adaptations of their animated films have done well so far, no reason to think this won’t do well.

Plus it’s a family film. BvS screwed that demographic up at the box office.

 

[writer0327]

That's a really good point. If Batman and Superman sharing the screen for the first time (coupled with the cinematic debut of Wonder Woman) is going to struggle to hit $1 billion in today's day and age, it doesn't exactly instill confidence that the audience is hungry for two Justice League films, let alone Aquaman or Cyborg movies.

WB is really going to need Suicide Squad and Wonder Woman to start changing the conversation surrounding DC. Their brand has taken a big hit with this film, no way around it.

There really isn't. Whatever happened between the box office and the film reviews, the one thing you can't do is take a brand hit, especially right out of the gate. MCU started up right out of the box with Iron Man, well loved, well received, so whatever it did in the box office was almost a non-issue because people had confidence that the coming films would be of a similar quality.

Sadly, the GA also feels like the upcoming films in the DCEU will also be of a similar quality to MoS and BvS, polarizing and divisive, dark, serious and not a whole lot of fun.

 

[Plaidchuck]

Well if CGI was an issue for the GA they better get on that, because it's not going to be easy to do JL stories without CGI.

 

[kalhawj]

When MOS came out with mix reaction people said no one care for a sequel yet they got BvS. People flock to see it. Now it had the same reaction as MOS. all WB has to do is make JL what people want and it will sell itself. Once news and footage of JL rolls in people will be excited all over again. I wait until i see SS and WW to say it's down hill from here.

 

[Marvin]

Surprisingly well? This is not a mild hit, not even close...Compared to the budget this is horrible. WB put all their eggs in one basket, do you really think this movie will make people want to see Cyborg? Aquaman? etc... People wanted to see Antman because he was in the MCU, not because they thought he was a cool hero...

I thought some people wanted to see ant man cause he it was a charming movie personally.
Anyways, I get how all this discussion about what this and that means can be rousing and all but it often times feels like people think what they say here or whom they convince will have some sort of affect on anything, reading through some of these.
Point being(and not really to this poster), what's the point of trying so hard to convince each other of fail or success, seems kinda pointless if you ask me. Then we have the talk of if this does this specific number then wb will get (my)the message that snyder needs to, and maybe this other specific director needs to..
And convincing all of us is going to somehow mean any thing.
Forums will be forums I suppose.

Anyways, I find it interesting that BvS is pretty much living up those original avengers box office predictions in 2011. Drops aside.

As for this staggered release talk, it's true that it's hard to compare it to other films that aren't released in the same manner, though that hasn't really stopped people before with films that open in china/UK first, however I think totals are totals and just cause you open everywhere that doesn't actually mean you are effectively hurting your total(other things are doing that). If it did then Studios would maybe think about staggering their north american releases state by state. Just a thought.

 

[KidwiththeGold]

The movie made decent bank for only 10 days... Im not gonna act like i'm getting paid by the studios ,so im not gonna get into a penis measuring contest.. mixed wom hurt it but o well..WB will still march on with their DC slate , but prob make some changes on the way..

 

[Plaidchuck]

I thought some people wanted to see ant man cause he it was a charming movie personally.
Anyways, I get how all this discussion about what this and that means can be rousing and all but it often times feels like people think what they say here or whom they convince will have some sort of affect on anything, reading through some of these.
Point being(and not really to this poster), what's the point of trying so hard to convince each other of fail or success, seems kinda pointless if you ask me. Then we have the talk of if this does this specific number then wb will get (my)the message that snyder needs to, and maybe this other specific director needs to..
And convincing all of us is going to somehow mean any thing.
Forums will be forums I suppose.

Anyways, I find it interesting that BvS is pretty much living up those original avengers box office predictions in 2011. Drops aside.

As for this staggered release talk, it's true that it's hard to compare it to other films that aren't released in the same manner, though that hasn't really stopped people before with films that open in china/UK first, however I think totals are totals and just cause you open everywhere that doesn't actually mean you are effectively hurting your total(other things are doing that). If it did then Studios would maybe think about staggering their north american releases state by state. Just a thought.

How dare you have a moderate pragmatic opinion! You're supposed to be either defending this movie to the death or giving the dceus eulogy!

 

[Knight-Tale]

Early word is that Jungle Book is terrific. Disney’s live-action adaptations of their animated films have done well so far, no reason to think this won’t do well.

Plus it’s a family film. BvS screwed that demographic up at the box office.

Wait and see with all movies

Being a family film does not guarantee success like an animated movie does. The CGI might turn people off as its not that popular

Kids did like BvS but its not really a film for that demo is it.
I'd be shocked if the Jungle Book hits that nostalgia sweat spot

 

[OtherwiseKnownAs]

Meh I'll wait and see the reviews for Jungle Book and Civil War for that matter
Ant Man was supposed to hit like Gaurdians and coming off of Avengers it didn't really do those numbers. Cap doesn't have the avengers branding which might give it another winter soldier take home
Audiences are really not high on CGI films these days either
There's a very good chance it could end up flopping and not hurting BvS at all

I wouldn't bet against Jungle Book. Early buzz is pretty positive.

 

[jokesonm3]

When MOS came out with mix reaction people said no one care for a sequel yet they got BvS. People flock to see it. Now it had the same reaction as MOS. all WB has to do is make JL what people want and it will sell itself. Once news and footage of JL rolls in people will be excited all over again. I wait until i see SS and WW to say it's down hill from here.

Because it's a film called Batman vs Superman, of course people flocked to see it, if the sequel was Man of Steel 2 instead that would've performed far lower than Man of Steel.

 

[writer0327]

When MOS came out with mix reaction people said no one care for a sequel yet they got BvS. People flock to see it. Now it had the same reaction as MOS. all WB has to do is make JL what people want and it will sell itself. Once news and footage of JL rolls in people will be excited all over again. I wait until i see SS and WW to say it's down hill from here.

I agree with this for the most part, but I think the DC brand has taken a little bit of a hit. The reaction to the first two films in the DCEU has given everyone a moment of pause. Given the darker edge to these films, some parents might be hesitant to plunk down the cost of IMAX and 3D tickets for the whole family and may just see it by themselves. Little things like that affect the box office.

 

[FunkMiller]

How dare you have a moderate pragmatic opinion! You're supposed to be either defending this movie to the death or giving the dceus eulogy!

Wait... that's not what we're supposed to be doing??

 

[writer0327]

I wouldn't bet against Jungle Book. Early buzz is pretty positive.

The Jungle Book is going to rule the box office when it hits. I've been saying this for a while now. After Deadpool and BvS had parents guessing wrong about the kind of movie they were taking their kids too, parents need a movie they fully trust.

 

[GR8GODZILLAGOD]

Wrong 140-150 not less than 100mil.

100 million less THAN BvS.

 

[Poni_Boy]

BvS won't be a flop either. It's already very close to making $800 million, and from that point onwards, it's all profit. I think when it's all said and done, it will end up with around $1.1 billion at the BO.

Well that's not true at all

 

[Bruce Malone]

I'm not sure where some people are getting this? but a billion is far from a guarantee at this point and I'd say it's a long-shot.

 

[bholliday]

A billion is NOT happening. No way, no how.

70% of box office comes in the first 2 weeks. Then factor in this film had NO competition yet suffered such a huge drop guarantees it won't even crawl to $950 million and $350 domestic.

Lastly, Jungle Book and Civil War are circling the bloody corpse and will be striking imminently.