Box Office Numbers (& Competition)

[Advanced Dark]

2.1 million more for Ghost Rider on Thursday.

59 million domestic and 21.5 million international.

59
21.5
-----
80.5 million worldwide.

#'s are through Thursday domestic and through wed international.

Per: Variety, and Showbizdata.

 

[Carp Man]

Thursdays #'s are in. Updates below.

 

[Arkady Rossovich]

Hmn..it has not reached 120 million yet.I wonder what this counts as..a waste?

 

[The Incredible Hulk]

It hasnt even been out a week yet, and it's late February

 

[Advanced Dark]

Hmn..it has not reached 120 million yet.I wonder what this counts as..a waste?

You're a troll Jourmugand. Stop sending me private messages asking me if this movie is a failure every day. I thought you were serious at first but it's clear you're just trolling. I could see asking once but you keep asking over and over and over. You're on my ignore list go away.

 

[Advanced Dark]

Thursdays #'s are in. Updates below.

No the update is above. C'mon Carp that's the 3rd day in a row mine are above your comment. t:

 

[Carp Man]

No the update is above. C'mon Carp that's the 3rd day in a row mine are above your comment. t:

I have a life. You think all I have to do all day is update #'s ? t: I update them when either they come out, or i get around to it.

 

[Advanced Dark]

^ No you don't. You're carpman!

 

[Advanced Dark]

Early weekend estimates are in. This site was pretty accurate before as far as never being on the high side. They did up their estimates the first weekend 3 times. Here it is:

http://news.fantasymoguls.com/originalcontent/2007/02/exclusive_3day_.html

EXCLUSIVE 3-DAY ESTIMATES: ‘Ghost Rider’ Wins with $19.3; '23' is Second with $14.3; 'Reno' Tanks with $9.5by Steve Mason
February 23, 2007
After Hollywood enjoyed a very successful President’s Day weekend, with 6 movies scoring more than $10 million, there was hope that this weekend (2/23-25) would continue the roll. Instead, it looks like only 3 movies will top $10 million this weekend. Sony’s $110 million dollar comic book adaptation Ghost Rider will roll to a second consecutive weekend win, but Johnny Blaze is running on fumes. The Mark Steven Johnson-directed action flick generated an estimated $6 million on Friday, which should translate to a $19.3 million weekend, but that’s down a staggering 57%. Despite a 10-day cume of $78 million by Monday morning, there is no way that Ghost Rider will crack $100 million with business falling off so dramatically.

The Nic Cage vehicle will do enough to hold off the new Jim Carrey film The Number 23 (New Line). Coming into the weekend, the poorly-reviewed Joel Shumacher pic, the TV adaptation Reno 911!: Miami (Fox) and Buena Vista holdover Bridge To Terabithia all looked to score in the high teens, and the battle for 2nd place was expected to be close. Instead, New Line’s horror/thriller will score an estimated $14.3 million to finish 2nd for the weekend after a $5 million Friday. Since Bruce Almighty opened to a $67.9 million weekend back in 2003, Carrey has only had one movie top $15 million in its opening 3-days – Lemony Snicket’s A Series of Unfortunate Events with a $30 million weekend. Based on my projections, The Number 23 should finish its domestic run with a cume of $25-$30 million, making it an unmitigated disaster.

Bridge To Terabithia, which received sparkling reviews and a better-than-expected President’s Day weekend opening added an estimated $3.5 million on Friday, and, with a nice Saturday and Sunday matinee bounce, it will finish the weekend with approximately $13 million. That’s a steeper than expected 42% drop for the Disney/Walden Media adaptation of the Newbery Medal-winning children’s novel. Meanwhile, Fox’s Reno 911!: Miami, which is half-owned by Paramount, appears to be a major disappointment. Despite a strong showing in the late-week industry tracking, especially with Under 25’s, Reno has managed only $3.6 million today, and with an estimated 3-day of $9.5 million, it’ll finish no better than 4th for the weekend. Rounding out the Top 5 is Norbit (Paramount), which will suffer a less-than-expected drop-off of 45% for a 3-day of $9.3 million after a $2.8 million Friday. By Monday morning, Eddie Murphy’s bawdy comedy will have banked just under $75 million.

The other 2 major new releases are officially box office misses. The nicely-reviewed Polish Brothers film The Astronaut Farmer (Warner Brothers) starring Billy Bob Thornton managed only an estimated $1.3 million on Friday, which should add up to a meager 3-day of $4.6 million. It was even worse for The Abandoned (After Dark), which apparently has an apropos title with an estimated $275,000 on about 1,000 screens on Friday, and an expected weekend gross of just under $1 million.

One bright spot this weekend is Amazing Grace (IDP Films). Produced by Walden Media, a company whose mission it is to create family-friendly and Christian-themed films, has succeeded with this period piece about the writing of the world’s most beloved hymn. Despite being on only 791 screens, Amazing Grace generated $1.25 million on Friday and is expected to crack the Top 10 for the weekend with an estimated $4.5 million. Walden Media has certainly had its misses like I Am David ($288,000 domestic), big budget Around the World in 80 Days ($24 million domestic), Hoot ($8.1 million) and How To Eat Fried Worms ($13 million domestic), but its resume is filled with a growing number of hits. Because of Winn-Dixie ($32.6 million) was a nice mini hit, and Charlotte’s Web ($81.5 million domestic), Holes ($67.4 million), The Chronicles of Narnia ($291.7 million domestic) and Bridge To Terabithia (currently in release) are all solid or mega hits. They’ve got 12 more films in development or production including 2008’s Narnia sequel, so they are a company that can’t be underestimated.

EXCLUSIVE FANTASYMOGULS.COM EARLY FRIDAY ESTIMATES
1. Ghost Rider (Sony) - $6 million
2. The Number 23 (New Line) - $5 million
3. Reno 911!: Miami (Fox) - $3.6 million
4. Bridge To Terabithia (Buena Vista) - $3.5 million
5. Norbit (Paramount) - $2.8 million
6. Music & Lyrics (Warner Bros) - $2.75 million
7. Breach (Universal) - $1.8 million
8. Tyler Perry’s Daddy’s Little Girls - $1.5 million
9. The Astronaut Farmer (Warner Bros) - $1.3 million
10. Amazing Grace (IDP Films) - $1.25 million
* The Abandoned (After Dark) - $275,000

EXCLUSIVE FANTASYMOGULS.COM EARLY 3-DAY ESTIMATES
1. Ghost Rider (Sony) - $19.3 million
2. The Number 23 (New Line) - $14.3 million
3. Bridge To Terabithia (Buena Vista) - $13 million
4. Reno 911!: Miami (Fox) - $9.5 million
5. Norbit (Paramount) - $9.3 million
6. Music & Lyrics (Warner Bros) - $8.7 million
7. Breach (Universal) - $6 million
8. Tyler Perry’s Daddy’s Little Girls - $5.4 million
9. The Astronaut Farmer (Warner Bros) - $4.6 million
10. Amazing Grace (IDP Films) - $4.5 million
*The Abandoned (After Dark Films) - $975,000

The guy who wrote that is on drugs or something because Daredevil made 6 million less opening 4 days and dropped off the same amount and did crack 100 million. I'll bet these estimates are raised a couple million and GR will break 110 million no problem.

I left him a comment. LOL

 

[Advanced Dark]

http://www.superherohype.com/forums/showpost.php?p=11259516&postcount=509

Yeah it's early but discuss it here. Explanation in above link.

 

[Upset Spideyfan]

It'll probably get across 100 million, but not by much. I just checked out Box Office Mojo (who are typically spot-on) and they expect similar numbers

 

[Carp Man]

19,20 million. Thats about where it will be. 25 is a tad high, but hey who knows. That would be a 58 % drop. Was just over at RT, and Number 23 has an 8% rating. ( 10 fresh out of 123 ) LOL. GR fininished with a 28% ( 24 out of 87 ).

 

[The Kid]

I suppose that's reason enough to update this pic

 

[Advanced Dark]

Showbiz Data confirms above Friday Estimate, however 23 & Reno made more than the above site mentioned. GR should pull ahead tomorrow w/9 million:

Estimates for Friday, February, 23, 2007
Title Daily Total
Ghost Rider 6.0 64.9
Number 23, The 5.9 5.9
Reno 911!: Miami 4.1 4.1
Bridge to Terabithia 3.5 36.2
Norbit 2.9 67.8

 

[ultimatefan]

According to www.boxofficereport.com projection, GR should make around 20m this weekend, which is a 56% drop, and according to www.boxofficeguru.com it should be between 18 and 20m, 56% to 58%, not terrible legs, but slightly below average for that kind of movie.

 

[Carp Man]

Comming off a holiday weekend, 56 to 58 % drop would not be horrible. And if thast 6 million Friday holds true, then it is on trac for that 18 to 20 mllion.

 

[GL's Light]

Comic book films released at this time of year typically have second weekend internal multipliers of 2.8 on the low side and 3.3 on the high side, so a $ 6 million Friday could lead to a weekend ranging from a low of $ 16.8 million (a 63% drop) to a high of $ 19.8 million (a 56% drop).

 

[Carp Man]

Comic book films released at this time of year typically have second weekend internal multipliers of 2.8 on the low side and 3.3 on the high side, so a $ 6 million Friday could lead to a weekend ranging from a low of $ 16.8 million (a 63% drop) to a high of $ 19.8 million (a 56% drop).

You're always the optomist.

 

[Hiruu]

the guy's a moron...57% drop for 2nd weekend is hardly bad, and considering the solid business during the week...the "not making $100" is stupid as well.

 

[GL's Light]

You're always the optomist.

Neither optimistic nor pessimistic - just using past patterns to project the most likely range.

 

[The Kid]

Incase some haven't seen this. Ock posted a link to this preview of the extended cut of spidey 2 coming soon.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ajKDM8CeA7c

I hope it makes the movie better.

And to make this relevant, I hope it's a sign that Marvel will release more extended cuts of their films, including ghost rider now that ghost rider's kicking ass at the b.o. despite the devil trying to bring it down. Yeeee haaaw.

 

[Carp Man]

Just checked the local theater here. They still have 8 showings of GR thru the 1st of March. t:

 

[Carp Man]

Incase some haven't seen this. Ock posted a link to this preview of the extended cut of spidey 2 coming soon.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ajKDM8CeA7c

I hope it makes the movie better.

And to make this relevant, I hope it's a sign that Marvel will release more extended cuts of their films, including ghost rider now that ghost rider's kicking ass at the b.o. despite the devil trying to bring it down. Yeeee haaaw.

Sweet. t: Thanks. Now if we could get the extended cut of the FF, it would be heaven on earth. Hey AD. The next time you get ahold of Story's ear, and ask him when we can expect an extended, or directors cut. Thanks

 

[Advanced Dark]

Don't forget Sunday Night is the Oscars one of the most watched shows on the planet. That'll take away 2 potential show times from alot of people.

I'm going to see Ghost Rider for the 3rd time tonight with my Mom and Dad who have yet to see it. They just got back from out of the country and didn't even know it was out yet.

 

[Advanced Dark]

Comic book films released at this time of year typically have second weekend internal multipliers of 2.8 on the low side and 3.3 on the high side, so a $ 6 million Friday could lead to a weekend ranging from a low of $ 16.8 million (a 63% drop) to a high of $ 19.8 million (a 56% drop).

Oh c'mon that would mean it's gonna make only 5 million on Sat and 5 on Sunday. We all know that's not gonna happen. I wouldn't be surprised to see 9-10 million on Saturday. I'll say 9...and 5 on Sunday.