Man of Steel Box Office Prediction Thread

Discussion in 'Man of Steel' started by Mr. Dent, Dec 11, 2012.

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How do you think Man of Steel will do?

  1. 1.5 billion

  2. 1 billion

  3. 900 million

  4. 800 million

  5. 700 million

  6. 600 million

  7. 500 million

  8. 400 million

  9. 300 million

  10. 200 million

  11. 1.5 billion

  12. 1 billion

  13. 900 million

  14. 800 million

  15. 700 million

  16. 600 million

  17. 500 million

  18. 400 million

  19. 300 million

  20. 200 million

  21. 1.5 billion

  22. 1 billion

  23. 900 million

  24. 800 million

  25. 700 million

  26. 600 million

  27. 500 million

  28. 400 million

  29. 300 million

  30. 200 million

  31. 1.5 billion

  32. 1 billion

  33. 900 million

  34. 800 million

  35. 700 million

  36. 600 million

  37. 500 million

  38. 400 million

  39. 300 million

  40. 200 million

  41. 1.5 billion

  42. 1 billion

  43. 900 million

  44. 800 million

  45. 700 million

  46. 600 million

  47. 500 million

  48. 400 million

  49. 300 million

  50. 200 million

  51. 1.5 billion

  52. 1 billion

  53. 900 million

  54. 800 million

  55. 700 million

  56. 600 million

  57. 500 million

  58. 400 million

  59. 300 million

  60. 200 million

  61. 1.5 billion

  62. 1 billion

  63. 900 million

  64. 800 million

  65. 700 million

  66. 600 million

  67. 500 million

  68. 400 million

  69. 300 million

  70. 200 million

  71. 1.5 billion

  72. 1 billion

  73. 900 million

  74. 800 million

  75. 700 million

  76. 600 million

  77. 500 million

  78. 400 million

  79. 300 million

  80. 200 million

  81. 1.5 billion

  82. 1 billion

  83. 900 million

  84. 800 million

  85. 700 million

  86. 600 million

  87. 500 million

  88. 400 million

  89. 300 million

  90. 200 million

  91. 1.5 billion

  92. 1 billion

  93. 900 million

  94. 800 million

  95. 700 million

  96. 600 million

  97. 500 million

  98. 400 million

  99. 300 million

  100. 200 million

  101. 1.5 billion

  102. 1 billion

  103. 900 million

  104. 800 million

  105. 700 million

  106. 600 million

  107. 500 million

  108. 400 million

  109. 300 million

  110. 200 million

  111. 1.5 billion

  112. 1 billion

  113. 900 million

  114. 800 million

  115. 700 million

  116. 600 million

  117. 500 million

  118. 400 million

  119. 300 million

  120. 200 million

  121. 1.5 billion

  122. 1 billion

  123. 900 million

  124. 800 million

  125. 700 million

  126. 600 million

  127. 500 million

  128. 400 million

  129. 300 million

  130. 200 million

  131. 1.5 billion

  132. 1 billion

  133. 900 million

  134. 800 million

  135. 700 million

  136. 600 million

  137. 500 million

  138. 400 million

  139. 300 million

  140. 200 million

  141. 1.5 billion

  142. 1 billion

  143. 900 million

  144. 800 million

  145. 700 million

  146. 600 million

  147. 500 million

  148. 400 million

  149. 300 million

  150. 200 million

  151. 1.5 billion

  152. 1 billion

  153. 900 million

  154. 800 million

  155. 700 million

  156. 600 million

  157. 500 million

  158. 400 million

  159. 300 million

  160. 200 million

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  1. Liam_H

    Liam_H Well-Known Member

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    And those were established franchise movies. MOS is starting from scratch. To open that high would be great already.
     
    #351
  2. GreenKToo

    GreenKToo In the fire

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    Oh I agree, that figure I threw out there would be great. I just dont think it will open as big as some here think.
     
    #352
  3. sf2

    sf2 Well-Known Member

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    Still no confidence in WB. Why they will get it right this time when they fail the last 20+years? The story may be poor. U know like immortals.
     
    #353
  4. Tacit Ronin

    Tacit Ronin Well-Known Member

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    Because if one movie from a completely different creative team has a poor story, it only stands to reason that a completely different film by a different team of collaborators will have a crap story as well.
     
    #354
  5. mjbull23

    mjbull23 Beyond Good and Evil

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    This movie will pull somewhere in the neighborhood of 400-500 mil domestically and take in another 150 mil internationally, which would put it in the 700 mil neighborhood. Which would be fantastic, and almost certainly guarantee another installment.

    On the other hand, if it fails to reach 500 mil worldwide, then I think Superman may be shelved from Cinematic release for quite some time. shudder to think.
     
    #355
  6. GENERAL RAAM582

    GENERAL RAAM582 A Rebellion Built on Hope

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    600-800 million, voted for the middle.
     
    #356
  7. KingKane88

    KingKane88 Well-Known Member

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    Thor did 450 Mill and cost 25 mil less then MOS to film, and Thor is getting a sequel. Just look at Green Lantern, grossed only 219 mil world wide and WB claimed at one point that it was getting a sequel, even though it did so bad.


    Point is WB is desperate at the moment, Zack Snyder already stated that he is doing what he could to set WB up for the JL movie (in less suttle talk), so from this it is quite obvious that MOS will be leading into JL. Even if MOS does what Thor did at $450 mil, it will easilly get a sequel. It will get a sequel at $400 Mil, mainly because it will be connected to JL movie.


    I do find it funny that some on here feel as if MOS will be seperate from the JL movie, stating Henry will not be involved in JL, and that there will be a totally different Sups in that movie. All I gotta say is thank the comic gods for that interview a couple weeks back with Zack Snyder stating that he is doing his what he needs to to to help WB set up for JL (I am Paraphrasing here).


    There is NO WAY IN HE11 that WB will change the face of Sups just 2 years after releasing MOS, there is already a he11 storm going on from some who are ticked off that Brandon Routh is not sups in MOS, and this is 7 yrs after SR was released! Imagine how confussed people would be if Henry was not Sups in a JL movie???
     
    #357
    Last edited: Jan 6, 2013
  8. Kryptonian Warrior

    Kryptonian Warrior The Dawn Is Upon Us

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    There again, I think it all depends on how they market the movie. If they market it as a badass action/adventure flick and show a bunch of TV Spots, then people will come out in droves. It's all about the content of the TV Spots, how frequently they are shown,the time slots they are shown in and what channels they are shown on , IMO. They absolutely MUST reach the 18-49 year old demographic. This will be a guy's flick to be sure, but I suspect that there will be more women in attendance because, you know, he's not an ugly guy.
     
    #358
    Last edited: Jan 6, 2013
  9. Dr.

    Dr. Well-Known Member

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    Your predicted ratio is somewhat extreme and unlikely. Nowadays, big movies tend to earn most of their revenues from foreign BO. Even when they don’t, the foreign doesn’t typically dip below the 35-40% range. For example, TDK ($535M/$479M) and The Hunger Games ($408M/$278M). Based on a $400-500M domestic take, your foreign estimate is a paltry ~25%. :word:
     
    #359
  10. Marvin

    Marvin Well-Known Member

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    There is enough in the last trailer alone to guarantee it making more than Returns.
    Guarantee.
     
    #360
  11. DarthAlani

    DarthAlani Well-Known Member

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    The trailer has generated tons of good will. They need to keep this up with a Super Bowl spot and an action packed trailer later in the year.
     
    #361
  12. Showtime

    Showtime Your Friend In Time

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    The math on your domestic/international ratio is a bit unbalanced.
     
    #362
  13. GreenKToo

    GreenKToo In the fire

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    Honestly, I dont fault someone for predicting a 400 mill dom take, nor do I fault someone for guessing a 250 mill dom take. I think it could go either way with this film. It Could be lightning in a bottle, or it could just do ok.
     
    #363
  14. Bruce Malone

    Bruce Malone Well-Known Member

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    Let's be real here TDKR with all of its hype and good reviews and being the conclusion to the TDK trilogy finished with roughly $450 m domestic, which is great but it is foolish to assume MOS could approach that right out of the the gate.

    If it can get above $250 m domestic WB will be quite happy assuming international numbers are fair.
     
    #364
  15. Marvin

    Marvin Well-Known Member

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    If hunger games is pulling in 400 dom right out of the gate, no reason a solid Superman movie with nolan hype can't.

    Truth is no one can predict what kinda business a superman film does when it's firing on all cylinders. We've simply never seen it. The same way the world had never seen the same of Batman till recently.

    The fact is, how much money would a spiderman or even Iron man film pull in if they had an entire film without the super hero throwing a single punch. Seriously a spiderman film with no fighting...
    It's remarkable that Superman did as well as it did on name alone.

    I'll eat my shorts if the film doesn't at least cross 350.
    Especially in a month with no competition.
     
    #365
  16. Liam_H

    Liam_H Well-Known Member

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    Exactly it hardly ever happens, so chances are it won't happen here also.
     
    #366
  17. Showtime

    Showtime Your Friend In Time

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    That's not what I'm referring too. It isn't his prediction of 400Mil to 500Mil domestic, it is the fact that he then balances that out with 150Mil internationally. Those types of ratios don't exist between domestic and international.
     
    #367
  18. HighFivingMF

    HighFivingMF Welp.

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    Well it was on track for more 'til, y'know.
     
    #368
  19. sf2

    sf2 Well-Known Member

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    LOL, I believe we did say the same when we saw the 1st trailer of SR, and we predicted SR was gonna smash all the box office record. Some even said the Titanic number!!! exactly like what happening now. Yes. I still don’t have a good feeling about MOS. The good thing is I was always wrong.
     
    #369
  20. Mrs. Sawyer

    Mrs. Sawyer Well-Known Member

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    It has Superman punching someone so that alone is going to be a reason it's going gross more than Returns.
     
    #370
  21. sf2

    sf2 Well-Known Member

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    R u sure? Why do I see the opposite thing in the trailer? Perhaps they think to have superman being punched like sandbag and coughing out blood is more sale guarantee. superman punching someone is boring and being done. Don’t u think?
     
    #371
  22. Mrs. Sawyer

    Mrs. Sawyer Well-Known Member

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  23. Liam_H

    Liam_H Well-Known Member

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    Certainly not with the resources we have today. Superman showing off his abilities can be quite the spectacle. I would love it if somewhere down the line we got to see something similar to Superman vs Darkseid in the finale of JLU.
     
    #373
  24. sf2

    sf2 Well-Known Member

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    Agree. However film makers always have the different opinion. They wanna do ‘new’ things. In their mind, ‘superman punching’ has been done to death. So they think it’s cooler to do him getting punched around instead. U know, the idea of invincible being beaten down. they love this concept.
     
    #374
  25. Mrs. Sawyer

    Mrs. Sawyer Well-Known Member

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