BvS Batman V Superman Box Office Prediction - Part 8

[Kanon]

It should be the latter. There is no way on this planet WB was projecting to barely come in at $1 billion when they decided to greenlight this film.

The question in the mind of WB execs is, if BvS is doing this much, how much can we expect of SS, WW, Flash, Aquaman?

 

[FunkMiller]

Question for the room:

Imagining the potential that this film should have, would you say hitting that magical $1B number is meeting the expectation? Or if it maximizes its potential, should we be talking about $1.5-$1.8B?

A BvS with The Dark Knight's critical reception and audience rating does 1.5 billion with no problems at all. In fact, it goes close to 2 bil, I think. You'd be talking the most successful cbm ever.

This movie isn't going anywhere near that.

 

[HaplessHenchman]

damn BVS has made 424 million WW already lol

Really? Is that confirmed?

 

[Reel-Man]

Seeing how well it's doing brought a smile to my face. I really enjoyed it. R

Hopefully more smiles to come. Time will tell. t:

 

[JtheDreamer]

Really? Is that confirmed?

Actuals won't be out until the start of next week. Those are estimates for now.

 

[NoLaNitE007]

Really? Is that confirmed?

Might as well round up to 425!

Yep...by Deadline:

5TH UPDATE, SUNDAY, WRITETHRU…Refresh for latest…: The full international weekend estimates on Batman V Superman: Dawn Of Justice have landed with the superheroes pulling down $254M on 40K screens in 66 markets. That makes BvS the No. 5 best opener ever at the overseas box office. Coupled with the record-breaking domestic number this frame, the worldwide total is $424.1M; that’s good for 4th place global opener ever.

http://deadline.com/2016/03/batman-...nternational-1201725677/#comment-list-wrapper

 

[SoNicRaDiATioN]

Happy Easter.

I don't know why people would want this to fail, even if you hate the movie (I haven't seen it), a failure for a super-hyped film of this nature would not be good for the genre as a whole. I'm not surprised at these numbers considering all the markets it opened in. I'd be shocked if this film doesn't reach that magic number of 1 b. Congrats to WB on that end.

 

[hafizbat]

If it hits a billion, that's around expectations at the moment. Anything less than that will be a disappointment. I'm not sure what they were hoping for but 1 billion is the floor. There's absolutely no way it will reach 1.5. After seeing the movie twice and getting a feel for it's reception, this thing tops out around 1.2 billion maximum.



Didn't realize that. Gives me more hope that this can sputter out and crash before it crosses 1 billion, but I don't think that's going to happen.

It's amazing to see how much the expectations have been lowered. A few months ago no one would have been taken seriously if they predicted a gross under a billion for this movie. You're absolutely right, a billion should have been the FLOOR, not something it feels lucky to achieve.

People are missing the point. The fact that the movie is still making bank despite being a flop (no, I'm not counting the legions of fanboy lovers of this movie), outta make WB cry. In a world where stuff like Jurassic World and Fast and Furious breaks all kinds of records and Star Wars shoots into the stratosphere, Batman vs Superman not taking off that way is a major disappointment.

WB shouldn't be looking at what this movie does, but what it could have done and failed to do. That alone justifies major changes.

 

[HaplessHenchman]

Didn't realize that. Gives me more hope that this can sputter out and crash before it crosses 1 billion, but I don't think that's going to happen.

Did I miss something, why are you "hoping that it can sputter out and crash"?

It is posts like yours that I really don't understand.

 

[NoLaNitE007]

Actuals won't be out until the start of next week. Those are estimates for now.

Yeah. It might be higher.

 

[hafizbat]

Did I miss something, why are you "hoping that it can sputter out and crash"?

It is posts like yours that I really don't understand.

Because these characters deserve so, so much better.

 

[JtheDreamer]

Yeah. It might be higher.

Or it might be lower! See what I did there?

 

[Wylie Times]

I can't wait for Civil War to come out to see how it compares. If nothing else, this year will be fascinating box office-wise

While buzz for Civil War is MUCH more positive than it was for BvS I don't think Civil War will have the opening BvS had.

 

[Gerontophobe]

Yeah. It might be higher.

Or lower. Just saying, either is possible but at most it will swing $20M in either direction. Regardless, $400M+ OW is a win for WB even if not up the inflated expectations of some.

 

[Wolf Boy]

900 mil is where I am. Still not ready to change my mind until the next week's figures come in.

Yeah I'd say 900 too.

 

[Val_Zod]

Did I miss something, why are you "hoping that it can sputter out and crash"?

It is posts like yours that I really don't understand.

Because if it doesn't make what WB hopes, then that sends a message to them that they should make changes. Box office is even more of a message to studios than critic reviews ever will.

 

[Tony Stark]

Needs a 2.26 multiplier to come in at 1B. The weekend internal would be 2.07x but I have a feeling when the actuals come it this will be at 168M domestic.

The numbers look, good, but this should have done more. This could have been up there with Avengers and Jurassic World or at least up with Age of Ultron if the movie had been well received.

 

[JtheDreamer]

While buzz for Civil War is MUCH more positive than it was for BvS I don't think Civil War will have the opening BvS had.

In America or WW? Because it won't open to all the territories in on weekend.

 

[JtheDreamer]

Needs a 2.26 multiplier to come in at 1B. The weekend internal would be 2.07x but I have a feeling when the actuals come it this will be at 168M domestic.

The numbers look, good, but this should have done more. This could have been up there with Avengers and Jurassic World or at least up with Age of Ultron if the movie had been well received.

The BO is fun with numbers. It's how public companies can paint earnings. Many are standing around with their fingers in their ears purposely ignoring all the variables.

 

[4thWallBreaker]

$424 million on its opening weekend. Wow. It could very well reach a billion.

 

[Val_Zod]

in america or ww? Because it won't open to all the territories in on weekend.

ww.

 

[NoLaNitE007]

Or lower. Just saying, either is possible but at most it will swing $20M in either direction. Regardless, $400M+ OW is a win for WB even if not up the inflated expectations of some.

Over 400 to start is big plus. Especially by that much at 425.

 

[third3ye]

While buzz for Civil War is MUCH more positive than it was for BvS I don't think Civil War will have the opening BvS had.

Apples and oranges, CW won't have a day and date release. Probably will lose to BvS for dom OW simply due to how front-loaded BvS will be.

 

[JtheDreamer]

ww.

Again, Civil War can't do those WW numbers because they stagger their openings. I mean c'mon guys.

 

[Gerontophobe]

Needs a 2.26 multiplier to come in at 1B. The weekend internal would be 2.07x but I have a feeling when the actuals come it this will be at 168M domestic.

The numbers look, good, but this should have done more. This could have been up there with Avengers and Jurassic World or at least up with Age of Ultron if the movie had been well received.

I also suspect the internal multiplier will be lower once actuals come in. As for what BvS should have done, I think it is a little unfair to say it should do JW or AOU numbers. I’m content to compare it to other $250M pictures. In that club, it is doing similar to Pirates 3 and 4 (which had bigger budgets), worse than AoU (to be expected), miles better than John Carter and Tangled (who knew that was so expensive?), better than SM3 and Spectre, and similar to HP7-PII and Hobbit 3. Basically, it is doing well when compared to other megabudget projects.