Days of Future Past 'Days Of Future Past' BOX-OFFICE worldwide prediction - Part 1

[WC Avengers]

It looks like this one might actually have LEGS!!! An undeniable first for the franchise.

The Wolverine held up very well IMHO! Had good legs...

 

[Tony Stark]

Domestic 5 day total is over 10 million ahead of captain America 2 I believe. Let's see if this lead can hold out

That's expected due to the holiday. Cap did 41M on it's 2nd weekend, so with estimates of 35M, That lead isn't going to hold. And Cap held that number against a pretty strong opening from Rio 2, which I think beat Cap on Friday.


I think the bigger hope is trying to beat TASM2's second weekend, as that will be a bigger indicator of the final take.

 

[Electrix]

Million Ways to Die is expected to come in No. 3 after Maleficent and Fox's Days of Future Past, which is expected to earn $38 million to $40 million in its second outing after opening to a dazzling $110.7 million over Memorial Day weekend.

http://www.hollywoodreporter.com/news/box-office-preview-maleficent-set-707557

 

[Liam_H]

If it can pull that off it would be a fantastic 2nd weekend.

 

[WC Avengers]

http://www.hollywoodreporter.com/news/box-office-preview-maleficent-set-707557

They are predicting a WHOPPING 60-72 million from Maleficent and 32-38 for Day's. So hard to tell with this one!

Kid friendly PG will be XMEN'S downfall. It has been some time since a good live action kid flic has been out.


Only one week at the TOP for XMEN Domestic.

EDIT: I still think XMEN will be tops in the foreign market. Now way Maleficent does well oversees. But I could be wrong!

 

[marvelrobbins]

Let's hope it can hit 40 million this weekend for the domestic total.

 

[Samarus]

Amazing number. I hope this movie gets past 240 million.

 

[Liam_H]

Stop worrying about placement, its all about the percentage drop. If this movie can drop below 60% it can come in at #5 for the weekend for all I care.

 

[marvelrobbins]

They are predicting a WHOPPING 60-72 million from Maleficent and 32-38 for Day's. So hard to tell with this one!

Kid friendly PG will be XMEN'S downfall. It has been some time since a good live action kid flic has been out.


Only one week at the TOP for XMEN Domestic.

EDIT: I still think XMEN will be tops in the foreign market. Now way Maleficent does well oversees. But I could be wrong!

I certinly hope they are underestimating DOFP because a 32 million second weekend would be terrable.

You would think boys wouldn't want to see Maleficent.That had been looking like the film for Young girls.

 

[SuperT]

Only one week at the TOP for XMEN Domestic.

There was no way it was ever going to stay #1 for a second week even if the opening weekend numbers were higher. From here on out, there are way too many movies coming each week for any one movie to dominate for multiple weeks.

That's why Fox should really look at releasing films outside of the traditional summer window. Look at C:TWS in April - it had no competition and was able to dominate almost the whole month.

 

[WC Avengers]

Everywher I look they are comparing it to THE LAST FRICKEN STAND


Last Stand had THREE YEARS of people waiting for the follow-up to X2. It had the x2 bump the first day when it grossed 45 million on opening day. First Class was good but it wasn't a bump movie.

 

[Bruce Malone]

Anything above a 58% second week drop would not be a good sign.

 

[SuperT]

Everywher I look they are comparing it to THE LAST FRICKEN STAND


Last Stand had THREE YEARS of people waiting for the follow-up to X2. It had the x2 bump the first day when it grossed 45 million on opening day. First Class was good but it wasn't a bump movie.

Because First Class had way more obstacles to overcome. X3 was setup perfectly by an amazing movie that came before it - of course people were going swamp the theaters to see it. First Class was coming off two poorly received movies before it that caused people to lose faith and excitement in the franchise.

You guys are way too focused on what happened eight years ago and putting way too much responsibility on First Class & DOFP shoulders. There are way more nuances and factors to take into consideration other than just solely looking at Box Office. It's going to take more than that truly restore all faith.

 

[BlackFox]

The Guardian is reporting DOFP will easily beat all the previous installments total tally in the UK and is the biggest opening of any film this year.

 

[Liam_H]

Anything above a 58% second week drop would not be a good sign.

Not really, 60-65% drop is in line with expectations.

 

[WC Avengers]

Anything above a 58% second week drop would not be a good sign.

considering the terrible (IMHO, I mean who was Xavier in that film. He was always a byt*h to Logan, that was why I hate that film.) Xmen 3 dropped 63.8 percent. So, Yes I agree with you, any thing close to 63% will not be good.

 

[marvelrobbins]

If people would like DOFP to get to 250 Million Domesticly they should hope for a under 60 percent drop.

 

[Liam_H]

Last Stand dropped 67% over the 3 day.

 

[Blackout]

Optimism is our friend, folks.

 

[BlackFox]

Optimism is our friend, folks.

Not as much as money

 

[kedrell]

Nice hold. FF6 is indeed looking to be a good model of pacing for this one.

 

[Bruce Malone]

Not really, 60-65% drop is in line with expectations.

Expectations based on what though? the past x-men films?

I've never heard anybody project a 60%+ second week drop as a good thing?

Both First Class and the Wolverine held above 60% in their second week. It's only TLS and Origins that had the big 60%+ drops among the x-men films.

Godzilla dropped 66% and that's been considered very disappointing and probably would have killed hopes for a sequel had it not opened so big in the first place.

 

[I SEE SPIDEY]

The Wolverine dropped 59.9%, that's pretty much a 60% drop. I consider that a 60% drop because it's right there.

I do not think a 60-65% drop would be good for a film with such good reviews. I'm not hoping for something unrealistic but it really should be dropping somewhere around 56-58%.

 

[Blackout]

Expectations based on what though? the past x-men films?

I've never heard anybody project a 60%+ second week drop as a good thing?

Both First Class and the Wolverine held above 60% in their second week. It's only TLS and Origins that had the big 60%+ drops among the x-men films.

Godzilla dropped 66% and that's been considered very disappointing and probably would have killed hopes for a sequel had it not opened so big in the first place.

Expectations based on other Memorial Day releases. Most of them had >60% drops.

 

[Tony Stark]

The problem for this film, is I feel it's going to face way too much competition. While AMWTDITW, looks like it's going to get rosted by the critics, I feel McFarlane's fanbase and the popularity of Ted is going to make this somewhat critic proof. It won't open anywhere close to Ted's 54M, but 30M or so is going to take a bite out of DOFP's weekend take. If Maleficent opens huge that's also going to hurt.

The good news for DOFP is that both those films are being ripped by the critics.