Man of Steel Box Office Prediction Thread - - Part 11

[TheNextNolan22]

Haha I knew Lone Ranger was going to be a terrible film the moment it was announced.

Most people younger than, say 40, don't even really know the character. At least not in any significant way that would warrant a modern franchise. Also, Western's haven't made money for Hollywood since the 1960s...people are largely over it.

Add to that the relatively still unknown Armie Hammer as the leading guy, and you have a recipe for crap and a financial bomb. The only part of me that is a bit bummed about it being so craptastic is that I really like Ruth Wilson, she's incredible in Luther and I hope to see her take Hollywood by storm - but Lone Ranger isn't the vehicle for that and couldn't set her career back since it's her first big film. Hopefully it doesn't and she bounces back with some great movies.

Otherwise, I hope LR bombs hard and MoS takes that business. $800m ww here we come

Funny. The same situation happened with Dark Shadows and look how that turned out.

Spoiler

I personally enjoyed DS, but whatever.

 

[kalelvis]

Several people have mentioned that "we are for sure getting a sequel"'; was there an announcement I missed today or is it just optimism based on the box office?

 

[robot]

Several people have mentioned that "we are for sure getting a sequel"'; was there an announcement I missed today or is it just optimism based on the box office?

It's already been announced by WB soon after MOS came out... (some might think that just because WB announced they were fast tracking MOS 2, doesn't mean that it'll get done)...

But logic dictates that MOS 2 will come out... Why??? Mullahs!!!! and LOTS of it... MOS is 700M locked, and could go higher... it'll be silly not to make a sequel...

 

[sf2]

I just read on BoxOffice that today MU had the biggest drop of all the holdovers. It makes sense with DM2 coming into the fold and vying for the same audience. With LR and WHD underperforming it will be interesting to see if MOS and WWZ benefit because if LR and WHD had been big hits then it undoubtedly would taken mostly from the MOS and WWZ audiences. If I were WB I would amp up the advertising for MOS and try to take full advantage.

WB is too busy advertising PR.

 

[Princess Denise]

It's already been announced by WB soon after MOS came out... (some might think that just because WB announced they were fast tracking MOS 2, doesn't mean that it'll get done)...

But logic dictates that MOS 2 will come out... Why??? Mullahs!!!! and LOTS of it... MOS is 700M locked, and could go higher... it'll be silly not to make a sequel...

I think I remember reading back during SR's run the president of WB, Alan Horn, saying that if SR reached 200M domestically then SR would get a sequel. I think the sequel even got an "announced" of IMDB and even had a title (can't remember the name). Well, needless to say that that sequel never materialized so I know that there are no "sure things" in Hollywood But, at least, WB thought SR's gross proved that there was enough interest in Superman to warrant a reboot which we did get! I also really think there is about a 95% chance MOS gets a sequel. It just made too much money and was too well received by fans not to. t:

 

[Silver Surfer]

Recent flops like Lone Ranger and John Carter are only going to push Disney towards more MCU and SW, and I couldn't be happier for it.

 

[113]

Funny. The same situation happened with Dark Shadows and look how that turned out.

Spoiler

I personally enjoyed DS, but whatever.

I actually liked Dark Shadows too, I think we were the only ones. I also liked John Carter (the last Disney bomb). I didn't love either film, but they were entertaining to me.

 

[Princess Denise]

I actually liked Dark Shadows too, I think we were the only ones. I also liked John Carter (the last Disney bomb). I didn't love either film, but they were entertaining to me.

John Carter was a surprisingly good film, but it needed a better leading man.

 

[Rowsdower!]

I thought John Carter was terrible. And believe me, I wanted to like it. I love the books. But Kitsch's awful performance, the average special effects, the campy tone and the choppy editing just killed it for me. It was a struggle to get all the way through that movie.

 

[Micromind]

I think who ever chooses the release dates for WB movies is just dumb, I mean look at the release date for Superman Returns it had to compete with POTC 2, then look at the release dates of MOS, competition from Pixar's Monsters University and also WB's Jack The Giant Slayer it had to compete with Disney's Oz The great and Powerful ! (I saw both movies and Jack The Giant Slayer is at same level as OZ The Great and Powerful, both are kid's movies)

I cannot understand how WB continue to pick wrong release dates ?

 

[Rowsdower!]

Yeah, and the sad thing is, if they had just released MOS a week earlier, it would have had TWO straight weeks of no competition. It would have opened against that awful Purge movie. Still scratching my head over that.

 

[Bruce Malone]

Wait until you see the date WB will pick if MoS comes out in 2015. The execs are probably debating the week before Avengers 2 or the week before Star Wars 7?

 

[Princess Denise]

I thought John Carter was terrible. And believe me, I wanted to like it. I love the books. But Kitsch's awful performance, the average special effects, the campy tone and the choppy editing just killed it for me. It was a struggle to get all the way through that movie.

Yes, TK does not have the talent and presence to carry a film, but I thought that this was the one weak link. Everything else I loved! The other actors were good and I loved the old fashioned feel of the film. It seemed like a film of another era and I liked that. It did not need state-of-the-art special effects as it had a good story and real heart.

 

[Princess Denise]

Yeah, and the sad thing is, if they had just released MOS a week earlier, it would have had TWO straight weeks of no competition. It would have opened against that awful Purge movie. Still scratching my head over that.

WB might have thought that "The Internship" would be bigger than it was.

 

[Rowsdower!]

Yes, TK does not have the talent and presence to carry a film, but I thought that this was the one weak link. Everything else I loved! The other actors were good and I loved the old fashioned feel of the film. It seemed like a film of another era and I liked that. It did not need state-of-the-art special effects as it had a good story and real heart.

I guess I might have been able to overlook its other shortcomings if I just felt they got John Carter himself right. But Kitsch was so dull, it just made all of the other problems I had with the movie worse. It's a shame they cast him, when they had James Purefoy RIGHT THERE and they wasted him in a pointless role. He would have made Carter a character I actually gave a crap about.

I do agree that the other actors were good, especially Lynn Collins.

 

[Rowsdower!]

WB might have thought that "The Internship" would be bigger than it was.

LOL, I guess they did. Damn, I already forgot that movie existed.

 

[Kevin Smith]

John Carter is a terrible, very bland, generic "sci fi" movie and I do not get why people liked it.

 

[spider-neil]

Originally Posted by robot
MOS is 700M locked, and could go higher...

Is 700m a lock? I don't know about that.

 

[Mysteryman]

It's already been announced by WB soon after MOS came out... (some might think that just because WB announced they were fast tracking MOS 2, doesn't mean that it'll get done)...

But logic dictates that MOS 2 will come out... Why??? Mullahs!!!! and LOTS of it... MOS is 700M locked, and could go higher... it'll be silly not to make a sequel...

Deadline had a story about WB being interested in sequel
But WB has not greenlit a sequel yet .
It is likely, but there has been no official announcement at this time.

 

[Kevin Smith]

MOS has only made about 50 mil or so more than SR did at the adjusted BO at this point, that's not that much more money, almost Hulk/TIH numbers wise for comparison, however, MOS's opening weekend was more than twice that of SR's, almost 3 times as big in fact, so there is an audience for Superman no doubt, I just think the film would have made more if the writing and editing were better. The WOM knocked the opening weekend down by at least 20 mil, IMO. If it was as good as it looked, it would have cleared 135 opening weekend, easily, IMO, and held stronger the following weeks.

I still say thinking there WILL be a sequel is up in the air at this point. It's out there in limbo along with the Superman/Batman movie for now and the SR and GL sequel as far as we're concerned at the moment. Saying they want Goyer to do another means nothing and is as much as we knew prior to the film really. It's no shock.

Just hopefully if it goes through he brushes up the writing a good bit.

 

[Liam_H]

About $2.5M for MoS Wednesday.

Credit: Rth

 

[sf2]

About $2.5M for MoS Wednesday.

Credit: Rth

it's good right? consider the number of screens being cut down.

 

[Ms. Marvel]

MOS has only made about 50 mil or so more than SR did at the adjusted BO at this point, that's not that much more money, almost Hulk/TIH numbers wise for comparison, however, MOS's opening weekend was more than twice that of SR's, almost 3 times as big in fact, so there is an audience for Superman no doubt, I just think the film would have made more if the writing and editing were better. The WOM knocked the opening weekend down by at least 20 mil, IMO. If it was as good as it looked, it would have cleared 135 opening weekend, easily, IMO, and held stronger the following weeks.

I still say thinking there WILL be a sequel is up in the air at this point. It's out there in limbo along with the Superman/Batman movie for now and the SR and GL sequel as far as we're concerned at the moment. Saying they want Goyer to do another means nothing and is as much as we knew prior to the film really. It's no shock.

Just hopefully if it goes through he brushes up the writing a good bit.

The WOM is good not great. The WOM is good not great. The WOM is good not great. The WOM is good not great. The WOM is good not great. The WOM is good not great. The WOM is good not great. The WOM is good not great. The WOM is good not great. The WOM is good not great. The WOM is good not great. The WOM is good not great. The WOM is good not great. The WOM is good not great.

Not poor.

There will be a sequel. This is not SR or GL!

 

[Liam_H]

it's good right? consider the number of screens being cut down.

It would seem so, everything else dropped.

 

[sf2]

MOS has only made about 50 mil or so more than SR did at the adjusted BO at this point, that's not that much more money, almost Hulk/TIH numbers wise for comparison, however, MOS's opening weekend was more than twice that of SR's, almost 3 times as big in fact, so there is an audience for Superman no doubt, I just think the film would have made more if the writing and editing were better. The WOM knocked the opening weekend down by at least 20 mil, IMO. If it was as good as it looked, it would have cleared 135 opening weekend, easily, IMO, and held stronger the following weeks.

I still say thinking there WILL be a sequel is up in the air at this point. It's out there in limbo along with the Superman/Batman movie for now and the SR and GL sequel as far as we're concerned at the moment. Saying they want Goyer to do another means nothing and is as much as we knew prior to the film really. It's no shock.

Just hopefully if it goes through he brushes up the writing a good bit.

we believe he can make Billions, better than Ironman, Batman and Spiderman because his name is so iconic and well-known.
however, fact is ,it is just a myth.