Superman Returns Box Office Preview

[sameone]

Look, you just don't want to understand it.

Superman has million fans in all world, and in USA too.

POTC2 will make huge BO, but it will not hurt SR.

And full trailer will come only in May.

So you says stupid words.

Please go away from this forum.

I think when the trailer is released in may we will all be able to "true up" our predictions one way or the other.

 

[Cinemaman]

I think when the trailer is released in may we will all be able to "true up" our predictions one way or the other.

No, every movie have a full trailer to have big numbers in BO, it is marketing.

And we all can predict SR box office.

But your predictions are stupid.

 

[Venom71]

HP did not make 300 million this past year and it is bigger than Superman - a broader appeal. 300 mil - even X-Men is not going to do that and POTC will probably do just short of that.

If the trailer is as stylized, understated and lacking in "gotcha" as was the teaser don't see a huge rush to see this film so the 300 mil figure to me looks totally off the wall.

The BO as a whole is in a slump due too piracy and DVDs.

 

[Cinemaman]

And if BB made only $203m, it doesn't mean anything.

BB was like X-Men, and SR will be like Spidey.

But Batman and Superman have more powerful and strong hystory than X-Men and Spidey.

 

[Venom71]

I think when the trailer is released in may we will all be able to "true up" our predictions one way or the other.

You couldn't just say we will see which of our preditions was right? True Up???? WTH?

 

[GothicPowerMix1]

lexlives is all alone with what he thinks

 

[Excel]

You couldn't just say we will see which of our preditions was right? True Up???? WTH?

lol he means if the trailers good hell raise his predicts but if itsucks hell lower them.

the more i see it, im loving my 90/100-325 prediction.

 

[GothicPowerMix1]

lol he means if the trailers good hell raise his predicts but if itsucks hell lower them.

He already thinks the Movie sucks I doubt the Trailer will end up any different for him

 

[Cinemaman]

lol he means if the trailers good hell raise his predicts but if itsucks hell lower them.

the more i see it, im loving my 90/100-325 prediction.

I can agree with your forecast (90/100 in opening weekend, 325 domesticly).

But I doubt it will get 90-100m opening weekend. It will be realesed on June 30th, and even Spidey 2 didn't make more than $85m.

So I think it will make about $83-86m, because it will be realesed on Friday.

 

[Hunter Rider]

Crossing $300M with POTC2 opening the next week is highly unlikely

 

[Cinemaman]

Crossing $300M with POTC2 opening the next week is highly unlikely

As you think, for you it is.

But for me, it isn't.

And SR will have big opening weekend (I am sure in it), which can help him to continue good BO after POTC2 premiere.

 

[dark_b]

i think it will be something like the star wars movies.
the fanbase is like with SW.

 

[Hunter Rider]

As you think, for you it is.

But for me, it isn't.

And SR will have big opening weekend (I am sure in it), which can help him to continue good BO after POTC2 premiere.

Even if it makes $100M in it's first weekend (Which i doubt) that means it needs to make triple that over the next weeks with the biggest film of the summer as it's competition,it's just not realistic

 

[Cinemaman]

Even if it makes $100M in it's first weekend (Which i doubt) that means it needs to make triple that over the next weeks with the biggest film of the summer as it's competition,it's just not realistic

In our world all can be realistic.

The same here.

SR makes $600m domesticly, that is not realistic.

 

[Hunter Rider]

In our world all can be realistic.

The same here.

SR makes $600m domesticly, that is not realistic.

I'm sorry but that doesn't really make sense,you can't ignore logic

 

[Cinemaman]

I'm sorry but that doesn't really make sense,you can't ignore logic

So you think if it is Superman, it can't make huge BO?

 

[Hunter Rider]

So you think if it is Superman, it can't make huge BO?

No i never said that did i ?

 

[Cinemaman]

No i never said that did i ?

But it sounds like you want to say it.

 

[sameone]

lol he means if the trailers good hell raise his predicts but if itsucks hell lower them.

the more i see it, im loving my 90/100-325 prediction.

The trailer and if it gets the general movie going audience which seems lukewarm on this film to change their minds and go wow will make a difference.

I don't think it will - based on everything so far beiong released kind of not living up to my expectations. The trailer then probably won't either.

I have factored that into my 185 mill domestic box estimate. If the trailer surprises me and is WOW material then I'd up my estimate to 210 million or so. Beating out BB by a bit domestically.

Everything is really riding on the trailer now - maybe too much so but WB has inadvertently caused that by not giving out any other stuff like a second teaser or more movie posters that you normally would get.

 

[Hunter Rider]

But it sounds like you want to say it.

See cinemaman that is where we differ,i love Superman the character and I'm cautiously hopeful this will be a good movie but i don't ignore logic when talking box office just because I'm a fan
POTC2 and SR being so close together will eat into both movies BO and both will not likely reach $300M IMO

 

[Cinemaman]

See cinemaman that is where we differ,i love Superman the character and I'm cautiously hopeful this will be a good movie but i don't ignore logic when talking box office just because I'm a fan
POTC2 and SR being so close together will eat into both movies BO and both will not likely reach $300M IMO

Look, I am a fan of Superman and POTC too. But why didn't say it to others?
Most people from these boards says that it can make $300m.

 

[sameone]

See cinemaman that is where we differ,i love Superman the character and I'm cautiously hopeful this will be a good movie but i don't ignore logic when talking box office just because I'm a fan
POTC2 and SR being so close together will eat into both movies BO and both will not likely reach $300M IMO

I totally agree hunter.

Realism is in order. How many movies break 300 mil - few. I actually think POTC will almost but not quite reach that number.

BB was a great movie with great buzz once it opened, lots of repeat business, in theatres till September but it only made 205 domestically.

 

[Cinemaman]

I totally agree hunter.

Realism is in order. How many movies break 300 mil - few. I actually think POTC will almost but not quite reach that number.

BB was a great movie with great buzz once it opened, lots of repeat business, in theatres till September but it only made 205 domestically.

You don't use logic and realism too.

You are just hater.

 

[VGPOP]

Marketing-


What will happen:
Heres what I think is going to happen though-Superman Returns will open into around 4000 theaters with immense hype and have a opening day of 29 million, and a Saturday of 33. The July4th holiday will create a inflated Sunday/Monday gross, and with good word of mouth, Returns will get 30 on Sunday for an opening weekend of 92 million. Its Monday gross will be 26 and its Tuesday gross will be 18 for a 5 day gross of 136 million and it’ll have 150 million 1st week. Another 44 million in it’s second week for a 10 day total of 194 million, and a U.S. total of 280 million and a world wide total of 640.

SR opens on a Friday. I just don't see this movie with so much hype and anticipation at that particular time to open with less than $30 million. There hasn't been a Superman movie for 18+ years and since Superman II (25+ years)(the last good Superman movie). SR will probably open at midnight, Friday June 30th (I'll go at that time if available AND I'll go AGAIN Friday night with my girlfriend and her whole family). Now, I don't know how much money it will make for its midnight showings (which they will add it to the opening day), but I can tell you this: I see this movie making at least $40 million opening day. And I'm basing that just on a teaser and that loooooooonnnnnggggggg wait for Superman fans. If the theatrical trailer is something beyond this world, watch out. But let's not get ahead of ourselves. Superman fans will flock theaters the first day, that's a guarantee.

I can't give a prediction on this movie because I haven't seen a theatrical trailer yet.

But Superman hardcore fans can push this movie and that long wait for $40 million without a problem on Friday, June 30th.

 

[Hunter Rider]

Look, I am a fan of Superman and POTC too. But why didn't say it to others?
Most people from these boards says that it can make $300m.

These boards are hardly the epicenter of good BO predicitng as last years BB threads showed

I have had SR at number 2 on every review ive done for BO in 2006,you just want to brand me a "hater" becuase i won't say it will make $300M