BvS Batman V Superman Box Office Prediction - - - Part 12

[The Joker]

Not sure. I think 71% is the worst it can get.

So it's still sinking like a lead weight.

 

[-Arya-]

800-900M is not an optimal result when they expected close to Avengers level money.

 

[wobbly]

Sources?

They have already been posted in the thread here's a few;

https://***********/GiteshPandya/status/716294336900698113

http://variety.com/2016/film/asia/batman-v-superman-china-box-office-1201744114/

http://www.forbes.com/sites/robcain...n-turns-to-second-weekend-scorn/#694aa5e44608

Also dropped 77% in the UK, and similarly forecast in Austrailia.

 

[Tacit Ronin]

Actually, the drop this weekend is about 81%.

That's the friday to friday drop.

 

[Matt]

This post is the perfect example of the bias and insane level of pessimism that permeates this thread. The latest report indicates that it's still performing well and not according to the negative predictions that litter this thread. So, what do you do? You arbitrarily propose a new standard of success to make it look bad. LMAO.

I am genuinely confused as to how you feel this is doing well. You are just ignoring every FACT to the contrary. I agree with Poni_Boy, this is low level trolling.

 

[BluRayHiDef]

800-900M is not an optimal result when they expected close to Avengers level money.

WB humbly expected the film to open with a mere $110,000,000 domestically. You don't know what they expected.

 

[bapi]

So BvS won't beat Deadpool DOM and won't make 1B WW. Shocking. Absolutely shocking.

 

[Shikamaru]

This post is the perfect example of the bias and insane level of pessimism that permeates this thread. The latest report indicates that it's still performing well and not according to the negative predictions that litter this thread. So, what do you do? You arbitrarily propose a new standard of success to make it look bad. LMAO.

A movie which underperforms in the eyes of a studio can still perform well. No one's saying it's not doing well, just that it's underperforming.

 

[FunkMiller]

Yep. And a lot less money needed on effects. Do a Batman trilogy, all written at once, based on the Arkham games with the tone of Suicide Squad for $150 mil each and you've got a box office winner.

Written by Paul Dini, produced by Bruce Timm, starring Ben Affleck, directed by Matthew Vaughn.

 

[Poni_Boy]

WB humbly expected the film to open with a mere $110,000,000 domestically. You don't know what they expected.

Source?

 

[BluRayHiDef]

I am genuinely confused as to how you feel this is doing well. You are just ignoring every FACT to the contrary. I agree with Poni_Boy, this is low level trolling.

It's assured to hit $700,000,000 by tomorrow. How is that not good? When it hits a billion, you'll still call it a failure.

 

[Poni_Boy]

Written by Paul Dini, produced by Bruce Timm, starring Ben Affleck, directed by Matthew Vaughn.

If you put "Produced by Bruce Timm" in the opening credits I can guarantee you cheers from fans in the audience at OW showings

 

[Plaidchuck]

Am I the only one here that thought he arkham games are pretty overrated as far as stories go? I thought Dini mailed it in when it came to the plot of the two he wrote.

Gameplay wise they were good but they shoehorned the joker into each game at the expense of everything else.

 

[kalhawj]

That's the friday to friday drop.

Not if you take away the Thursday early screening numbers from Friday.

 

[Poni_Boy]

It's assured to hit $700,000,000 by tomorrow. How is that not good? When it hits a billion, you'll still call it a failure.

Source?

 

[Matt]

Yep. And a lot less money needed on effects. Do a Batman trilogy, all written at once, based on the Arkham games with the tone of Suicide Squad for $150 mil each and you've got a box office winner.

You know, doing a Batman movie based on the first Arkham game would actually be relatively cheap to produce. It would unconventional in format, limited to an enclosed space, almost like Dredd. There would likely be very little characterization of Bruce Wayne, Gordon, etc. It would be almost all Batman. It would be an interesting way to reboot the franchise that could probably be made for 80 million-100 million and would pull in an insane amount of bank.

 

[The Joker]

It's assured to hit $700,000,000 by tomorrow. How is that not good? When it hits a billion, you'll still call it a failure.

When it hits a billion? You really think it will?

 

[Sithborg]

It seems to be $52. But, expect the actual number to be lower tomorrow.

Still in Origins levels of drops, though.

 

[Zero_Effect]

It's assured to hit $700,000,000 by tomorrow. How is that not good? When it hits a billion, you'll still call it a failure.

This is a true statement. There will be a lot who will dismiss that number as "it should of made 1.3 billion easy" or "thanks to the movie being so front loaded"

 

[Shikamaru]

So BvS won't beat Deadpool DOM and won't make 1B WW. Shocking. Absolutely shocking.

It seems we've entered a "survival of the fittest" stage in the CBM trend where a quality product is the only thing that will keep you afload in an increasing competing market. It's happened three years in a row now (first with TASM2, then with the FF, and now BvS). The days of novelty seem to be in the past.

 

[bapi]

This is a true statement. There will be a lot who will dismiss that number as "it should of made 1.3 billion easy" or "thanks to the movie being so front loaded"

It won't make 1B.

 

[Sithborg]

This is a true statement. There will be a lot who will dismiss that number as "it should of made 1.3 billion easy" or "thanks to the movie being so front loaded"

Thankfully, we won't have to worry about it.

 

[Tymminator]

The way it's falling off internationally, this is very unlikely to hit a billion. I would be surprised if it hits 900M

 

[johnboy3434]

It's assured to hit $700,000,000 by tomorrow. How is that not good? When it hits a billion, you'll still call it a failure.

Fact: It must hit $800 million worldwide simply to break even. And that's the lowest estimate. Some are as high as $933 million, but let's be generous.

Fact: To make a minimally-acceptable return on investment (10%), it must make $880 million.

Fact: Comparable films have done 70% of their business by the end of the second weekend, and this movie is dropping faster than they did.


It's not all about how much money it makes, but about how much money it makes in relation to how much it costs. And BvS was an insanely expensive movie.

 

[Poni_Boy]

Did WB release their financial statement that they need 800mill to break even? Production and marketing together is $400 million. The cost of marketing is balance out by sponsors and promotion. How are people coming out with these high end number?

Studios never release that publicly. Ever. You go off a consensus of what the trades and box office analysts give out. They get their info direct from the studios.