Green Lantern Box Office Prediction Thread - Part 2

[Chewy]

What's questionable is the chart you posted considering GL has made only 110M, not 117M

 

[KalMart]

My point is that the $175 million figure quoted by THR might be questionable.

It could have been $17.50....wouldn't have made a difference now.

 

[Antonello Blueberry]

228 mil? How?

It's going to be more like sub 200 mil - WW.

Are you sure? Green Lantern still has to open in most of the major markets and will do it when HP and Transformers 3 will be mostly out of theaters.
Sure, there's a bootlegged copy already on the net, which could be a little problem...

 

[CaptainCraig]

Knowing Green Hornet is going to beat Green Lantern in World Wide take is sad and funny. I was a bit shocked at Sony's mishandling of Hornet's theaters, that film could've been pushed to $100m which would make the domestic totals look that much more fun, GL just barely beating it on the homefront is still sad. GL as a film property should've sprinted past Hornet on all fronts yet didn't and want.

 

[KalMart]

Are you sure? Green Lantern still has to open in most of the major markets and will do it when HP and Transformers 3 will be mostly out of theaters.
Sure, there's a bootlegged copy already on the net, which could be a little problem...

I heard the bootlegs aren't going to make their budget back either.

 

[ThanosOfTitans]

I heard the bootlegs aren't going to make their budget back either.

LMAO genius. made my day at work.

 

[chamber-music]

I heard the bootlegs aren't going to make their budget back either.

Well played sir

 

[super85]

I mean, there is no denying that GL is underperforming, a lot, and its US intake is very dissapointing, but you people know that there are other countries in the world besides USA? and GL has only opened in very few countries, like I and other people have pointed out.

The release dates again: http://jabcatmovies.com/2011/02/green-lantern-worldwide-theatrical-release-dates/

 

[jmc]

I heard the bootlegs aren't going to make their budget back either.

I've actually heard people are demanding refunds from those bootlegs.

 

[BatmanInc]

I've actually heard people are demanding refunds from those bootlegs.

The movie is so bad that I could actually believe that happening.

 

[KalMart]

I've actually heard people are demanding refunds from those bootlegs.

Bootlegmojo.com is reporting that it's the lowest-selling bootleg of all time....

...but there's hope...as bootleggers are scrambling to attach thr bootlegged TDKR teaser to it.....

 

[KalMart]

I mean, there is no denying that GL is underperforming, a lot, and its US intake is very dissapointing, but you people know that there are other countries in the world besides USA? and GL has only opened in very few countries, like I and other people have pointed out.

The release dates again: http://jabcatmovies.com/2011/02/green-lantern-worldwide-theatrical-release-dates/

Will the movie somehow get better before those dates...?

 

[Red Mask]

Hence my point that Green Hornet will out gross Green Lantern.

One little note on that comparison:

Unlike Green Lantern, Green Hornet was released across China, including Hong Kong. Green Lantern has only been released in Hong Kong.

GL can't count on China to earn back some more cash.

I've mentioned this before. Overseas, this movie hasn't earned more than SEVEN figures out of this NINE figure bomb. That's a lot of millions. The idea that this movie can earn back NINE figures worth of U.S. dollars by August is doubtful. Now that Harry Potter is out in England, it's doubtful it will ever reach more than EIGHT figures over there.

 

[I SEE SPIDEY]

Do we still have people pretending that the international numbers are going to save GL from oblivion?

It doesn't matter that GL hasn't been released in alot of countries because like all films we can infer by it's early performance that it won't be putting up record breaking numbers in any country.

It's dead Jim.

 

[Karelia]

Yeah, I'm a huge GL fan, he's my favorite.... But it's over, guys.

Best thing that can happen is it explodes when it hit stores on blu ray/dvd... But as others have said, that doesn't have a big impact like it use to because of Netflix and things such as that.

 

[BatmanInc]

Yeah, I'm a huge GL fan, he's my favorite.... But it's over, guys.

Best thing that can happen is it explodes when it hit stores on blu ray/dvd... But as others have said, that doesn't have a big impact like it use to because of Netflix and things such as that.

Indeed. Redbox basically killed Blockbuster, even with the one month postponing.

Also, apparently Redbox is doing games now, too. I wonder if they have PC games, or only console ones?

 

[super85]

Do we still have people pretending that the international numbers are going to save GL from oblivion?

It doesn't matter that GL hasn't been released in alot of countries because like all films we can infer by it's early performance that it won't be putting up record breaking numbers in any country.

It's dead Jim.

Its not I in anyway so that I believe the international numbers will make this a blockbuster or even a hit. Its just that people seem to completely ignore the fact it hasn't opened in Europe, Australia, Japan etc. Even with mediocre/dissapointing intake it wont make "sub 200 million" or "like 180 million WW total!" as some people say around here.

 

[CaptainCraig]

^^^
WOM in a globally connected world as ours + Bootlegging = lower openings worldwide than had this film opend concurrently in the largest markets. I've no doubt you'll still see it when it hits in your area but many will treat its US take and internet thrashing + bad reviews as a sign to wait for a rental.

I'm firmly in the "Just get to $200m camp" and don't think thats' too crazy.

 

[Micromind]

I am not expecting this movie to do well, but if it can manage to get close to 200 mil, it would be some achievement, the severe bashing of this movie by the critics was something that caused negative wom (apart from the movies' shortcomings.)

I just hope that it does some business in those countries in late July- early August.

 

[LadyVader]

The Romanian release is still 2 weeks away.

 

[Doc Phosphorus]

Romanians love Green Lantern like Germans love Hasselhoff. It'll make a killing!!!

 

[chiefchirpa]

Its not I in anyway so that I believe the international numbers will make this a blockbuster or even a hit. Its just that people seem to completely ignore the fact it hasn't opened in Europe, Australia, Japan etc. Even with mediocre/dissapointing intake it wont make "sub 200 million" or "like 180 million WW total!" as some people say around here.

I don't get what you're saying there. Are you saying with bad reception so far, there's still a chance to go above 200 million?

 

[Raiden]

Do we still have people pretending that the international numbers are going to save GL from oblivion?

It doesn't matter that GL hasn't been released in alot of countries because like all films we can infer by it's early performance that it won't be putting up record breaking numbers in any country.

It's dead Jim.

Yeah, even if GL makes the same figure as SR did, it still won't save them. SR was perceived by WB as underperformed and below expectation, that's why they are rebooting it with MOS. And GL will make nowhere near as much as SR.

 

[Pfeiffer-Pfan]

WB will always want to reboot Superman... a known and beloved property will always spike up and down in popularity.

They won't hit the reset button with Green Lantern quite so quickly.

The movie is finished... but the Green Lantern brand is hanging by a thread. Just...

 

[merced]

GL took in 408K on Wednesday to cross the 111 million mark.