Man of Steel Box Office Prediction Thread - - Part 11

[STARMAN]

Haven't seen all the estimates for other movies on Friday yet.

3.92 mill seems pretty good. Probably 12 mill for weekend. 16 mill for 4-day holiday. Something like that.

 

[robot]

Yours is 1B. If it goes over 750M I guess you're closer, right?

That's right... !

Yeah I remember him predicting $500-600m ww. He was consistently lowballing things. I've been on the complete opposite end of the spectrum and have consistently said $800+m ww (I'm sticking to it btw). I may end up revising down in 2-3 more weeks. Really depends on how the next two weeks go.

His number was 500M, then he says it might go up to 600M... then he says it sucks (when it became rotten on RT), and that WOM will be lousy (when it dropped 70% on the second weekend. So, now, he's starting to throw out 700M... keeps shifting numbers...

Anyways, I remember, a lot of people thought 400-600M was the realistic number and were giving anymore who predicted above 700M a hard time, calling us all sorts of names... I don't mind people predicting 100M or 3B.. it's all in the fun of it.. but when people act like they are **** and anyone who disagrees with them are 'asinine' as Injusttice puts it, then I have a serious problem with those 'prediction trolls'...

 

[robot]

I am soooo sad... no more Imax for MOS... I was going to keep dragging people to the Imax to watch MOS... (BTW: We have the latest Digital Imax screens... 4 stories high, barco 4K projectors, Imax latest laser guided sound system).

The saddest thing is that DM2 which took over the screens weren't occupying the entire cinema.. in fact, the midnight show was only 10% full.. (kids don't stay up that late).. they should have at least maintained the midnight show for MOS... it would have at least almost fill up the screen

 

[Stephen K. Hone]

They're going to have to keep this in theaters for a while to hit 300 m.

30 m is long way to go after you make only 10 m on a holiday weekend.

It has been out 22 days in the U.S. and IM3 has been out 42 days more, so for MOS to do $30 million more after Monday is perfectly doable. Have faith, it WILL get there, WB will leave it out there until it does.

 

[sf2]

I am soooo sad... no more Imax for MOS... I was going to keep dragging people to the Imax to watch MOS... (BTW: We have the latest Digital Imax screens... 4 stories high, barco 4K projectors, Imax latest laser guided sound system).

The saddest thing is that DM2 which took over the screens weren't occupying the entire cinema.. in fact, the midnight show was only 10% full.. (kids don't stay up that late).. they should have at least maintained the midnight show for MOS... it would have at least almost fill up the screen

Maybe u can talk to the cinema operator.

 

[robot]

It has been out 22 days in the U.S. and IM3 has been out 42 days more, so for MOS to do $30 million more after Monday is perfectly doable. Have faith, it WILL get there, WB will leave it out there until it does.

Is it up to WB or Cinema Owners? I think after a 'guaranteed time period', the Studios will play whatever makes them more money...

 

[Stephen K. Hone]

Is it up to WB or Cinema Owners? I think after a 'guaranteed time period', the Studios will play whatever makes them more money...

IM3 is making around $125,000 or so a day, and it is still out there. I'm hoping for an IMAX (limited) return engagement in about 4-6weeks.

 

[Mysteryman]

when was the last time one of those IMAX return engagements happened?

 

[Stephen K. Hone]

when was the last time one of those IMAX return engagements happened?

Don't know, but I'm pretty sure it has happened though.

 

[Mysteryman]

Well, I will hope for it then.

 

[Mysteryman]

IM3 is making around $125,000 or so a day, and it is still out there. I'm hoping for an IMAX (limited) return engagement in about 4-6weeks.

That could have something to do with what IM3 has made for IMAX , I dont know how much it is, but i imagine it is a considerable amount .

 

[Mysteryman]

man of steel is on fire.

love it!

 

[Stephen K. Hone]

That could have something to do with what IM3 has made for IMAX , I dont know how much it is, but i imagine it is a considerable amount .

I was talking about a return engagement for MOS. Not sure if IM3 is showing in IMAX anymore. Actually going by IM3's daily B.O. I wouldn't be surprised if it is getting that take solely from 'dollar' theaters.

 

[ConnorKon-El]

3.8-3.9 for Friday ? Pretty good

 

[Sabaoth]

I am soooo sad... no more Imax for MOS... I was going to keep dragging people to the Imax to watch MOS... (BTW: We have the latest Digital Imax screens... 4 stories high, barco 4K projectors, Imax latest laser guided sound system).

The saddest thing is that DM2 which took over the screens weren't occupying the entire cinema.. in fact, the midnight show was only 10% full.. (kids don't stay up that late).. they should have at least maintained the midnight show for MOS... it would have at least almost fill up the screen

That's not the case everywhere. Just saw MOS again on Imax 3D (best way to see it IMO) last night and it was packed (Miami.) It still has the Imax screens down here.
There were huge lines for DM2 even close to midnight. But all the couples were going to MOS (no children!) I thought we were going to be the only ones there but within 15 min it got pretty full, surprising for a movie in its 4th weekend.
And everyone was laughing and cheering with the movie. No gloom and doom like some would like to have others believe. I guess the flop called the Lone Ranger is helping our boy in blue!

 

[dalonewolf]

Yeah I remember him predicting $500-600m ww. He was consistently lowballing things. I've been on the complete opposite end of the spectrum and have consistently said $800+m ww (I'm sticking to it btw). I may end up revising down in 2-3 more weeks. Really depends on how the next two weeks go.

I tried telling them mos could still hit a billion im just saying its already out did alice in worderland and yhe hobbit in some countries and on pace to do better in the rest I think 700 mil os is very realistic im tried of people comparing this to all the outer reboot movies and etc im comparing it to movies that had a weak start but still got to a billion like the hobbit with 303 dom and 712 os which mos had a bettet opening weekend in the us than the hobbit and is making more money day to day than the hobbit both u.s and os

 

[robot]

That's not the case everywhere. Just saw MOS again on Imax 3D (best way to see it IMO) last night and it was packed (Miami.) It still has the Imax screens down here.
There were huge lines for DM2 even close to midnight. But all the couples were going to MOS (no children!) I thought we were going to be the only ones there but within 15 min it got pretty full, surprising for a movie in its 4th weekend.
And everyone was laughing and cheering with the movie. No gloom and doom like some would like to have others believe. I guess the flop called the Lone Ranger is helping our boy in blue!

Good for you.. your cinema operator is apparently smarter than mine...

I tried telling them mos could still hit a billion im just saying its already out did alice in worderland and yhe hobbit in some countries and on pace to do better in the rest I think 700 mil os is very realistic im tried of people comparing this to all the outer reboot movies and etc im comparing it to movies that had a weak start but still got to a billion like the hobbit with 303 dom and 712 os which mos had a bettet opening weekend in the us than the hobbit and is making more money day to day than the hobbit both u.s and os

This is not exactly true... in china it has only made like 50M compared to IM3's 120M... they are going to take MOS off China's screens in 2 weeks' time... it might end up 60M or so.. which is 60M off.... that's just one country...

But I do hope it can get as high as possible... It could certainly have easily crossed the 1B mark, if WB did a few things right (OS marketing, Release Date)

IM3 is making around $125,000 or so a day, and it is still out there. I'm hoping for an IMAX (limited) return engagement in about 4-6weeks.

Highly unlikely.. DM2 will be taken off IMax next week for PR... the busy summer will have Movies all vying for the Imax space...

But we can hope...

 

[dalonewolf]

Good for you.. your cinema operator is apparently smarter than mine...



This is not exactly true... in china it has only made like 50M compared to IM3's 120M... they are going to take MOS off China's screens in 2 weeks' time... it might end up 60M or so.. which is 60M off.... that's just one country...

But I do hope it can get as high as possible... It could certainly have easily crossed the 1B mark, if WB did a few things right (OS marketing, Release Date)



Highly unlikely.. DM2 will be taken off IMax next week for PR... the busy summer will have Movies all vying for the Imax space...

But we can hope...

your are comparing mos to im3 which will end 200-300 mil better than mos rite? in that case im3 has made 1.2bil and is still going and mos is tracking 180-280 mil behind iron man 3 at this time of its release mos will be over 300 mil os this weekend 2 1/2 weeks after its os release give it another 2 month s and it will crawl to 600-700 mil os just becuse its not a fast billion dont make it a billion
does that make sense to you?

 

[Stephen K. Hone]

Good for you.. your cinema operator is apparently smarter than mine...



This is not exactly true... in china it has only made like 50M compared to IM3's 120M... they are going to take MOS off China's screens in 2 weeks' time... it might end up 60M or so.. which is 60M off.... that's just one country...

But I do hope it can get as high as possible... It could certainly have easily crossed the 1B mark, if WB did a few things right (OS marketing, Release Date)



Highly unlikely.. DM2 will be taken off IMax next week for PR... the busy summer will have Movies all vying for the Imax space...

But we can hope...

I smell a big fail with PR once it gets beyond week 2. Could be wrong but for me the trailers were not compelling. If the critics slam it and WOM isn't good it won't just be giant robots and lizards that are dead in the water!

 

[marcvader]

I smell a big fail with PR one it gets beyond week 2. Could be wrong but for me the trailers were not compelling.

I'm getting the feeling PR will underperform as well. GDT movies never have the broad appeal needed to rake in the dough regardless of how good they are. He makes movies for a niche audience.

 

[BlueLantern]

I think the main issue with Pacific Rim has been the marketing, which has been pretty weak with the Legendary/WB split happening. In terms of the audience, it should be perfect for people of all ages considering the concept it's got.

 

[robot]

your are comparing mos to im3 which will end 200-300 mil better than mos rite? in that case im3 has made 1.2bil and is still going and mos is tracking 180-280 mil behind iron man 3 at this time of its release mos will be over 300 mil os this weekend 2 1/2 weeks after its os release give it another 2 month s and it will crawl to 600-700 mil os just becuse its not a fast billion dont make it a billion
does that make sense to you?

MOS will land about 300M domestic vs IM3's 400M plus... so, just domestic that's 100M already... then if you take 300 off the International market, that's another 300M... total at least 400M deficit.. which will put MOS at about 800M if everything goes right... it's going to be tough to get to 1B... but I have my finger's crossed... I am rooting for you because my initial prediction is 1B also...

 

[robot]

I think the main issue with Pacific Rim has been the marketing, which has been pretty weak with the Legendary/WB split happening. In terms of the audience, it should be perfect for people of all ages considering the concept it's got.

If you thought PR's marketing is bad, think about MOS, which is 100 times worse than MOS.. at least in the OS market... (I don't know about the domestic market, because i heard MOS was great but PR was bad)...

In my city, WB bought billboards, and put MOS there for a week or so, then instantly switch it PR (btw: the billboard for MOS only came up like 1 week before MOS opened, and then they took it down to replace with PR the day MOS opened, so, i think they bought the billboard for PR, but just took a week of it's space)... and now, since then they have replaced with it with different PR's posters... they had PR's displays on cinemas and trailers long before MOS too...

I have a feeling that WB's marketing dept thought that PR would do well OS but badly domestic and MOS will do well domestic but badly OS (thus their reversed marketing strategies)...

But I think they were completely wrong about MOS's international appeal (they probably looked at SR's numbers to arrive at their conclusions)... They will not be making that mistake with MOS2 I think...

 

[113]

when was the last time one of those IMAX return engagements happened?

TDK reached a billion b/c of re-release in theaters. Maybe WB will re-release MoS to make sure it gets over $800 million (if it doesn't in its' initial run).

 

[dalonewolf]

MOS will land about 300M domestic vs IM3's 400M plus... so, just domestic that's 100M already... then if you take 300 off the International market, that's another 300M... total at least 400M deficit.. which will put MOS at about 800M if everything goes right... it's going to be tough to get to 1B... but I have my finger's crossed... I am rooting for you because my initial prediction is 1B also...

see your taking too much off for the os total its clear to me that mos foreign market its just too strong rite now not to be at 700 mil or at the least 650 os and it will crawl well about 300mil dom im putting mos at 1,012,000,000 or maybe a lil bit less but not much less trust me just look at it on box mojo mos os numbers are great and hasnt been updated yet