The Force Awakens Early Star Wars 7 Box Office Prediction Thread - Part 3

[I SEE SPIDEY]

The billion ship has long ago sailed away.

 

[titansupes]

The fact that $1B domestic was even in the conversation as a realistic possibility is pretty amazing in and of itself, though.

 

[spiderman2]

So is the movie still making more OS then USA daily? I know even before china the movie was making more OS then USA for a few weeks. Has it leverd of yet to where OS and USA are making the same daliey? Last i saw was like a week or so ago so i dont know if that is still contuning. Just wondering if it has more OS left in the tank then USA or not.

 

[Wildcard]

Anyone think it'll hit a billion domestically?

Doubtful at this point, especially with more anticipated releases on the way. Between $920-$945 million is where it should end up domestically.

 

[InCali]

Doubtful at this point, especially with more anticipated releases on the way. Between $920-$945 million is where it should end up domestically.

That means it will top Avatar by something in the neighborhood of 25%. When you consider that Avatar was far and away the biggest box office draw ever, that is quite an accomplishment. I think Ep 8 will do something in the neighborhood of 700M if it's good (and I expect it will be). That's a pretty exclusive neighborhood to be in.

 

[InCali]

So is the movie still making more OS then USA daily? I know even before china the movie was making more OS then USA for a few weeks. Has it leverd of yet to where OS and USA are making the same daliey? Last i saw was like a week or so ago so i dont know if that is still contuning. Just wondering if it has more OS left in the tank then USA or not.

I'll track it over the next week. The only way I know how to figure that out is to grab a couple of points in time and compare them because I don't know if anyone does a daily OS total.

It's pretty amazing that in it's 6th week of release, it is still #2 in the DOM box office and breathing down the neck of #1.

 

[Loden Greatstorm]

Whats the WW total so far?

 

[JOE]

Just shy of 2B. 1.946 as of right now on BOMOJO.

 

[Unbreakable Lex]

What a disappointing movie.

 

[psylockolussus]

$1,946,770,736

 

[Loden Greatstorm]

Will it reach 2 bil?

 

[Erzengel]

It's above the weekly comparisons with Jurassic World, so it seems it'll get at least $40 million extra just domestically. Perhaps by the weekend after next with the foreign grosses it'll reach $2B.

 

[InCali]

Will it reach 2 bil?

I don't think there's any doubt about that.

 

[DKDetective]

Me neider....Jan 8 weekend killed those possibilities and I, being the genius that I am, called 1B a lock....but was conscious of being the eternal optimist that I am.

I don't think there's any doubt about that. [reaching $2B worldwide]

Stop jinxing this movie!

 

[JOE]

2B WW is a lock as far as I'm concerned, but beating Titanic's current record is out of the question. Nothing wrong with bronze when you're talking about the entire history of box office numbers.

 

[I SEE SPIDEY]

The fact that $1B domestic was even in the conversation as a realistic possibility is pretty amazing in and of itself, though.

I'm not downplaying it's amazing numbers.

 

[NHawk19]

^ Especially considering we're only in week 6 of release. Which I think speaks more to the pent up demand for the product.

I don't think we'll reach Avatar #'s but it may surpass Titanic. Based on the matchup at Box Office Mojo it looks like the majority of the big hits over the past year lasted about 23 weeks in theaters. So that gives it 17 more weeks to make 140 million to top Titanic.

Was Avatar the first "new-age" 3D movie released? And when did the blockbuster that followed come out? Anyone remember? I want to think there was something special Avatar had going for it that would be tough to replicate even in a sequel for it.

 

[InCali]

Stop jinxing this movie!

I know, right?? I've been going on about this, that, and the other thing and I'm always wrong. I totally suck at this, but keep on blabbing. Have I no shame???

I guess not. 2B is a lock.

 

[InCali]

2B WW is a lock as far as I'm concerned, but beating Titanic's current record is out of the question. Nothing wrong with bronze when you're talking about the entire history of box office numbers.

Or the silver when you compare first run numbers.

 

[InCali]

^ Especially considering we're only in week 6 of release. Which I think speaks more to the pent up demand for the product.

I don't think we'll reach Avatar #'s but it may surpass Titanic. Based on the matchup at Box Office Mojo it looks like the majority of the big hits over the past year lasted about 23 weeks in theaters. So that gives it 17 more weeks to make 140 million to top Titanic.

Was Avatar the first "new-age" 3D movie released? And when did the blockbuster that followed come out? Anyone remember? I want to think there was something special Avatar had going for it that would be tough to replicate even in a sequel for it.

I'm not sure about "new-age", but it was in on the ground floor of 3D and with a technology that hadn't been used before. At the time, it was clearly the best 3D had done. Special effects wise I can't remember anything that really came close to it. While, later on, I think "Hugo" made better use of 3D (and James Cameron agrees with me), Avatar was clearly the trend setter and in the vanguard of 3D.

Avatar 2 will do very well. Very, very well if it's really good, but I don't see it touching Avatar's numbers here in the US/Canada or overseas. We'll see if it ever actually gets released.....

 

[writer0327]

I'm thinking the first run numbers are more important. Tells you more about the initial feeling of the GA and how big of an event the film was/is.

 

[SomeOldGuy]

$1.6 million Tuesday, good hold vs $2.4 the week before. It'll be interesting to see how it holds up against all the competition this weekend. First weekend it's really had multiple big releases.

 

[Vincanws]

Finally got to see the 3D Imax screening in a near packed screening in London.. The thing is still doing the business in select places over here.

 

[titansupes]

I'm not downplaying it's amazing numbers.

Oh, I know.

 

[sueb1863]

Hoping Disney does a limited rerelease of A New Hope next May for the 40th anniversary of its initial 1977 release. No reason not to since they moved Episode VIII to December. They don't have any SW releases in May now. They could even put an Episode VIII teaser in front of it...