Man of Steel Box Office Prediction Thread - Part 5

[Liam_H]

dunno if the 230m mark by next Sun might be a bit optimistic .. i'm at around 215-218m by Sunday & hoping i'm lowballing it .. far as INT goes i'll just be happy if takes down ASM gross at this point .. that would be telling IMO .. the int numbers over this coming weekend is where my interest is at .. we'd have better prediction models after its full 10 day cume

Our ranges are pretty close but I guess I'll put it at $220-225 by next Sunday. Around $45M from Mon-Thu and around $50M for 2nd weekend. It can certainly go up from that.

 

[UrNuts2]

Our ranges are pretty close but I guess I'll put it at $220-225 by next Sunday. Around $45M from Mon-Thu and around $50M for 2nd weekend. It can certainly go up from that.

yeah, the only diffirence between our predictions is that i have it at 40m for Mon through Thu .. hope u're right & i'm wrong ..

 

[Musty002]

The page can also help us track WOM etc. It shows how much the film is being discussed across social media and comes up with a ratio for positive to negative comments. [bold]At this stage[/bold], MOS has slightly better WOM among the GA than even The Dark Knight Rises, and has a heavy online presence.

Nope TDKR ratio was calculated after 10 days of release whereas MOS was just 3 days. Massive difference!

If they have calculated the WOM for TDKR at this stage, it should have a much higher WOM than MOS because TDKR has higher RT, audience RT, box office OW, multiplyer, the sequel of one of the greatest CBM of all time and highest 2D box office in America in a decade , etc.

I highly doubt MOS has a higher WOM than TDKR 3 days after release.

 

[Mysteryman]

He said "slightly better" than TDKR, its probably not by that much .

 

[snowball41293]

Gitesh Pandya ‏@giteshpandya
https://***********/giteshpandya/status/346966385626333184

#ManOfSteel held up very well MON w/ near $13M. 1st full week may reach $170M, possible $220M+ after 2nd wknd.

https://***********/giteshpandya/status/346990344795222016

$12.6M official MON gross on #ManOfSteel, $141.3M cume. Heading to $170M+ after 1st full week. Ctrl-Alt-Del worked.

 

[sf2]

Nice. Just dont understand to left japan to end of august. Thought Japan is large market too.

 

[kalhawj]

It would be nice if MOS can pull what Avatar did... People are talking about MOS on facebook, tweeter, and social media sites regarding how awesome and fun the experience was (Action+Emotion/Drama)... Plus female are loving Henry as Superman are going back a second time to see him in MOS. Anyway, Avatar started the first weekend with only 75 million BO but it keep on rolling and rack up 750+ million domestic. It would be cool to see this happen with MOS.

 

[kalhawj]

BTW MOS did better on Monday after it's weekend release than Iron man 3. If MOS can keep this up it has a chance to catch up to Iron man's BO number. It may even beat it out for total earning including International. Time will tell.

Iron man Monday total: $11,267,610
Man of Steel Monday Total: $13,000,000

 

[sf2]

I guess u r a bit overhyped.

 

[Notrip]

It will not catch Iron Man 3. It will not have Avatar legs. It will hit around 172m Thursday. Around 222 on Sunday and end its run over 300 million domestic. I am guessing 335m domestic.

 

[FlawlessVictory]

^Exactly, which is a fantastic start for this franchise

 

[Tony Stark]

BTW MOS did better on Monday after it's weekend release than Iron man 3. If MOS can keep this up it has a chance to catch up to Iron man's BO number. It may even beat it out for total earning including International. Time will tell.

Iron man Monday total: $11,267,610
Man of Steel Monday Total: $13,000,000

May =/= June

official numbers are 12.6 million. That's a 66% drop, which is what Green Lantern dropped on Monday. Which is to be expected to have a larger Monday drop with a stronger Father's day hold.

 

[kalhawj]

Regardless it is a success for MOS and WB. The biggest origin opening for any CMB movie.. I'm just happy we finally can get this DCU rolling. Hopefully MOS can finish strong at the BO once its run is done.

 

[Ms. Marvel]

Regardless it is a success for MOS and WB. The biggest origin opening for any CMB movie.. I'm just happy we finally can get this DCU rolling. Hopefully MOS can finish strong at the BO once its run is done.

Yes but don't be disappointed if it doesn't make $1 billion.

 

[kalhawj]

Yes but don't be disappointed if it doesn't make $1 billion.

I'm not expecting it too. For a origin and none sequel... this is amazing for MOS... I can only imagine what the sequel can do if it had TDK type of script and MOS's action... It's going to do some serious damaged. Anyway, great year for CBM...

 

[schiz0id]

In other news Iron Man 3 crosses the $400m domestic milestone today.

 

[Marvin]

In other news Iron Man 3 crosses the $400m domestic milestone today.

Wow, pretty surprised by that actually. I thought it would stop at 340.

 

[Marvin]

MoS, to survive the critical beating it got.
Not many films could do that, it had to be the brand/names and fun that I knew it would have.

 

[manofsteel4life]

The name says it all Marvin...

 

[Pickle-El]

Regardless it is a success for MOS and WB. The biggest origin opening for any CMB movie.. I'm just happy we finally can get this DCU rolling. Hopefully MOS can finish strong at the BO once its run is done.

It should continue with strong weekdays next week as well...someone correct me if I'm wrong, but isn't the East Coast still in school until the end of this week?

That will help legs if kids are free all summer after Friday.

 

[Pickle-El]

Wow, pretty surprised by that actually. I thought it would stop at 340.

Given the huge 1st weekend, 425-450 million should have been all but guaranteed. Still, nothing to scoff at.

Hell, people were even disappointed with TDKR's 435 million last year. IM3 played like a Potter film this time around, ridiculously huge first 2 weeks.

 

[MessiahDecoy123]

Look at the audience ratings on RT for SM1 and SM3.
Now look at the audience ratings for ASM.
Exactly.

But I may just be biased.....

Don't be fooled.

The Raimi fans are just as biased. Many of them hated ASM even before they watched it.

 

[UrNuts2]

Yes but don't be disappointed if it doesn't make $1 billion.

$1 bil .. don't see that happening .. it will be spectacular enough as it crosses the 700m barrier IMO ..

it did 12.6m Monday .. i guessed it would do 12m .. so i'm holding my markers at 168m by Thu & 218m by Sunday .. for now

all eyes on the INT figures this weekend for me ..

 

[rashad]

Given the huge 1st weekend, 425-450 million should have been all but guaranteed. Still, nothing to scoff at.

Hell, people were even disappointed with TDKR's 435 million last year. IM3 played like a Potter film this time around, ridiculously huge first 2 weeks.

TDKR 448 million

 

[TheNextNolan22]

No way it beats IM3s gross. I do think if all goes well and it continues to have legs, I'm guessing at least $365 million.