Box Office Predictions: Star Trek XI

[That-Guy]

It is strange that it's not doing as well in foreign markets. Are there a lot of markets that it simply hasn't opened in yet or something?

Either way, at least it's still kicking ass in the States.

 

[TheVileOne]

The fact of the matter is that Star Trek has never been hugely popular overseas. But for that matter before this movie it hasn't really been hugely popular in the US for a long time.

Also it opened pretty strong overseas considering it was in less markets than a lot of other movies. When all is said and done, I think it will be sitting on a decent chunk of change from the overseas market.

Plus the potential will be there for a bigger worldwide release for the next movie where they can market it even more.

 

[DarkKnight88]

Plus the potential will be there for a bigger worldwide release for the next movie where they can market it even more.

This I can see happening. A recent example is the Batman franchise. They've never done all that well overseas. Batman Begins made about 167 M overseas which was about what all the other ones made more or less. But Dark Knight ended up making about 468 M overseas. Huge jump.

 

[That-Guy]

Yeah, my guess is that this film franchise will follow in Batman's footsteps... really strong numbers for part 1; HUGE numbers for part 2. I know that a lot of people feel that Heath Ledger's Joker was the only reason TDK did so well, but I would argue that a good chunk of that money is a result of how good of a film Batman Begins was and how it left people wanting to see more.

Trek 2 won't be as big as TDK, but that's not a big deal... I doubt we'll see any movie make that much money for a long time.

 

[I SEE SPIDEY]

Trek passed 200mil yesterday.

http://www.boxofficemojo.com/daily/chart/?sortdate=2009-05-29&p=.htm

 

[Sentinel X]

This is the first movie of 2009 to pass 200 million...wow. It deserved it...but I wish it did like 300 million (like Iron man...that would have been awesome)
I really can't wait for Star Trek II!

I guess when summer is over this will be in the top 5, maybe even top 3 for summer films.

 

[I SEE SPIDEY]

This is the first movie of 2009 to pass 200 million...wow. It deserved it...but I wish it did like 300 million (like Iron man...that would have been awesome)
I really can't wait for Star Trek II!

I guess when summer is over this will be in the top 5, maybe even top 3 for summer films.

It should end with 230 to 245mil. Very good numbers.

 

[Doctor Jones]

Yup, it could of made more if it weren't for the numerous other films coming out this month. But that fact that its doing the best this year so far is great.

When should we expect an announcement for a sequel? After the final grosses come in possibly?

 

[That-Guy]

I wish I had gone and seen Trek again yesterday and made it a few more bucks instead of contributing to Drag Me to Hell's box office.

 

[TheVileOne]

The thing is while Batman Begins did well, it still sort of underperformed by a lot of expectations.

Star Trek really surpassed many expectations and outperformed what many thought it would do.

So Star Trek will be close to $210 million after this weekend. Right now it looks like its starting the crawl to about $250 million and will stop around there-ish. A lot of the newer movies took away some business, but it held up very well against The Opie Show and performed tremendously early on. $260-265 million is probably the ceiling though. Its also close to crossing $100 million worldwide. $400 million worldwide is still very possible IMHO.

 

[Doctor Jones]

Not bad at all. Much more than I thought it would make.

I thought it would make $140 million originally.

 

[DarkKnight88]

Star Trek made an estimated 12.8 M this weekend for a drop of around 44.1%.

Adjusted for Inflation Domestically

01. Star Trek: The Motion Picture (1979) - $239,115,674
02. Star Trek IV: The Voyage Home (1986) - $212,328,919
03. Star Trek (2009) - $209,500,000
04. Star Trek II: The Wrath of Khan (1982) - $192,290,437
05. Star Trek III: The Search for Spock (1984) - $163,237,856
06. Star Trek: First Contact (1996) - $149,493,266
07. Star Trek: Generations (1994) - $129,980,545
08. Star Trek VI: The Undiscovered Country (1991) - $127,720,425
09. Star Trek: Insurrection (1998) - $107,451,468
10. Star Trek V: The Final Frontier (1989) - $93,951,918
11. Star Trek Nemesis (2002) - $53,387,173

Looks like its on its way in beating The Motion Picture as most tickets sold domestically. Who would've predicted that a year ago.

 

[Meus]

Star Trek has always struggled outside the US. Despite that, those who have seen it here in the UK love it. If this movie had a different name it would done significantly better Internationally

 

[I SEE SPIDEY]

^The next one is going to be a smash overseas...you just wait. Well 250mil would be a smash for a Star Trek movie.

 

[That-Guy]

It's over the $210M mark in the U.S., and is at about $312M worldwide.

 

[DarkKnight88]

Adjusted for Inflation Domestically

01. Star Trek: The Motion Picture (1979) - $239,115,674
02. Star Trek (2009) - $222,802,000
03. Star Trek IV: The Voyage Home (1986) - $212,328,919
04. Star Trek II: The Wrath of Khan (1982) - $192,290,437
05. Star Trek III: The Search for Spock (1984) - $163,237,856
06. Star Trek: First Contact (1996) - $149,493,266
07. Star Trek: Generations (1994) - $129,980,545
08. Star Trek VI: The Undiscovered Country (1991) - $127,720,425
09. Star Trek: Insurrection (1998) - $107,451,468
10. Star Trek V: The Final Frontier (1989) - $93,951,918
11. Star Trek Nemesis (2002) - $53,387,173

 

[FilmNerdJamie]

At the rate it's going, Trek is looking at a ball-park figure of $240-250 million tops.

 

[I SEE SPIDEY]

At the rate it's going, Trek is looking at a ball-park figure of $240-250 million tops.

Yep, I crunched the numbers and thats the conclusion I also came to.

I'm not an "if this or that happened at the boxoffice" person but I think that Trek would have made 285 to 300mil if it were released on the first weekend of may.

But it wasn't so thats a pretty useless point to make.

 

[TheVileOne]

Well, $250 million is likely. Its crawling to that point, but I think its going to make it.

$400 million worldwide is probably out of it, but still possible IMHO. Let's see after it gets to $250 million US.