Dr Strange box office prediction thread

[kedrell]

As long as it does better than Ant-Man I'd say it's all good.

 

[LoganGambit87]

Isn't 300m domestic the new blockbuster break out number?

i think it depends on the budget and overseas money , only 15 comic book movies have hit 300 million+ domestically of all time so its not the norm first two captain america films and the x men films were profitable without it

 

[DarthSkywalker]

i think it depends on the budget and overseas money , only 15 comic book movies have hit 300 million+ domestically of all time so its not the norm first two captain america films and the x men films were profitable without it

Comic book movies aren't the only blockbusters though. Being profitable is one thing and very good. But we are talking about a breakout hit, like GotG or the first Iron Man.

 

[LoganGambit87]

one thing i do know is if you open at 70 million OW i guarantee you its not hitting 300 million domestically only 2 films in the history of cinema have made 300 domestically after opening with 70 million
- Finding Nemo and POTC: Curse Of The Black Pearl

 

[Webfoot Hero]

I'd say $70 million would be pretty good, considering its non-traditional release date, it's an unknown character/IP, and the new Call of Duty game releases on the same day in the US.

 

[kedrell]

one thing i do know is if you open at 70 million OW i guarantee you its not hitting 300 million domestically only 2 films in the history of cinema have made 300 domestically after opening with 70 million
- Finding Nemo and POTC: Curse Of The Black Pearl

Ok. But I'm confident it'll beat $70m anyway. And Zootopia just made $340m this year on a $75m OW so it's not like the concept of long legs is something of the distant past. You just have to really connect with an audience.

 

[rayc1971]

Ok. But I'm confident it'll beat $70m anyway. And Zootopia just made $340m this year on a $75m OW so it's not like the concept of long legs is something of the distant past. You just have to really connect with an audience.

if it does 70mill ow it will do over 200mill domestic it cost 165mill so that would be a win it doesnt need 300 mill domestic to be a hit 500 mill or so ww is fine for this movie

 

[rayc1971]

I'd say $70 million would be pretty good, considering its non-traditional release date, it's an unknown character/IP, and the new Call of Duty game releases on the same day in the US.

yes it had fell in tracking to 50 mill ow now its back up to 70 mill

 

[Raiden]

I'm going to see if I can take my family to see Dr. Strange this Saturday.

 

[scifiwolf]

I just shelled out $45 for three IMAX tickets, so I'm doing my part! Now if only I didn't have 2 1/2 days of work between now and Saturday afternoon...

 

[Chesterfield]

Good man, sci-fi Wolf.

 

[Kev4000]

I just shelled out $45 for three IMAX tickets, so I'm doing my part! Now if only I didn't have 2 1/2 days of work between now and Saturday afternoon...

Nice Job!

 

[Vartha]

I just shelled out $45 for three IMAX tickets, so I'm doing my part! Now if only I didn't have 2 1/2 days of work between now and Saturday afternoon...

lol there is that wait again. lol
What Shocks ME, is the theater that normally does the 3D is NOT even showing Doctor Strange but the older sister theater by me IS. I'm happy about that! Just hope there's Doc Strange popcorn tins or at least cups lol

 

[Bats123]

Projections always lowball it, im thinking more around 85-90 million.

 

[Blitzkrieg]

The OW of Trolls is shaping up very nicely. So far it's outpacing Home, a 2015 Dreamworks movie that earned 51 million in OW. Other tracking (presales) are also very good for Trolls and seem to indicate it doing 2/3 rd of SLOP, i.e 65-68 million.

Doctor Strange is also doing very well in presales and so is Hacksaw Ridge.

The combined gross of the 3 big releases in the 1st week of Nov. should bring about 155-160 million.

Now assuming Trolls makes 62 million and HR does 18 million, DS should easily conjure up around 80 million in OW.

 

[Ozbridge]

Anyone got sold out number for tonight's preview?

The OW of Trolls is shaping up very nicely. So far it's outpacing Home, a 2015 Dreamworks movie that earned 51 million in OW. Other tracking (presales) are also very good for Trolls and seem to indicate it doing 2/3 rd of SLOP, i.e 65-68 million.

 

[Vincanws]

It's crazy this isn't out in the States still.

 

[Iceman]

$70m OW should lead to about $200m domestic. Hopefully it can do more.

 

[Vartha]

Man, I hope it doesn't sell out tomorrow. I wouldn't think a 12:50 showing would with people at work and kids in school

 

[Sebastos]

'Doctor Strange' Poised for Magical, $80+ Million Opening

 

[Bats123]

'Doctor Strange' Poised for Magical, $80+ Million Opening

oooooh baby, its happening...

 

[Stark Bauer]

Saw it last night at Scotiabank theatre 80 foot IMAX screen the biggest in Canada. Good audience was laughing at all the jokes and then some.

I predict minimum 80 to a maximum of $110 m

 

[Ozbridge]

Any number for yesterday preview yet? I'm thinking 13-15M.

 

[Silver Surfer]

Box Office Weekend Forecast:

Doctor Strange: $88M
Trolls: $39.5M
Hacksaw Ridge: $12.5M

http://pro.boxoffice.com/weekend-forecast-doctor-strange-trolls-hacksaw-ridge/

 

[BaelaTargaryen]

http://deadline.com/2016/11/doctor-strange-trolls-hacksaw-ridge-weekend-box-office-1201848529/

"Disney/Marvel’s Doctor Strange led the way last night with $9.4M into what is expected to be the biggest weekend to date at the fall box office. When it comes to the previews for these big tentpoles, Thursday night typically accounts for 30%-35% of Friday’s business. Compared to other Thursday nights, Disney/Marvel’s previous November release Thor: The Dark World made $7.1M before notching a $31.89M Friday and $85.7M opening. Unlike the Warner Bros./DC fare earlier this year and 20th Century Fox’s X-Men: Apocalypse which were panned by critics, Doctor Strange is wielding a tremendous amount of power with a 90% certified fresh Rotten Tomatoes score. Projections earlier this week had Doctor Strange opening between high $60M to $75M. Fandango yesterday showed advance ticket sales for Doctor Strange besting Thor (opening $65.7M) and Ant-Man ($57.2M) at the same point in their sales cycles."

https://***********/GiteshPandya/status/794565575355887617?ref_src=twsrc^tfw

"Gitesh Pandya
‏@GiteshPandya
Powerful $9.4M THU pre-show debut for #DoctorStrange. +15% vs #XMenApocalypse, +47% vs #AntMan - both summer pics. Intl rises to $132.9M."