Man of Steel Box Office Prediction Thread - Part 10

[Kryptonian Titan]

wait....what happened to Tobias??

did he leave?

He'll not be missed, after all, we now have JOE in his place.

 

[ConanLives]

I just want all the people who predicted 1B to come back out of the shadows and into the light.

I did think it would come close...based on the blanket marketing and buzz prior to opening in the United Kingdom. All things considered it has done exceptionally well.

 

[JOE]

For Kryptonian God:

I predicted 500-600M for this movie with a chance to go all the way up to 700M if the reviews were stellar and the WOM was positive.

Movie was disappointing, IMO. Reviews sucked and it's on track for just over 600M. I'd call it a success in WB's eyes.

 

[Rowsdower!]

Pretty boy from The Social Network and the king Johnny Depp is bound to bring in something despite the lack of glowing reviews.

Outside of Gossip Girl fans, I don't know if that many people even know who he is.

Around here, he's just known as "that guy no one wants to ever play Batman."

 

[Liam_H]

For Kryptonian God:

I predicted 500-600M for this movie with a chance to go all the way up to 700M if the reviews were stellar and the WOM was positive.

$600M WW is locked. $700M is the goal now.

 

[ConanLives]

I think so, definitely believe it will end up doing close to MOS numbers. I'm guessing Hemsworth's hunk status, Loki's delicious villainy, and Eccleston's acting chops will get the film great reviews and WOM. 700 would be a good number.

Positions one and two could be swapped...it'll be close.

 

[JOE]

$600M WW is locked. $700M is the goal now.

Hopefully, but I wouldn't be surprised if it didn't happen. Anything over 600M WW I considered a plus since day one. I've read some people's concerns about not having a sequel and I just don't understand what they're basing it off of...

 

[ConnorKon-El]

OH
I didn't realize that when a film gets mixed reviews that means the reviews sucked.
You could say that for a film as hyped as Steel was, it getting mixed critical reviews was disappointing but saying reviews sucked ? Nah. Sorry. Too pessimistic for my taste.
And it's not on track for just over 600.
Box office predictors are saying it should end with 650-700 million.
I would call that a success in WB's eyes and in everyone's eyes.
If a reboot of a character that many people thought was dead on film can make between 600-700 million worldwide that's successful. Not a huge hit, but it's successful, profitable, and it shows that the GA is on board with this interpretation of Superman.

 

[Kryptonian Titan]

Hopefully, but I wouldn't be surprised if it didn't happen. Anything over 600M WW I considered a plus since day one. I've read some people's concerns about not having a sequel and I just don't understand what they're basing it off of...

Yeah, it doesn't make any sense.

 

[JOE]

OH. OKAY.
I didn't realize that when a film gets mixed reviews that means the reviews sucked.
You could say that for a film as hyped as Steel was, it getting mixed critical reviews was disappointing but saying reviews sucked ? Nah. Sorry. Too pessimistic for my taste.
And it's not on track for just over 600.
Box office predictors are saying it should end with 650-700 million.
I would call that a success in WB's eyes and in everyone's eyes.
If a reboot of a character that many people thought was dead on film can make between 600-700 million worldwide that's successful. Not a huge bit, but it's successful, profitable, and it shows that the GA is on board with this interpretation of Superman.

When 44% of the reviewers say Man of Steel is a rotten movie, I consider the reviews to suck. How would you describe that? Good reviews? Okay reviews? Decent reviews? You seem to be extremely generous. Let's call a spade a spade here Connor.

 

[UrNuts2]

i can easily see a OS number of 310m by this weekend with Brazil & Japan to still open .. those 2 markets could ad 35-40m IMO to the OS total .. another 70m OS is very reachable in addition to that .. the question is not whether it'll reach 600ww, but 700ww

 

[Rowsdower!]

But 44 percent is not a majority. More critics gave it a positive review than a negative one. That might still equate to a "rotten" score, but it's also an indication that there were a lot of good reviews.

 

[ConanLives]

Any further developments regarding MOS2? I think strong would be a better fit for Lex as opposed to Rosenbaum.

 

[Rowsdower!]

Heh. Rosenbaum ain't happening. He knows it too. He's just messing around.

 

[BH/HHH]

Yeah it'd never happen but I would not be against it.

 

[JOE]

But 44 percent is not a majority. More critics gave it a positive review than a negative one. That might still equate to a "rotten" score, but it's also an indication that there were a lot of good reviews.

It's 6% away from an even split and 7% away from a majority hating the movie. Technicalities don't take away the fact that almost half the reviews thought this movie was rotten. For a movie this hyped, 56% is disappointing. However, like I pointed out before, I thought the movie fell in the same boat. Rotten Tomatoes is never that far off when it comes to CBM.

 

[ConnorKon-El]

When 44% of the reviewers say Man of Steel is a rotten movie, I consider the reviews to suck. How would you describe that? Good reviews? Okay reviews? Decent reviews? You seem to be extremely generous. Let's call a spade a spade here Connor.

Yes. I would call the critical reception decent. I only say a film got bad reviews when the majority of critics don't like it. 44% didn't like it. 56% did. The majority liked it. I'm not generous, I'm just not pessimistic like you are. Have some optimism. Look at the bright side of things.
A spade a spade ? ..anyway
I've said my two cents

 

[ConanLives]

i can easily see a OS number of 310m by this weekend with Brazil & Japan to still open .. those 2 markets could ad 35-40m IMO to the OS total .. another 70m OS is very reachable .. the question is not whether it'll reach 600ww, but 700ww

A little over $400 os and a crawl over $300 for domestic...between 700-750 worldwide.

 

[ConnorKon-El]

But 44 percent is not a majority. More critics gave it a positive review than a negative one. That might still equate to a "rotten" score, but it's also an indication that there were a lot of good reviews.

Lol I know. Whatever.

 

[Pickleweasel]

It's got a 77 on critics choice...

Rotten tomatoes critics are not the only critics

7% Away from majority of critics hating the movie? Look at some of those rotten scores. A lot are 3/5's that is hardly hating a movie

 

[JOE]

Yes. I would call the critical reception decent. I only say a film got bad reviews when the majority of critics don't like it. 44% didn't like it. 56% did. The majority liked it. I'm not generous, I'm just not pessimistic like you are. Have some optimism. Look at the bright side of things.
A spade a spade ? ..anyway
I've said my two cents

I'm not being pessimistic to say that a movie to which only 56% of the critics liked had bad reviews. I'd just consider you an extreme optimist and a bit naive.

I guess you've never heard the saying before then.

 

[robot]

Lol I know. Whatever.

It's got a 77 on critics choice...

Rotten tomatoes critics are not the only critics

7% Away from majority of critics hating the movie? Look at some of those rotten scores. A lot are 3/5's that is hardly hating a movie

He'll not be missed, after all, we now have JOE in his place.

He was acting like the world's greatest box office guru with his 500m prediction n giving everyone a hard time who didn't agree with him. Now that he's proven way off he's pissed off. And now he's acting like he actually predicted it might hit 700m just to cover his base.

 

[ConnorKon-El]

I'm not being pessimistic to say that a movie to which only 56% of the critics liked had bad reviews. I'd just consider you an extreme optimist and a bit naive.

I guess you've never heard the saying before then.

I guess I'm naive in the sense that I like to focus on the positive things. You can call a 56% rating for a film disappointing, but to say the reviews sucked ? Nah man, a film with a score of 36 or 26% sucks. The score of Green lantern sucks.
I'm done replying to your posts, this exchange is going no where and it's a waste of my time.
Sorry you were disappointed with the film, hope you enjoy the sequel.

 

[kalelvis]

It seems to me that there is no clear way to predict the legs of this movie. You don't have to look to deeply into the charts at BOM to see that MoS faced a heavier amount of competition than most major block busters face. Would it have held up with better WoM and critical reception? Yes. Did it still do well given the competition? Yes. MoS (like most CBM's) has to major demographics, action fans and families. Had it only faced competition on one front, it is likely that it would already be at 300 million or more. But after one week it faced heavy competition on both fronts. I'm pretty sure Pixar has never had a movie come in second it's first week of release and WWZ pulled substantially from the action crowd.

Still, MoS pulled in 40 million. While that is a huge percentage drop, that is a wonderful hold against to heavily promoted blockbusters.

20 million the third week against two blockbuster and TWO new films that were both heavily promoted and will very popular stars is also a good hold.

Is it the stuff of legends, no. Is it DK or Avengers numbers. No. But it is incredibly solid.

While I don't have a prediction for numbers, i will say that MoS has the chance of doing solid, not stellar, but solid business throughout the summer and into the fall. Think "turtle vs hare". The final numbers might surprise some people.

 

[ConnorKon-El]

I don't use critics choice.
I don't agree with their scores, they gave green lantern a 62% and Returns an 89%
Both which were disappointing movies, that IMO don't deserve those scores.