Man of Steel Box Office Prediction Thread - Part 5

[TheNextNolan22]

Doubt it, but if this upcoming weeks domestic and foreign numbers are very solid, I see $800 million in MOS's grasp.

 

[ArmsHeldOut]

School is out in June

A lot of schools aren't closed prior to the 17th though.

 

[ArmsHeldOut]

If I was a little kid, there's no way in hell I'd pick Monster's U over Man of Steel.

 

[TheNextNolan22]

If I was a little kid, there's no way in hell I'd pick Monster's U over Man of Steel.

LOL

 

[death-lord]

My baby brother choose man of steel because monsters is too teeny to him

 

[rayc1971]

So we are at the 5 day mark and MOS has made more than the first Iron Man and the first Spiderman. It's currently at 152,777,618 domesticly, so if the WOM keeps up this thing could have legs and make 400 million domesticly.

its not doing 400mill domestic dude with how crowded the summer movies are.just be happy with over 300mill domestic that's a great start for this franchise reboot.you still have monster u pacific rim wolverine the lone ranger that will chew up the boxoffice it took iron man until the 3rd film to do 400mill domestic and that was comming off of avengers legs

 

[Ita-KalEl]

Do you recall how SR did in Italy?

I think Henry being European will give MOS a boost over SR in Europe even outside of the UK itself.

SR did quite decently but nothing extraordinary.All my friends considered it a boring movie. The general buzz is positive. Yesterday there was TDK on tv and in each pause there was a MOS commercial.

 

[LostSon88]

Saw it a second time today. 700 show. Theater was about 80% full I'd say...

For a Wednesday night, very surprised.

 

[sf2]

Saw it a second time today. 700 show. Theater was about 80% full I'd say...

For a Wednesday night, very surprised.

Cause it's still fresh.

 

[sf2]

One of my radio DJ seems love MOS. She intentionally brought MOS into her discussion a few times.. like how e touching she was during the pa kent sacrificing scene... how overwhelming she was to see a very powerful superman.

I think she has a crunch on henry. Lol

 

[TheNextNolan22]

Both of my favorite DJs on my favorite old-school Rock station absolutely loved it even though they said it was not what they were expecting.

 

[macphisto96]

its not doing 400mill domestic dude with how crowded the summer movies are.just be happy with over 300mill domestic that's a great start for this franchise reboot.you still have monster u pacific rim wolverine the lone ranger that will chew up the boxoffice it took iron man until the 3rd film to do 400mill domestic and that was comming off of avengers legs

It's doubtful that it'll do $400M, but we'll know much more this weekend when we look at its hold against a competitive box office. It should drop by about 55% which would be a $52.2M weekend, but the Monday and Tuesday drops indicate that the drop may end up being only 48-49%, which would put $60M in play. Anything $60M or above and $400M is still in play depending on the drops. That would indicate that it would be up to about $325M after July 4 weekend. It should be past $300M by then, the question is just how far past it.

I tend to think it'll finish between $330-350M domestic and get near $500M international for over $800M total. That's excellent for film #1, especially considering how all the tie-ins likely reduced WB's cost. Couple that with strong Blu-ray, download, etc sales plus solid rentals and TV rights and the film will clear a billion when all aspects of it are counted.

That's a huge success, especially coming off the $380M of Returns and the $219M abysmal international showing for GL.

 

[Bruce Malone]

What kind of multiplier would it need to reach 400?

 

[crimsontide]

A boss came into my office today and the topic of Superman came up, without knowing I had seen it yet he mentioned that he heard it was good. Of course I told him it was great. Just one example of the WOM this film is getting.

No one is my office (except me) has seen this movie yet because real life keeps getting in the way. However, many of them plan to see it this weekend.

My co-workers keeps buzzing me on the phone or stopping me in the hallway to ask me about it. I have been telling them I love it, but I warn them about the what the critics are saying. Their response is "who cares about the critics. I never listen to the critics".

 

[Dragon_316ca]

Update

Bigger drop for #ManOfSteel WED. Down 22% to $9M. On track for about $170M after 1st full week.

 

[Princess Denise]

Bigger drop for #ManOfSteel WED. Down 22% to $9M. On track for about $170M after 1st full week

Where I live theaters offer a discounted price on Wednesday.

 

[kalhawj]

Better than I expect for a Wednesday number. I expect the same number for Thursday and than back up on Friday-Sundays.

 

[Alex Logan]

its not doing 400mill domestic dude with how crowded the summer movies are.just be happy with over 300mill domestic that's a great start for this franchise reboot.you still have monster u pacific rim wolverine the lone ranger that will chew up the boxoffice it took iron man until the 3rd film to do 400mill domestic and that was comming off of avengers legs

It all depends on the drop off. It should be up to 170 by Friday morning so 350 is pretty much a lock. It's made more than Spiderman did at the five day mark and that film did 400 million. All the movies you listed are not very high on people's radar, atleast people I know. Monster's Univeristy will make money because of the kids, but it's been ten years since the first one. I question how well Pacific Rim will do, The Lone Ranger is WAY off budget and I don't know how relevent that character is today. Wolverine is another story. It could go either way. Origins was horrible, but did huge numbers. XMFC was awesome, but didn't do that great at the box office. Peronally I'm worried because the trailers took forever to come out and Silver Samurai look ridiculous. The one film you're forgetting is Despicable Me 2, that will be huge.

It's doubtful that it'll do $400M, but we'll know much more this weekend when we look at its hold against a competitive box office. It should drop by about 55% which would be a $52.2M weekend, but the Monday and Tuesday drops indicate that the drop may end up being only 48-49%, which would put $60M in play. Anything $60M or above and $400M is still in play depending on the drops. That would indicate that it would be up to about $325M after July 4 weekend. It should be past $300M by then, the question is just how far past it.

I tend to think it'll finish between $330-350M domestic and get near $500M international for over $800M total. That's excellent for film #1, especially considering how all the tie-ins likely reduced WB's cost. Couple that with strong Blu-ray, download, etc sales plus solid rentals and TV rights and the film will clear a billion when all aspects of it are counted.

That's a huge success, especially coming off the $380M of Returns and the $219M abysmal international showing for GL.

60M is the figure I had in mind to make it 400. Guess we will see.

 

[MrMaooz]

One of my radio DJ seems love MOS. She intentionally brought MOS into her discussion a few times.. like how e touching she was during the pa kent sacrificing scene... how overwhelming she was to see a very powerful superman.

I think she has a crunch on henry. Lol

Ooooooh, a crunch.

 

[robot]

I checked a couple of local cinemas... and it appears advanced bookings for this coming weekend is about a tie between MOS and WWZ.. but MU is way down (at least in my country).... however, WWZ has twice as many screens given to it compared to MOS...

3D ticket sales are minimal.. for either movie.. not sure why they bother with 3D on the regular screens (I understand IMAX, but not for regular).. .people actually prefer 2D by a big margin on the regular screens... 3D on them just sucks...

 

[Alex Logan]

I checked a couple of local cinemas... and it appears advanced bookings for this coming weekend is about a tie between MOS and WWZ.. but MU is way down (at least in my country).... however, WWZ has twice as many screens given to it compared to MOS...

3D ticket sales are minimal.. for either movie.. not sure why they bother with 3D on the regular screens (I understand IMAX, but not for regular).. .people actually prefer 2D by a big margin on the regular screens... 3D on them just sucks...

And WWZ is rated R so families are going to see MOS or MU.

 

[sf2]

I checked a couple of local cinemas... and it appears advanced bookings for this coming weekend is about a tie between MOS and WWZ.. but MU is way down (at least in my country).... however, WWZ has twice as many screens given to it compared to MOS...

3D ticket sales are minimal.. for either movie.. not sure why they bother with 3D on the regular screens (I understand IMAX, but not for regular).. .people actually prefer 2D by a big margin on the regular screens... 3D on them just sucks...

I thought u said Brad pit has no drawing power??

 

[GarudA]

I checked a couple of local cinemas... and it appears advanced bookings for this coming weekend is about a tie between MOS and WWZ.. but MU is way down (at least in my country).... however, WWZ has twice as many screens given to it compared to MOS...

3D ticket sales are minimal.. for either movie.. not sure why they bother with 3D on the regular screens (I understand IMAX, but not for regular).. .people actually prefer 2D by a big margin on the regular screens... 3D on them just sucks...

I watched MOS in 3D and wished I had not. On 3D the colours seemed wash due to the 3d the glasses, it felt like someone had tuned down the brightness.

 

[robot]

I thought u said Brad pit has no drawing power??

You mis-understood me.. i am saying that WWZ in it's opening weekend is doing about the same business as MOS in it's second weekend out.... basically i am saying that's not good for WWZ...

Also, I am saying that people going to watch WWZ is not doing it for brad pitt... they are mostly doing it for the genre (zombie movie), or the 'action, summer blockbuster movie'...

I don't think many people care about brad pitt anymore...

 

[robot]

And WWZ is rated R so families are going to see MOS or MU.

It's rated PG 13 in my country same as MOS

I watched MOS in 3D and wished I had not. On 3D the colours seemed wash due to the 3d the glasses, it felt like someone had tuned down the brightness.

Snyder is partly to blame for the lower saturation of the movie... even in 2D, the saturation is bad...

Also, I will never watch another movie in 3D on regular screens. They just sucks big time... I will only watch them on IMAX screens and even then only on their latest dual-barco 4K projectors...

I think 3D will only be really good when they have 16K projectors and movies shot on 16K digital cameras... right now, 4K is the highest resolution and it just doesn't work very well for an immerssive experience when you can see the pixels... True IMAX with documentaries shot in 70/15mm films have about 100Mega Pixels.. and that's why the clarity is like looking out your window...