BvS Batman V Superman Box Office Prediction - - - - - - Part 15

[Iceman]

Nolan should have directed this movie.

He doesn't like this kind of crossover stuff. If he'd given WB even a sniff that he wasn't opposed to it he would be directing it. Imagine TDK being the launch platform for the DCEU instead of what we now have.

 

[Spiderdevil]

Gareth Edwards, Colin Trevorrow, Matthew Vaughn, to name but three.

Rain Johnson, Alfonso Cuaron, Brad Bird, Kathryn Bigelow, to name four more.

All of whom I think would have done a better job.

Sam Raimi would have been a perfect candidate, he has been a fan of Batman and his Spider-man movies had a lot of Superman-esque imagery

 

[Omegabat]

So where do we all think this will officially finish up on? 850-ish?

I think somewhere between 860-870

 

[Gabe99]

Variety:
Are Hollywood Blockbusters Losing Their Punch at China’s Box Office?

The second-week decline in the global box office of “Batman v Superman: The Dawn of Justice” was an unpleasant surprise for Warner Bros. But its vertiginous drop in China, the world’s second-biggest movie market, was even more brutal, and may mark a rude awakening for not only the Burbank studio but for Hollywood in the Middle Kingdom.

The dueling-superheroes movie appeared to have a lot going for it, including a Friday day-and-date release on half the screens in the nation. But after suffering an 85% drop on its second Friday — placing fourth behind a trio of Chinese movies and “Zootopia” — the film was unsentimentally dumped by China’s exhibitors. At $94.9 million after 19 days of release, it is certain to finish below the $100 million mark, cuming less than last year’s clunky “Terminator: Genisys” ($113 million).

In sorting through the debris to find out what went wrong, it’s easy to blame the film itself; after all, “Batman v Superman” was savaged by the critics. But there are other factors at play. In 2015, despite a sensational spring during which “Jurassic World” ($229 million), “Avengers: Age of Ultron” ($240 million) and “Furious 7” ($380 million) dominated the Chinese box office, Hollywood films’ gross revenue in China grew by only 26%, while that of Chinese films improved by 67%. Local movies wound up with a 61% market share in 2015, while the year before, Hollywood films had the majority share, also at 61%.

There are many reasons for the trend in a territory where box office is routinely manipulated by the government, with practices that include blackout periods for foreign films; simultaneous releases of major titles, with an eye toward cannibalization; and official ticket-buying schemes to boost local titles.

Yet the Chinese box office is growing so fast — by 49% last year and by 50% in the first quarter of 2016 — that every major release should be breaking some kind of record. But there’s still debate as to whether “Star Wars: The Force Awakens,” at $125 million, was a hit or a miss. And Hollywood-China co-production “Kung Fu Panda” was a clear disappointment in the popular animation category, taking in $147 million. Only Disney Animation’s “Zootopia,” which has minted more than $230 million and established a new Chinese box office record for an animated feature, seems to have fulfilled the market’s growing promise. The title is showing such good legs that regulators have granted it an extra month of release.

 

[mightiest_mortal]

Variety:
Are Hollywood Blockbusters Losing Their Punch at China’s Box Office?

So Bvs and Kung-fu panda don't do well so it's a growing pattern? I'd imagine it has more to do with them just not being great movies; the article even lists films that are still doing perfectly well there. Judging by the last few Marvel movies performance in China, should probably wait to see how Civil War does there before blaming BVs poor performance in China on anything but it's quality.

 

[Bren]

Imagine TDK being the launch platform for the DCEU instead of what we now have.

I grew very tired of 'realistic' Batman so wouldn't want this.
Of course, knowing what we got, has me questioning this opinion

 

[Longshot777]

So this made more than Winter Soldier....not too shabby.

Only the Avengers movies made more and The overrated Ironman 3.

I expected as much from the second movie of the DC verse.

 

[Baba3231]

I don't think it did badly in China at all when you consider it's only about 30m below Star Wars.

 

[Angryfantasyfan]

I expected as much from the second movie of the DC verse.

Does that mean you're expecting Aquaman and The Flash to do better?

 

[Longshot777]

Probably not maybe Thor 2 numbers.

But JL, hopeful better.

WW, not sure. Could be a sleeper hit like Deadpool. But who knows.

 

[Joeyjojo72]

There's a difference between being "glass half full" and being delusional. But sometimes that fine line can seem like a blur. Whatever keeps the pain of disappointment at bay I guess.

On topic: looks like my $900m guess ain't happening. Thank goodness.

 

[SomeOldGuy]

$1.48 million Friday. Looks like it might get close to $6 million this weekend. First decent hold it has had. Too bad it comes at the bottom of the barrel.

 

[Doctor Jones]

It's $5.4 million.

The key here is, if this movie is horrible, always guess less than overestimating. These box office reports always go over in their predictions possibly because they think it's too low. Never underestimate a terrible movie.

 

[Spiderdevil]

Probably not maybe Thor 2 numbers.

But JL, hopeful better.

WW, not sure. Could be a sleeper hit like Deadpool. But who knows.

Thor 2 numbers is asking to much, Superman barely reached there, Thor1/TIH/TFA numbers are more plausible

 

[Logan0327]

BVS wasn't even in the top 5 at Friday Box Office

1.The Jungle Book $16,380,000
2.The Huntsman: Winter’s War $7,272,000
3.Barbershop: The Next Cut $3,105,000
4.The Boss $1,902,000
5.Zootopia $1,772,000

Zootopia is in top 5 and Zootopia came out 3 weeks before BVS

 

[The Joker]

Zootopia is in top 5 and Zootopia came out 3 weeks before BVS

That really does say it all. Bloody embarrassing.

 

[Timebomb]

So they are still going forward with the JL with the same director. I just don't get the logic.

 

[Bruce Malone]

So this made more than Winter Soldier....not too shabby.

Only the Avengers movies made more and The overrated Ironman 3.

I expected as much from the second movie of the DC verse.

This was WB/DC's Avengers, it makes no sense to compare it to a solo film featuring a character that was considered B-List only a few years ago.

Batman, Superman and Wonder Woman this was the A-Team that was supposed to challenge Marvel's Avengers dominance.

You might as well call this film a huge success too if you compare it to Ant-Man.

 

[Logan0327]

they really should just put JL on backburner and just go ahead with the batman and then do justice league with a new director

 

[AVEITWITHJAMON]

This was WB/DC's Avengers, it makes no sense to compare it to a solo film featuring a character that was considered B-List only a few years ago.

Batman, Superman and Wonder Woman this was the A-Team that was supposed to challenge Marvel's Avengers dominance.

You might as well call this film a huge success too if you compare it to Ant-Man.

I know this movie has disappointed at the BO but to say this was WB's Avengers is not just true.

If anything it was a fast track to WB's Avengers which will be Justice League. Basically this was WB doing Marvels Phase 1 in one movie, with JL being the culmination of that phase. Like Avengers was for Marvel.

 

[Bane Cook]

LOL? WB/DC's Avengers is Justice League

 

[Bruce Malone]

I know this movie has disappointed at the BO but to say this was WB's Avengers is not just true.

If anything it was a fast track to WB's Avengers which will be Justice League. Basically this was WB doing Marvels Phase 1 in one movie, with JL being the culmination of that phase. Like Avengers was for Marvel.

Budget, promotion, hype, star power both actors and character's this was totally the Avengers for WB, just in reverse order to how Marvel did things.

Way before the film came out I was saying this and not JL is going to have to be the big money maker for WB.

If people aren't buying into Batman, Superman and Wonder Woman adding Aquaman and Cyborg to the mix is not going to change much.

If anything JL will now probably have a budget decrease due to the performance of this film.

I can't see WB spending another 250 million on another film directed by Zack Snyder in any good conscience.

 

[Tacit Ronin]

I can't see WB spending another 250 million on another film directed by Zack Snyder in any good conscience.

They are just about dumb enough to do that.

 

[AVEITWITHJAMON]

Budget, promotion, hype, star power both actors and character's this was totally the Avengers for WB, just in reverse order to how Marvel did things.

Way before the film came out I was saying this and not JL is going to have to be the big money maker for WB.

If people aren't buying into Batman, Superman and Wonder Woman adding Aquaman and Cyborg to the mix is not going to change much.

If anything JL will now probably have a budget decrease due to the performance of this film.

I can't see WB spending another 250 million on another film directed by Zack Snyder in any good conscience.

All of those things you mentioned in your first paragraph were just used to fast track the universe to JL. JL is their Avengers, BvS was the fast track build up to it. None of your post changes that.

Were they expecting bigger numbers? Of course they were, but JL is their Avengers movie all day long,

 

[Bruce Malone]

Well it's all irrelevant now in terms of Justice League being the "king size" budget film like the Avengers films are for Marvel.

As dumb as WB execs can be they do have shareholders on a corporate level they have to answer to.

No way Zack stays on as director without some budget limitations put in place. No way JL will cost more than BvS to produce and like I said will almost certainly be downgraded budget wise now.

No guarantee without big changes in place JL will even make as much as BvS has.