Dr Strange box office prediction thread

[InCali]

A real shame in a way. If it wasn't for November + competition (a film opening 2nd with almost 50m) Doctor Strange would've most likely hit 100m+ easily and become the 2nd or 3rd best OW for a solo Marvel film. Bigger than GOTG, Iron Man 1, TWS etc. All Benedicts fault . They would've released it in Summer but moved it to November to accomodate Benedicts schedule.

Wow Marvel really found their jackpot after Iron Man.

Ultimately, it doesn't make that much difference if a movie brings in 85 or 90 or 95M. What Marvel is doing is burnishing their brand and building a lot of public trust in their product. 6 or 7 years ago, who would have thought that DS and GotG would open to these sorts of numbers? They are expanding their universe, making money, and building excitement among the movie going public for a whole new slate of characters post IM, CA, and Thor.

Contrast that with what's happening with X-Men. Interest is lagging on that front; although, to be fair, Deadpool was a step in the right direction. The problem, for others, is that Marvel is bringing in CM, BP, DS and GotG while still setting the stage for their better known, and in some cases MONSTER properties (CA, Thor, Avengers, etc.).

I suspect Marvel feels "okay" about where they're at right now.

 

[Darepool]

If this could place in the 700m range that would be exceptional for an origin film of a lesser known Marvel character. I think it will be in the margins of this. Hopefully.

 

[Iceman]

If this could place in the 700m range that would be exceptional for an origin film of a lesser known Marvel character. I think it will be in the margins of this. Hopefully.

That would be amazing and depends on how overseas holds up. Less would be totally fine too of course.

 

[Tony Stark]

Ultimately, it doesn't make that much difference if a movie brings in 85 or 90 or 95M. What Marvel is doing is burnishing their brand and building a lot of public trust in their product. 6 or 7 years ago, who would have thought that DS and GotG would open to these sorts of numbers? They are expanding their universe, making money, and building excitement among the movie going public for a whole new slate of characters post IM, CA, and Thor.

Contrast that with what's happening with X-Men. Interest is lagging on that front; although, to be fair, Deadpool was a step in the right direction. The problem, for others, is that Marvel is bringing in CM, BP, DS and GotG while still setting the stage for their better known, and in some cases MONSTER properties (CA, Thor, Avengers, etc.).

I suspect Marvel feels "okay" about where they're at right now.

Yeah, at one time I think there was tremendous pressure on Marvel to churn out hit after hit. I feel like now, should they release a dud, which based on the law of averages may be inevitable at some point, it would just be a bump in the road, where if a film like say...GOTG failed miserably they would be scrambling on what to do next.

Marvel has had a solid game plan and they've stuck to it, and it's been hugely successful. It's also benefited everyone else in the playing field. Films like Suicide Squad, Batman v Superman and even X-men Apocalypse were financially successful despite having tepid critical reaction because people love this genre, largely thanks to Marvel's success.

It's a bit like with Pixar, once they started having success, everyone wanted in on the computer animation game, to the point where cell animation is pretty much a dead art form, or at least relegated to the small screen and direct to DVD market.

 

[Iceman]

I think the quality control has also gone up a notch since phase 1 so the chances of a dud will continue to be lower than for films at large.

 

[marcvader]

I think the quality control has also gone up a notch since phase 1 so the chances of a dud will continue to be lower than for films at large.

This is key. The chances of a poor film are slim to none because of the quality control at this studio. The vision has been laser sharp and to the point with Feige in the lead.

 

[Iceman]

This is key. The chances of a poor film are slim to none because of the quality control at this studio. The vision has been laser sharp and to the point with Feige in the lead.

Yep, and as they have progressed and moved to riskier properties like Ant Man and Strange it has gotten better than when we were getting the weakest MCU films like TDW and IM2. I will be surprised to see them make any more 6/10 or worse films going forward. They have enough of a base of succesful work, GA goodwill and banked dollars from their first couple of phases that they can now afford good people in all roles in every film, from actors to directors/writers and all crew members, and can cancel/delay/rearrange individual films as necessary to bring them up to standard without it making much difference to the overall direction of the MCU juggernaut.

 

[Ozbridge]

6.2M yesterday.

http://www.the-numbers.com/movie/Doctor-Strange-(2016)#tab=box-office

 

[Blitzkrieg]

6.2M yesterday.

http://www.the-numbers.com/movie/Doctor-Strange-(2016)#tab=box-office

Damn, a 70% drop from Sunday. Gotta be the Elections, right?

 

[BoredGuy]

This is key. The chances of a poor film are slim to none because of the quality control at this studio. The vision has been laser sharp and to the point with Feige in the lead.

agreed
stale films are still a possibility, as some have critiqued DS as being
but a downright bad movie is pretty damn unlikely

 

[iEquinox]

Damn, a 70% drop from Sunday. Gotta be the Elections, right?

70% is pretty standard judging from other MCU movies.

 

[Typhoon22]

Damn, a 70% drop from Sunday. Gotta be the Elections, right?

That's actually a good drop.
Civil War dropped 69%.
TWS 73%.

Those were summer releases.
This is november + a day before elections.

 

[Blitzkrieg]

That's actually a good drop.
Civil War dropped 69%.
TWS 73%.

Those were summer releases.
This is november + a day before elections.

Yep, not bad actually. AoU also dropped 73.7% so still a good result for DS.

 

[Tony Stark]

Tuesday will be soft due to elections but I'd expect a recovery on Wed-Thu.

 

[Iceman]

Yeah the election day's daily number tomorrow won't tell us much.

 

[JKKS085]

Damn, a 70% drop from Sunday. Gotta be the Elections, right?

That's in the same range as Spectre last year.
A bit steep but not completely unusual either.
But sure the Elections will probably affect the numbers negatively on Monday and Tuesday.

 

[Blitzkrieg]

That's in the same range as Spectre last year.
A bit steep but not completely unusual either.
But sure the Elections will probably affect the numbers negatively on Monday and Tuesday.

Yeah, Spectre had a 68% drop and T:TDW's excellent hold 3 years ago was heavily aided by the Veteran's day. The elections will probably hinder the BO by a small margin but overall this ain't telling us much about the 2nd weekend.

 

[DarthSkywalker]

That's actually a good drop.
Civil War dropped 69%.
TWS 73%.

Those were summer releases.
This is november + a day before elections.

Early April is not summer, and CW came out at the start of May, when most are still in school.

 

[Bats123]

>Doctor Strange is expected to earn about $42 million this weekend in the U.S. and Canada
That's a pretty great number.

 

[Darepool]

If that happened it would be a strong second weekend and show good WOM.

 

[combocaz]

If that happened it would be a strong second weekend and show good WOM.

I think WOM is going to be Donald Trump the next american president. I think movies are going to be on the backburner this week till things cooldown.

 

[Darepool]

I think WOM is going to be Donald Trump the next american president. I think movies are going to be on the backburner this week till things cooldown.

Possibly. Or maybe half of the US will want to escape reality and
take a simulated acid trip for 2 hrs. Hillary will go.

 

[Ozbridge]

7.7M Tuesday
... if anyone still cares.

 

[Blitzkrieg]

Good increase from Monday numbers with the Election and whatnot.....

 

[Joeyjojo72]

Yeah this is all seems so frivolous now. (Nonexistent or indifferent) god help us.